2025 NFL Mock Draft Built Using Only Betting Odds

For each of the last six years, and now seven when you include the below mock, I have built an NFL mock draft based purely on the NFL Draft props available at online sportsbooks. With the thousands of betting markets available, piecing the puzzle together can be quite tricky and time consuming, but I have found a lot of value in doing so. My goal here is not necessarily to have the best, most accurate NFL mock draft, though I won’t be upset if that’s the case, but rather to poke holes in the sportsbooks’ markets and highlight NFL Draft bets that are showing value.

I’ll get into my method and processes for constructing this 2025 NFL mock draft a little later in this page, if you’re interested. For now, let’s dive into my (the sportsbooks’) 1st round NFL mock draft for the 2025 NFL Draft:

NFL Mock Draft

The NFL mock draft above was pieced together on April 9. As NFL Draft betting markets continue to shift, I will provide fresh mocks that match the current odds.

In putting this NFL mock draft together, I had fewer NFL Draft betting markets to call on than I’d like, but that will change shortly (and I will update the mock at that point). I considered the following NFL Draft odds mock draft above: draft position over/unders, odds to be the first, second, third, fourth, and fifth pick, odds to be the first player taken at each playing position, odds to be drafted by a specific team (only available for a handful of players), first-round position totals (only available for a few positions), and the position of each team’s first drafted player.

I do not give each prop the same weight, though. I lean more heavily on markets where you can bet every possible outcome, as well as the markets with lower vig/juice. The market I lean on most in my NFL mock above is draft position over/unders for each player – DraftKings has opened this market for some players, but we are still missing a fair amount, which should open soon – as it is the market where sportsbooks experience the biggest liabilities due to the lesser vig and only two possible outcomes (over or under).

So, there is a lot more of my opinion in this first version than there will be in the next iterations as more betting markets open. You can see my justification (what the betting markets say) for each pick a little further down, as I want to quickly point out some of the problem areas / betting opportunities I see in putting this together:

• Third-overall pick in the NFL Draft: I just don’t feel Abdul Carter makes sense for the Giants, who already have Brian Burns and Kayvon Thibodeaux coming off their edges. Yet, Carter is as short as -250 to be the third pick. I think this makes sense if the Giants were to trade out, but I’m also not sold Carter is the only player another team may target here. I’m taking a couple cuts here: a half-unit on Shedeur Sanders to be the third pick at +650 odds, and a 0.25-unit bet on Ashton Jeanty to be the third pick at +10000 odds. Both of these bets are from bet365. The former is me thinking someone (maybe the Giants) is going to jump on Sanders earlier than expected due to the weaker QB class. The latter is someone (the Cowboys) making a move to get in front of the Raiders for Jeanty.
• Mykel Williams draft position over/under (15.5): You can get +115 odds on the under 15.5 for Mykel Williams at ESPN Bet and I’m a big fan of it. There are a number of teams in the first 15 picks who will be looking to add some pass-rushing help on the edge, including but not limited to the Panthers, Bears, 49ers, and Falcons. One of those teams has to call Williams’ name, in my opinion.
• Colston Loveland draft position over/under (19.5): Loveland is a good talent at tight end, but he’s the second-best prospect at the position and I don’t see a ton of tight end-needy teams in the first 19 picks. The Chargers are heavily favored to draft him, but they don’t pick until 22. I like the +140 odds on the over 19.5 to say the Chargers stay put to take him, especially after Denver added Evan Engram to fill their TE void.

1. Titans: Cam Ward, QB (Miami)

Depending on the sportsbook you view, Cam Ward is getting anywhere from -10000 to -20000 odds to be the first-overall pick. It wouldn’t surprise me if the Titans confirm this ahead of draft night.

2. Browns: Travis Hunter, CB/WR (Colorado)

As of early-April, Travis Hunter became the odds-on favorite to be the second-overall pick in the NFL Draft. It was widely believed the Browns were going to select Abdul Carter here, but since the Colorado Pro Day, where Cleveland sent tons of personnel, we have seen Hunter become a very heavy favorite to go #2.

3. Giants: Abdul Carter, DL (Penn State)

As I discussed in my disagreements section above, this one doesn’t make a ton of sense to me. But I also couldn’t find a very suitable trade partner for the Giants to get out of this spot and Abdul Carter still be the pick. Carter is as short as -250 to be selected with the third-overall pick.

4. Patriots: Will Campbell, OL (LSU)

Will Campbell has recently become the odds-on favorite to be selected with the fourth-overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. This one makes a lot of sense to me, as the Patriots are in dire need of some help on the offensive line, and I didn’t really buy into Campbell’s draft stock tanking because of his short arms. His short arms managed to put together a fantastic career at LSU, playing against the SEC’s best pass-rushers, many of which are NFL-bound (or already there).

5. Jaguars: Mason Graham, DL (Michigan)

The Jaguars have a roster full of holes, maybe none more glaring than the interior of their defensive line, though. This is why Mason Graham is the odds-on favorite to be the fifth-overall pick. Graham’s draft position over/under is also set at 5.5 with the under heavy favored.

6. Raiders: Ashton Jeanty, RB (Boise State)

Ashton Jeanty’s draft position over/under is listed at 9.5, but the under is getting -250 odds. If you scroll to the “player drafted by” betting markets at DraftKings, the Raiders are -150 favorites to select the Boise State running back.

7. Jets: Armand Membou, OL (Missouri)

Armand Membou’s draft position over/under is listed at 6.5 with the over favored to hit. However, he’s a heavy -550 favorite to be taken in the top ten of the NFL Draft. So, slotting him into the Jets at #7 satisfies both of those props, while the pick also makes a lot of sense. New York has done some nice work improving their offensive line in the last year, but they still need one more OT.

8. Panthers: Jalon Walker, LB (Georgia)

Jalon Walker’s over/under is 8.5 with the under receiving better odds. He is also favored to be the first linebacker off the board, which does not include edge players. Though, Walker may end up playing a bit of a hybrid / position-less role in the NFL, which would be a great fit for what the Panthers need right now.

9. Saints: Will Johnson, CB (Michigan)

I know one betting market favors the Saints to draft Shedeur Sanders, but it’s a market with a massive overround. So, I don’t put a ton of stock into it. New Orleans needs a corner to replace Marshon Lattimore, and Will Johnson is favored to be the second corner off the board.

10. Bears: Shemar Stewart, DL (Texas A&M)

This is the first pick where I have a player slotted in who I have no betting data around, and it’s because the other top edge prospects are projected to go later in the draft according to their betting markets. So, Shemar Stewart is headed to Chicago in this mock, as the Bears need to get Montez Sweat some helpi n rushing the passer.

11. 49ers: James Pearce Jr, DL (SEC)

And here is the second instance where I have a player in the mock who lacks NFL Draft betting odds. It comes for the same reason as above: the 49ers need help on their defensive line. James Pearce Jr is in that second tier of pass-rushers, where each team might have a different opinion on who is best.

12. Cowboys: Tetairoa McMillan, WR (Arizona)

The Cowboys are pretty heavily favored to take a wide receiver with their first pick in the draft, and Tet McMillan is the heavy favorite to be the first wide receiver taken.

13. Dolphins: Kelvin Banks Jr, OL (Texas)

Kelvin Banks Jr’s draft position over/under is listed at 13.5 with the under favored. Sportsbooks also strongly believe Miami will take an offensive lineman with their first pick. This one just makes a lot of sense.

14. Colts: Tyler Warren, TE (Penn State)

Indianapolis is heavily favored to take a tight end with their first pick. Tyler Warren is favored to be selected by the Colts, and his over/under is 9.5 with the over favored. Warren would give Shane Steichen an extremely tough and versatile weapon to help make life easier on Anthony Richardson or Daniel Jones.

15. Falcons: Jahdae Barron, CB (Texas)

I think this pick is most likely an edge player for the Falcons, but the sportsbooks haven’t really lined this up well. Atlanta is favored to take an edge player too, but Mykel Williams’ over/under is 15.5 with the over favored. According to the odds to be the first and second DL/edge player selected, Williams is more likely than Mike Green, whose over/under is 17.5 with the under favored. So, I have put Jahdae Barron in this spot, as Atlanta could use another corner as well, and his over/under is 18.5 with the under favored.

16. Cardinals: Mykel Williams, DL (Georgia)

Mykel Williams’ over/under is 15.5 with the over favored. I’m getting him in here as quickly as I could, and it makes sense to the Cardinals, as they are favored to take a defensive lineman / edge player with their first pick as well.

17. Bengals: Mike Green, DL (Marshall)

The Bengals are also heavily-favored to go with a DL/edge with their first pick, and Mike Green fits. The Marshall product is favored to be taken among the first 17 picks (odds say under 17.5). Green would be a nice complement to Trey Hendrickson, assuming the Bengals are able to work things out with the NFL’s leader in sacks last season, and helps their pursuit of fixing an awful defense from last season.

18. Giants (via Seahawks): Shedeur Sanders, QB (Colorado)

Ok, Shedeur Sanders needs to come off the board eventually. While he is favored to be a top ten pick, I don’t put much stock into the market, as you cannot bet the other side (not top ten). Sanders’ over/under is set at 8.5 with the over heavily favored. I manufactured this trade with the Seahawks, who are in a bit of an uncertain place right now and could probably use some extra darts to throw at the board, and it could net them the 34th pick, 65th pick, and 99th pick in this year’s draft (or swap out any of those for similar value in next year’s draft as well; or get really crazy and make it Burns/Thibodeaux since they take Abdul Carter third-overall). I cannot see the Giants being satisfied with their QB room of Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston, and there are too many uncertainties in tanking for Arch already. According to the betting odds, someone needs to come get Sanders soon, as he is heavily favored to be the second QB off the board, and Jaxson Dart’s over/under says he’s being taken soon too.

19. Chargers (via Bucs): Colston Loveland, TE (Michigan)

Colston Loveland’s over/under is set at 19.5 with the under favored. Yet, the Chargers are heavily favored to be the team who selects him, in spite of them not picking until 22. So, I have had to manufacture another trade to get LA up a few spots, which they may feel some urgency to do, as the Broncos could have some interest in Loveland at 20.

20. Broncos: Matthew Golden, WR (Texas)

While the Broncos are favored to take a running back with their first pick, that market has a very high overround and I refuse to put much weight behind it. Wide receiver is another position with short odds on the Broncos list of targets with their first pick, and Matthew Golden’s over/under sits at 17.5 with the over favored. Denver’s receiving corps, outside of Courtland Sutton, let them down in a big way during their playoff loss, as well as a few other times during the season. Sean Payton understands the urgency to win before having to pay Bo Nix, and they need a good #2 option behind Sutton, especially one with speed.

21. Steelers: Jaxson Dart, QB (Ole Miss)

It seems likely the Steelers are going to sign Aaron Rodgers at some point this offseason, but the Steelers need to rejuvenate their QB room with some youth and figure out a future option at the position – Mason Rudolph is not it. Jaxson Dart’s draft position over/under is 24.5 with the under favored.

22. Buccaneers (via Chargers): Jihaad Campbell, LB (Alabama)

Jihaad Campbell’s over/under is 18.5 with the over favored. Tampa Bay’s position of first drafted player odds strongly favor either a defensive lineman or linebacker, which makes sense in looking at their roster as well. This seems like a perfect fit, as Lavonte David can eventually hand over the torch to Campbell.

23. Packers: Emeka Egbuka, WR (Ohio State)

Emeka Egbuka to the Packers doesn’t satisfy all of the betting odds, but it takes care of the more meaningful props. Egbuka’s over/under is 29.5 with the under favored. DraftKings also has over 2.5 wide receivers taken in the first round as a heavy -270 favorite versus the under. Looking down the rest of the board, the Texans are the only other team where it would make sense seeing a wide receiver selected, barring another trade, but Houston has massive issues on their offensive line, and the odds suggest they will start to address those problems. Green Bay is heavily favored to take a defensive lineman / edge or corner, but this one makes a lot of sense with Christian Watson’s timetable for return up in the air, and their general need for more talent at WR.

24. Vikings: Maxwell Hairston, CB (Kentucky)

At this point of the mock, I am starting to run out of meaningful betting markets available. There are only two more players with draft position over/unders, so I have to start leaning on less trustworthy markets. Sportsbooks believe the Vikings are taking a safety or corner with their first pick in the draft. Though Malaki Starks’ over/under is 23.5 with equal odds on both sides, the odds to be the first safety taken strongly favor Nick Emmanwori. But these two players make more sense later on in the first round. So, I have gone with a corner here, mocking Maxwell Hairston from Kentucky to the Vikings, which also helps me reach the heavily favored over 14.5 players from the SEC taken in the first round.

25. Texans: Josh Simmons, OL (Ohio State)

The Texans are heavily favored to take an offensive lineman with their first pick, and Josh Simmons has the fourth-best odds to be the first OL taken. So, he’s coming off the board as the fourth OL.

26. Bears (via Rams): Omarion Hampton, RB (North Carolina)

Omarion Hampton’s over/under is listed at 19.5 with the over favored. He has the second-best odds to be the first RB off the board, by a wide margin, so I have him as the second RB taken. I have manufactured another trade here because there isn’t a team still to pick in the first round who would be eyeing a running back. The Bears have short odds to take a running back with their first pick, so I’m coming back to them, as they have the draft capital to easily make this move up. Ben Johnson gets his two-headed RB attack in Chicago, though Hampton might operate as more of the lead-back.

27. Ravens: Tyler Booker, OL (Alabama)

Tyler Booker has the fifth-best odds to be the first OL taken, so he’s coming off as the fifth lineman. Baltimore needs to improve the interior of their offensive line, and Booker can do that from Day 1.

28. Lions: Donovan Ezeiruaku, DL (Boston College)

Detroit is heavily favored to take a defensive lineman / edge player with their first pick in the draft, but I do not have more meaningful data on which player comes next. Donovan Ezeiruaku fits into the tier after Mykel Williams and Mike Green, according to the odds to be the second DL/edge taken. So, he’s getting mocked to Detroit, which does make sense based off the Lions’ needs.

29. Commanders: Nick Emmanwori, S (South Carolina)

Nick Emmanwori is favored to be the first safety taken in the draft, but Washington is given quite long odds (+900) to take a safety with their first pick. This is weird to me, though, as it’s probably one of their biggest weaknesses on defense. So, I’m turning my back on the big overround of that betting market, and instead siding with Emmanwori, which also satisfies the need for more defenders, specifically ones from the SEC, coming off the board.

30. Bills: Walter Nolen, DL (Ole Miss)

The Bills are given pretty short odds to take a defensive lineman / edge player with their first pick, and given the Joey Bosa signing, I believe this pick is going to come on the interior. Walter Nolen brings some pass-rush from the inside to help protect Bosa and Greg Rousseau on the outside, while also adding some extra beef to help stop the run.

31. Chiefs: Derrick Harmon, DL (Oregon)

The Chiefs had to completely sellout to stop Saquon Barkley in the Super Bowl, which left receivers running wide open down the field. Kansas City needs to add some extra run-stuffers up front to bring their defense back to a dominant level, and the sportsbooks agree, listing DL/edge at +150 odds to be the position of their first drafted player. Derrick Harmon can help do that.

32. Eagles: Malaki Starks, S (Georgia)

The final pick of the first round is held by the reigning champion Eagles, who saw a good number of key contributors walk in free agency. Though sportsbooks favor them taking a DL/edge player with their first pick, I wanted to get Malaki Starks in here, whose over/under is listed at 23.5. Plus, it’s hard to imagine Philadelphia not addressing their needs in the secondary after they saw how bad things can get due to a bad secondary.

All NFL Draft Bets I Have Made

Here’s a running list of the NFL Draft bets I have placed using my NFL mock(s) above:

1. Colston Loveland draft position over 19.5 at DraftKings (+140) – 1 unit on April 9
2. Mykel Williams draft position under 15.5 at ESPN Bet (+115) – 1 unit on April 9
3. Ashton Jeanty 3rd pick at bet365 (+10000) – 0.25 units on April 9
4. Shedeur Sanders 3rd pick at bet365 (+650) – half-unit on April 9
5. Jalon Walker draft position over 8.5 at bet365 (+200) – half-unit on April 4
6. Omarion Hampton draft position under 19.5 at bet365 (-110) – 1 unit on April 4
7. Mike Green draft position over 17.5 at bet365 (+100) – half-unit on April 4
8. Armand Membou draft position under 6.5 at DraftKings (+160) – 1 unit on April 4
9. Will Johnson first DB drafted (not including T Hunter) at BetMGM (-110) – 1 unit on March 31

2025 NFL Draft Order

The current order of the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft is as follows:

1. Tennessee Titans
2. Cleveland Browns
3. New York Giants
4. New England Patriots
5. Jacksonville Jaguars
6. Las Vegas Raiders
7. New York Jets
8. Carolina Panthers
9. New Orleans Saints
10. Chicago Bears
11. San Francisco 49ers
12. Dallas Cowboys
13. Miami Dolphins
14. Indianapolis Colts
15. Atlanta Falcons
16. Arizona Cardinals
17. Cincinnati Bengals
18. Seattle Seahawks
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20. Denver Broncos
21. Pittsburgh Steelers
22. Los Angeles Chargers
23. Green Bay Packers
24. Minnesota Vikings
25. Houston Texans
26. Los Angeles Rams
27. Baltimore Ravens
28. Detroit Lions
29. Washington Commanders
30. Buffalo Bills
31. Kansas City Chiefs
32. Philadelphia Eagles

Every single team currently holds their own first-round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. That could change between now and April 24, though.

What is a practice draft?

A practice draft is more commonly referred to as an NFL mock draft. Members of the media, analysts, insiders, and plenty of fans create their own NFL mock drafts ahead of the NFL Draft each year, predicting how the draft will play out (which players will be drafted by each team).

Who gets the first pick in the NFL Draft 2025?

At the moment, the Tennessee Titans hold the first pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, as they finished the previous season with the worst record.

What is the point of NFL mock drafts?

The point of an NFL mock draft is to simply predict how the draft will play out, with the end goal of driving conversation and engagement from fans of each team.

How Does Drafting Work in the NFL?

All 32 teams receive one pick in each of the NFL Draft’s seven rounds. The order of those picks within each round is determined by how each team finished the previous season. The worst team from the previous season will get the first pick, while the Super Bowl winner will get the last pick – it follows a reverse order of previous year’s record.

What is an NFL mock draft simulator?

An NFL mock draft simulator allows you to play the role of GM and work through the upcoming draft. Depending on the sophistication of the simulator you are using, you will be able to make each draft pick for your team and potentially facilitate draft pick trades. However, you can also do an NFL mock draft the old fashioned way with a pen and piece of paper or spreadsheet.

When is the 2025 NFL Draft?

The first round of the 2025 NFL Draft gets underway at 8pm ET on Thursday, April 24.

Where is the 2025 NFL Draft?

The 2025 NFL Draft is being held at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. It is the first time the NFL Draft has been hosted in Green Bay.