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2025-26 NFL Conference Championship Odds Tracker

Matt McEwan

By Matt McEwan

Updated:

I am tracking the odds to win the 2026 AFC and NFC Championships all season long—also read as which two teams will play in Super Bowl 60—from the moment they opened on February 21. The graphs containing NFL conference championship odds below have been generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources.

You can see the most recent odds to win each NFL conference, as well as how the odds to win the AFC Championship and NFC Championship have changed throughout the course of the 2025-26 NFL season below.

AFC | NFC

Odds to Win 2025 AFC Championship

Sports Betting Dime

After winning their third straight AFC Championship, the Chiefs are again favored to win the AFC title in 2025-26. Kansas City still has Patrick Mahomes under center, which will likely keep them a top contender as long as he’s playing at an elite level, and they should get Rashee Rice back from injury as well. The big task for the Chiefs this offseason will be revamping their offensive line.

AFC Championship Odds

sport icon Team Best Odds Best Odds BetMGM bet365 DraftKings Caesars Sportsbook
KC KC Caesars Sportsbook +375 +350 +300 - +375
BAL BAL BetMGM +350 +350 +340 - +330
BUF BUF BetMGM +375 +375 +375 - +330
CIN CIN bet365 +1000 +850 +1000 - +900
LAC LAC Caesars Sportsbook +1400 +1200 +1100 - +1400
HOU HOU Caesars Sportsbook +1700 +1500 +1600 - +1700
DEN DEN BetMGM +2000 +2000 +1800 - +1200
PIT PIT BetMGM +2200 +2200 +1800 - +1800
MIA MIA bet365 +3000 +2000 +3000 - +2200
LV LV BetMGM +5000 +5000 +5000 - +4000
IND IND Caesars Sportsbook +5500 +4000 +5000 - +5500
NE NE Caesars Sportsbook +6500 +3500 +3500 - +6500
JAX JAX Caesars Sportsbook +6500 +4000 +5000 - +6500
NYJ NYJ Caesars Sportsbook +6500 +6000 +6000 - +6500
CLE CLE bet365 +10000 +8000 +10000 - +9000
TEN TEN BetMGM +10000 +10000 +10000 - +10000

Kansas City is the favorite to win the AFC Championship. The Chiefs are given +375 odds to win the AFC Championship. If you bet $20 on Kansas City, you would stand to win $75 and return $95. The Chiefs’ probability of winning the conference is 21%.

After the Chiefs in the AFC Championship odds are: the Ravens (+350), Bills (+375), Bengals (+1000), and Chargers (+1400).

AFC Conference odds in the table above are updated every 20-30 minutes from DraftKings, FanDuel and other top sportsbooks; if you’re not with DraftKings yet, be sure to check out our DraftKings promo code before making any bets.

Here are some notes on the AFC Championship odds movement:

  • [March 12] After acquiring DK Metcalf from the Seahawks, the Steelers saw their NFL Conference futures improve from +2750 to +2250. I think it’s likely we see Pittsburgh’s odds improve a little further if they manage to land Aaron Rodgers in free agency. Their top two WRs are among the best in the league, but they still need someone to distribute the ball.
  • [February 21] Yet again, the Kansas City Chiefs opened as the favorites to win the AFC Championship with slightly longer than 3-1 odds. The Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills opened in the same tier as the Chiefs, both getting odds shorter than +400. There was a significant drop to the next team, the Bengals, at just shorter than +900 odds. The team with the biggest difference in opening AFC Championship odds year-over-year was the Broncos, who opened at +6000 last year, but had the seventh-best opening odds at +1733. The Jets’ odds were a lot different from last season as well, seeing just shorter than 57-1 odds this season versus their +1500 odds from last season.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2024 AFC Championship game:

  • The New England Patriots have won 11 AFC Championships, the most conference championships of any team in the NFL
  • The Chiefs have won five of the last six AFC Championships
  • Three AFC teams have never been to a Super Bowl: Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, and Jacksonville Jaguars
  • The Patriots have won three of the last nine AFC Championships, and four of the last 11, but all came with Tom Brady under center
  • No AFC South team has won an AFC Championship since 2010, when the the Indianapolis Colts did so with Peyton Manning
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Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Odds to Win 2025 NFC Championship

Sports Betting Dime

The Philadelphia Eagles opened as the favorites to win the 2025-26 NFC Championship. This shouldn’t be a big surprise after the Eagles won the Super Bowl last season. What may be a little surprising is how short their odds were at opening (+295), considering it was well-known they would lose a handful of key players to free agency.

NFC Championship Odds

sport icon Team Best Odds Best Odds BetMGM bet365 DraftKings Caesars Sportsbook
PHI PHI BetMGM +300 +300 +300 - +290
DET DET BetMGM +450 +450 +400 - +450
SF SF BetMGM +800 +800 +700 - +700
WAS WAS Caesars Sportsbook +900 +850 +850 - +900
GB GB BetMGM +1000 +1000 +1000 - +1000
LA LA Caesars Sportsbook +1100 +900 +1000 - +1100
MIN MIN BetMGM +1800 +1800 +1800 - +1200
TB TB BetMGM +1800 +1800 +1600 - +1800
CHI CHI BetMGM +2000 +2000 +1600 - +1800
SEA SEA bet365 +3000 +2000 +3000 - +3000
DAL DAL BetMGM +3000 +3000 +2800 - +2800
ATL ATL BetMGM +3000 +3000 +3000 - +2800
ARI ARI bet365 +3500 +2800 +3500 - +3000
CAR CAR BetMGM +8000 +8000 +8000 - +7000
NO NO bet365 +10000 +8000 +10000 - +8500
NYG NYG BetMGM +10000 +10000 +10000 - +10000

The Eagles are the favorites to win the NFC Championship with +300 odds. If you bet $20 on Philadelphia, you would stand to win $60 and return $80. Based off those odds, the probability of the Eagles winning the NFC Championship this season is 25%.

The other top NFC Championship contenders include: the Lions (+400), 49ers (+800), Commanders (+900), and Packers (+1100).

Here are some notes on the NFC Championship odds movement:

  • [March 12] The LA Rams saw their NFC title odds improve from +1225 to +1050 after re-signing Matthew Stafford and adding Davante Adams in free agency. The Minnesota Vikings, on the other hand, saw their odds fade from +1600 to +2100 after losing Sam Darnold in free agency, leaving second-year pro JJ McCarthy as the projected starter at this point.
  • [February 21] The Philadelphia Eagles opened as the favorites to win the NFC Championship with shorter than 3-1 odds. The Lions were a close second at opening with just longer than +400 odds. The NFC team with the biggest difference in opening odds year-over-year is the Commanders, who opened last season at 55-1 odds to win the NFC Championship, but had the fourth-best opening odds this season at +900. The 49ers were one of the bigger surprises at opening, as they were given the third-best odds in spite of missing the playoffs last season.

Some trends to consider before placing any wagers on who will win the 2024 NFC Championship game:

  • Since 1999, only one team has repeated as NFC Champions: the Seattle Seahawks in 2014 and 2015
  • The NFC’s no. 1 or 2 seed has represented the conference in the Super Bowl 12 of the last 14 years—it has not happened in two of the last five years
  • No NFC North team has won an NFC Championship since 2011 when the Green Bay Packers accomplished the feat
  • The Detroit Lions are the only NFC team who has never won the conference championship

Archived NFL Conference Championship Odds:

Matt McEwan
Matt McEwan

Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert

With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.

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