15 Crazy Super Bowl Betting Trends to Know Before Super Bowl 59

Before you make your final decision on betting either the Kansas City Chiefs or Philadelphia Eagles for Super Bowl 59, make sure you’ve done your research! A good starting point will be ensuring you know the 2025 Super Bowl odds. As you move your way down that list of research, eventually you’ll want to know these mind-blowing, historically-rooted Super Bowl trends.

1) Teams Wearing White Jerseys Have Edge in Super Bowl

This is one of the strongest, yet most obscure, Super Bowl trends you will find! The team wearing their white jerseys has won 16 of the last 20 Super Bowls now.

The only three teams (one of them has accomplished this feat twice) to win a Super Bowl in the last 20 years without wearing their white jerseys were the:

1. Green Bay Packers in Super Bowl 45
2. Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 52
3. Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 54 & 58

Last year’s designated home team, the Kansas City Chiefs, chose to wear their red jerseys, and they proved (yet again) they are above this trend.

This year, the Eagles had the decision on which jerseys to wear as the home team, and they chose green, in spite of not only this trend, but also losing to the Chiefs in Super Bowl 57 while wearing green. So, it will be the Chiefs wearing white and on the right side of this trend in Super Bowl 59.

2) Favorites Hold a Hefty Advantage in Super Bowl History

Favorites absolutely dominated the early Super Bowls, as only three underdogs won in the first 14 years. Entering Super Bowl 59, favorites are 37-21 in the championship game.

You can see who the favorite was each year with our past Super Bowl betting lines. The Chiefs are listed as the favorites over the Eagles in Super Bowl 59.

This trend has recently reversed, though …

3) Underdogs Have the Edge in Recent Super Bowls

Underdogs have had a lot of success in the Super Bowl lately. Looking to the last 13 big games, underdogs have won nine of them outright.

The Los Angeles Rams, New England Patriots, and Kansas City Chiefs are the only teams who have won the Super Bowl as the favorite in the last 13 years —New England did it in Super Bowl 51 and 53.

The Kansas City Chiefs are favored to win the 2025 Super Bowl, making the Philadelphia Eagles the underdogs.

4) Super Bowl Experience Doesn’t Matter

So much for experience matters, right? The team with fewer Super Bowl-experienced players has gone on to win ten of the last 18 Super Bowls.

With the Chiefs and Eagles having met in the Super Bowl just two years ago, both sides have a fair amount of players with Super Bowl experience. The Chiefs also played in the big game last year, though.

Both teams have eight offensive starters with Super Bowl experience, but all 11 of the Chiefs starting defenders were on their Super Bowl team last year (and some in previous Super Bowl appearances as well), while Philadelphia only has six defensive starters with Super Bowl experience. If you get into the backups on both rosters, Kansas City has the advantage there too.

So, the Chiefs will serve as the more Super Bowl-experienced team (again).

5) AFC Wins Super Bowls in February

Super Bowl 36 marked the first time the NFL’s championship game was played in February. It has only been played in January once since then.

The AFC hopes the game remains in February moving forward, as they are 14-8 in Super Bowls played in the month of February.

Super Bowl 59 will take place Sunday, February 9th.

6) AFC West Teams in the Super Bowl Means Upset

Underdogs have won the recent Super Bowls that feature a team from the AFC West – Denver Broncos, Kansas City Chiefs, Las Vegas Raiders, or Los Angeles Chargers.

Here’s a look at the last nine Super Bowls that have included a team from the AFC West:

• Super Bowl 58 (Chiefs beat the 49ers as 1.5-point underdogs)
• Super Bowl 57 (Chiefs beat the Eagles as 1.5-point dogs)
• Super Bowl 55 (Buccaneers beat Chiefs as 3-point dogs)
• Super Bowl 54 (Chiefs beat 49ers as 1.5-point favorites)
• Super Bowl 50 (Broncos beat Panthers as 4.5-point dogs)
• Super Bowl 48 (Seahawks beat Broncos as 2-point dogs)
• Super Bowl 37 (Bucs beat Raiders as 4-point dogs)
• Super Bowl 33 (Broncos beat Falcons as 7.5-point favorites)
• Super Bowl 32 (Broncos beat Packers as 11-point dogs)

The Chiefs overcame this trend four years ago against the 49ers, winning as a favorite in a Super Bowl that included an AFC West team, but advanced this trend in Super Bowls 55, when they lost as favorites, 57 and 58, when they won as underdogs. They serve as the favorite in Super Bowl 59, though.

7) NFC Likes Super Bowls in Domes

The NFC has enjoyed when Super Bowls are played indoors. They are now 16-7 when the game is held indoors, as we have most recently seen the Rams beat the Bengals in Super Bowl 56 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, the Patriots beat the Rams in Super Bowl 53 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, and the Eagles beat the Patriots in Super Bowl 52 at US Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.

The NFC did lose Super Bowl 57 at State Farm Stadium (a dome) in Glendale, Arizona, as well as Super Bowl 58 at Allegiant Stadium (a dome) in Paradise, Nevada. Super Bowl 59 will also be played in a dome – the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana.

8) Underdogs Like a Male-Led Halftime Show

The last eight Super Bowls to feature a male-led halftime show were:

• Super Bowl 58 (Usher) – the Chiefs beat the 49ers as underdogs
• Super Bowl 56 (Snoop, Dre, Eminem) – the Rams beat the Bengals as favorites
• Super Bowl 55 (The Weeknd) – the Buccaneers upset the Chiefs
• Super Bowl 53 (Maroon 5) – the Patriots beat the Rams as favorites
• Super Bowl 52 (Justin Timberlake) – the Eagles upset the Patriots
• Super Bowl 50 (Coldplay) – the Broncos upset the Panthers
• Super Bowl 48 (Bruno Mars) – the Seahawks upset the Broncos
• Super Bowl 44 (The Who) – the Saints upset the Colts

As you see, underdogs won six of those eight games, with the Rams & Patriots serving as the only favorites to win. Super Bowl 59 sees Kendrick Lamar performing at halftime.

9) NFC Likes a Packed Super Bowl Stadium

Super Bowls 48 (Seahawks over Broncos), 45 (Packers over Steelers), and 44 (Saints over Colts) all had at least 72K people in the stands and were all won by the NFC. It’s not clear whether the Caesars Superdome will be completely full, it does have the capacity to seat 83,000 fans.

10) Underdogs Thrive with Low Totals

The last eight Super Bowls that meet this criteria are:

• Super Bowl 58 where the Chiefs upset the 49ers when the over.under was 49.5
• Super Bowl 56 where the favored Rams beat the Bengals when the over/under was set at 48.5
• Super Bowl 52 where the Eagles upset the Patriots when the over/under was set at 49
• Super Bowl 50 where the Broncos upset the Panthers when the over/under was set at 43
• Super Bowl 49 where the Patriots upset the Seahawks when the over/under was set at 47.5
• Super Bowl 48 where the Seahawks upset the Broncos when the over/under was set at 47.5
• Super Bowl 47 where the Ravens upset the 49ers when the over/under was set at 48

The total in Super Bowl 59 is currently set at 49.5.

11) FOX Favors the AFC in Super Bowls

The AFC has the recent edge when it comes to Super Bowls broadcast by FOX. They have actually won each of the last three on FOX, as well as six of the last nine, but are 6-4 all-time on FOX. Here’s a look at the ten Super Bowls on FOX:

• Super Bowl 57 – Chiefs beat the Eagles
• Super Bowl 54 – Chiefs beat the 49ers
• Super Bowl 51- Patriots beat the Falcons
• Super Bowl 48 – Seahawks get a win for the NFC, dominating the Broncos
• Super Bowl 45 – Packers get a win for the NFC, narrowly defeating the Steelers
• Super Bowl 42 – Giants upset the Patriots, scoring a win for the NFC
• Super Bowl 39 – the Patriots beat the Eagles
• Super Bowl 36 – the Patriots stun the Rams
• Super Bowl 33 – the Broncos beat the Falcons to repeat
• Super Bowl 31 – the Packers win the first Super Bowl broadcast on FOX, beating the Patriots

12) Favorites Show Up in Louisiana Super Bowls

Here’s a list of the ten Super Bowls played in Louisiana, which is where Super Bowl 59 will be played:

• Super Bowl 4 – the Vikings were upset by the Chiefs
• Super Bowl 6 – the Cowboys crushed the Dolphins as favorites
• Super Bowl 9 – the favored Steelers beat the Vikings
• Super Bowl 12 – the Cowboys beat the Broncos as favorites
• Super Bowl 15 – the Raiders upset the Eagles
• Super Bowl 20 – the heavily-favored Bears dominated the Patriots
• Super Bowl 24 – the heavily-favored 49ers dominated the Broncos
• Super Bowl 31 – the Packers beat the Patriots as 14-point favorites
• Super Bowl 36 – the Rams were upset by the Patriots
• Super Bowl 47 – the Ravens upset the 49ers

As you can see, favorites hold a 6-4 advantage in Louisiana, though underdogs have won each of the last two.

13) Trying to Repeat Is Hard

There are only eight teams who have won consecutive Super Bowl titles, with the Steelers accomplishing the feat twice. Many others have had the opportunity to repeat, but fell short in the championship game. Here’s a look at the 15 times where Super Bowl champions made it back to the big game:

• Super Bowl 58 – the defending champion Chiefs repeated as they defeated the 49ers
• Super Bowl 55 – the defending champion Chiefs lost to the Buccaneers
• Super Bowl 52 – the defending champion Patriots lost to the Eagles
• Super Bowl 49 – the Seahawks repeat bid came up short against the Patriots in dramatic fashion
• Super Bowl 39 – the Patriots repeated as champions, defeating the Eagles
• Super Bowl 33 – the Broncos hammered the Falcons to repeat as Super Bowl champions
• Super Bowl 32 – the Packers attempt at winning back-to-back was thwarted by the Broncos
• Super Bowl 28 – the Cowboys made good on their second attempt at repeating, beating the Bills for a second straight year
• Super Bowl 24 – the 49ers won their second straight championship in 1990, demolishing the Broncos 55-10
• Super Bowl 18 – Washington could not add their name to the list of repeat champions, falling to the Raiders in the Super Bowl
• Super Bowl 14 – the Steelers repeated as champions again, beating the Los Angeles Rams to hoist the Lombardi for a second straight season
• Super Bowl 13 – the Cowboys failed to repeat, losing to the Steelers in this one
• Super Bowl 10 – the Steelers became the third franchise to win back-to-back titles, beating the Cowboys in the second one
• Super Bowl 8 – the Miami Dolphins knocked off the Vikings to win back-to-back championships
• Super Bowl 2 – the Packers won the first two Super Bowls

The Chiefs will be attempting to repeat again, but this time it’s a threepeat, which is something no one has ever done.

14) Regular-Season Wins Mean Nothing in Super Bowl

*The New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles had identical 13-3 records when they met in Super Bowl 52, as did the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs (14-3 records) in Super Bowl 57; this is why there are missing wins/losses.

Apparently it’s true when you hear the announcers say, “it doesn’t matter how they got here”. The team with the worse regular season record is 14-3 in the last 19 Super Bowls.

The 2021 Los Angeles Rams (Super Bowl 56), 2016 New England Patriots (Super Bowl 51) and 2008 Pittsburgh Steelers (Super Bowl 43) are the only three teams in the last 19 years who possessed a better regular-season record than their Super Bowl opponent and went on to win the game.

The Chiefs finished the regular season 15-2, tying them for the league-best record, while the Eagles were only 14-3. So, advantage Philadelphia here.

15) The AFC Has the Edge in Recent Super Bowls

This trend looked even stronger four years ago, prior to the NFC winning two of the last four Super Bowls. Nevertheless, the NFC teams to win a Super Bowl in the last 12 years are the:

1. Los Angeles Rams, who beat the Cincinnati Bengals 23-20 in Super Bowl 56
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who took down the Chiefs in Super Bowl 55
3. Seattle Seahawks, who dismantled the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl 48
4. Philadelphia Eagles, who beat the New England Patriots in Super Bowl 52

The Kansas City Chiefs are the AFC champions, and will look to threepeat as Super Bowl champions.

The Eagles, Falcons, Panthers, 49ers (three times), Rams, and even those mighty Seahawks (Super Bowl 49) have fallen victim to AFC teams in this timeframe.

If you enjoyed these fun Super Bowl trends, check out our ATS and Over/Under trends for the Super Bowl. If you’re new to betting and find yourself wanting to back any of the trends above, see the following pages for help getting started:

• Super Bowl Betting Bonuses
• Super Bowl Betting Apps
• How to Bet on the Super Bowl
• Types of Super Bowl Bets
• What Are Super Bowl Prop Bets