Sun vs Liberty Picks, Odds & Best Bets for July 16

• The New York Liberty (20-4) host the Connecticut Sun (18-5) tonight in a battle of the 2 best teams in the WNBA’s Eastern Conference.
• Breanna Stewart, the reigning WNBA MVP, is questionable for the Liberty. Sabrina Ionescu will be counted on to step up if Stewart is out.
• Read below for our top picks from tonight’s important WNBA action.

The Sun visit the Liberty in important WNBA action tonight. Connecticut is looking to stay close to the Liberty in the standings in the Eastern Conference with the Olympic break coming up quickly. Sabrina Ionescu and her New York squad will look to earn another big win. The big question is around reigning WNBA MVP Breanna Stewart and whether or not she’ll miss this game for rest. Watch the game at 7 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

Sun vs Liberty Picks

• Sun +3.5 (-110)
• Sabrina Ionescu over 21.5 points (-115)

If Stewart does sit out of this big-time game, I expect the Sun to keep things close. Yes, they’re on the road, but this is a veteran squad led by DeWanna Bonner and they won’t be impacted too much by the New York home crowd. I’ll take Bonner to have a big game as the Sun keep things close into the fourth quarter. They have the talent to win outright, but I’ll play it safe and pick the Sun to cover the spread and stay within 3 points of the Liberty.

Ionescu is definitely suiting up tonight. She’ll be counted on to handle a bigger offensive load with Stewart potentially sidelined. She scored 28 points on Saturday at Chicago. Stewart sat out for that game, too, and Ionescu was up to the challenge of leading the New York offense.

Over at bet365, you can get -110 odds for the Sun to cover the spread and -115 odds for Ionescu to score 22 or more points.

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Sun vs Liberty Odds

Odds via bet365 as of Tuesday, July 16. Use bet365 promo code SBDXLM when you register for a new account today to receive a choice of welcome bonuses — a first-bet safety net of up to $1,000 or $150 in bonus bets when you make a first bet of at least $5.

The Liberty are expected to win this game. No surprise there, as they’re at home and have a better record than Connecticut. They’re -165 on the moneyline compared to +140 odds for the Sun. The spread favors New York by 3.5 points, with both sides featuring -110 odds. The points total is set at 154.0. The over and the under both have equal -110 odds.

Will Breanna Stewart Play?

Stewart will be on Team USA for the 2024 Olympics in Paris starting later this month. But for now, she’s questionable for the Liberty on Tuesday night for a potential rest day:

There’s a very busy injury report for the Liberty on Tuesday night, as they host the Sun for their first-half finale:
Nyara Sabally – QUESTIONABLE (Back)
Breanna Stewart – QUESTIONABLE (Rest)
Kayla Thornton – QUESTIONABLE (Neck)
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton – OUT (R. Knee@Winsidr

— Myles (@MylesEhrlich) July 15, 2024

Stewart isn’t the only New York player who could miss Tuesday night’s game, but she’s certainly the most impactful. She’s averaging a robust 19.3 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists per contest. She’s appeared in 23 games through the first half of the season, with Saturday’s game against the Sky the first one she’d missed all year.

Yes, Stewart will be missed if she doesn’t play in this one, but that just opens up more opportunities for Ionescu. She’s proven she can lead this team, so the Liberty are in good hands. Expect a close, hard-fought battle between the Sun and Liberty tonight at 7 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.