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Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Predictions, Odds & Props to Target (July 12)

Ethan Stone

by Ethan Stone in WNBA

Updated Jul 12, 2024 · 8:00 AM PDT

Fever.
Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark (22) shoots a 3-pointer Wednesday, July 10, 2024, during the game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.
  • The Indiana Fever and Phoenix Mercury face off Friday night at Gainbridge Fieldhouse for another round of WNBA action. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. on ION.
  • This matchup pits superstar rookie Caitlin Clark, who is only getting better, against Mercury standout Kahleah Copper.
  • See the Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever odds and predictions for July 12

Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever are back in action Friday night, hosting the Phoenix Mercury while looking to bring their home win record above .500 for the first time this season.

But Friday is a tough challenge for the Fever. Kahleah Copper and the Mercury have won their past 3 straight heading into tonight’s contest and boast one of the better offensive units in the league. There won’t be a lot of defense in this one, however, so expect some flashes.

Keep scrolling for a look at the best odds, player prop picks and a prediction for tonight’s matchup.

Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks

Phoenix is favored in this game (as you’ll see later) but the Fever are just getting better and better as Caitlin Clark further adjusts to the speed of the game.

Clark has averaged over 12 assists per game across her last 4 outings, which is just an absurd number. She’s posted 4 straight double-doubles with the WNBA’s first ever rookie triple-double mixed in there too. Oh, and she missed out on another triple double by just 1 rebound a few games before that.

Honestly, I’m a little surprised the Fever aren’t favored here. They’ve played legitimately well at home lately after starting 0-4 in such games, and the Mercury are not a top-tier team in the league. I’ll take Indiana to win this one outright.

IND vs. PHX pick: Fever ML +125

Fever vs. Mercury Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Phoenix Mercury -2.5 (-115) -150 O 174.5 (-110)
Indiana Fever +2.5 (-105) +125 U 174.5 (-110)

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As you can see, and as was mentioned earlier, the Mercury are one-possession favorites for Friday’s matchup in Indianapolis. The Mercury have -115 odds to win by 3 or more points. Phoenix is -150 ML with Indiana sitting at +125, very favorable odds for Indiana.

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Normally if a game between these 2 defenses was played I’d be reaching for the over, but 174.5 is a tough ask. The Fever haven’t played a game that went over this total since mid June and the Mercury have only done it in 2 of their last 7 outings.

Best Fever vs. Mercury Player Props for July 12

Player Props (Fever vs. Sky) Odds
Caitlin Clark over 18.5 Points -120
Caitlin Clark over 9.5 Assists -115
Kehleah Copper under 24.5 Points -125

Odds above via DraftKings Sportsbook. 

We all know you’re here to bet on Caitlin Clark, and it’s hard to blame you. She’s one of the most interesting athletes in sports right now and, as we’ve mentioned several times before, is only getting better and better as the season wears on. Clark recently dropped a season-high 29 points and has faced the Mercury before this season, only this time it’s at her home court. I feel we could be in for another big game.

As for this assists, folks this is essentially free. Clark has been over this total in her last 4 games and she is on a roll that has propelled her to No. 2 in the league in assists per game. I bet she’ll have the No. 1 spot soon enough.

Copper struggled heavily last time against the Fever, scoring just 7 points across 31 minutes. It’s obvious that the duo of Mitchell and Clark frazzled her last time, and though she’s rattled off some impressive games since then I think she’ll be slightly under this mark Friday evening.

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