Connecticut Sun vs Indiana Fever Odds, Player Props & Predictions (Aug 28)

• Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever host DeWanna Bonner and the Connecticut Sun on Wednesday
• The Sun have already beaten the Fever three times this season
• See the Connecticut Sun vs Indiana Fever odds, player props, and predictions for Aug. 28

Two of the hottest teams in the WNBA meet in Indianapolis on Wednesday night when the Connecticut Sun (22-7, 10-4 away) visit the Indiana Fever (14-16, 8-5 home) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse at 7:00 pm ET.

The Sun are half a game up on Minnesota for the #2 seed in the league entering play on Wednesday and already own a trio of wins against Caitlin Clark’s Fever. But Indiana, which started the year just 4-10, has gone 10-6 in its last 16 games including a 3-1 record since returning from the Olympic break.

Sportsbooks have taken notice of the Indiana’s improved play and Wednesday’s Sun vs Fever odds list Connecticut as modest 3.5-point road favorites.

Connecticut Sun vs Indiana Fever Odds

The Sun are -170 road favorites on the moneyline with the Fever coming back at +138. The game total is at just 163.5.

Thanks to a league-best defense that’s surrendering just 73.5 PPG, Connecticut has been one of the best under bets in the WNBA this season, going 13-16 O/U. But Indiana currently has the most overs in the WNBA at 19-11 O/U. Their games are averaging 169.4 PPG.

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Sun Dominated Fever Early in the Season

If the season ended today, Connecticut and Indiana would meet in the first round of the WNBA playoffs. That makes Wednesday’s matchup an important statement game for Clark and the Fever, who are 0-3 against the Sun so far this season. Connecticut blew out Indiana 92-71 (home) in the first game of the season on May 14, earned a narrow 88-84 (away) win on May 20, and most-recently dominated an 89-72 (home) decision on June 10.

Connecticut has also looked great since returning from the Olympic/All-Star break, going 4-1 including a road win over the league-leading New York Liberty last time out.

That said, the Fever have morphed into a very different team than the one that faced the Sun early in the season. With Clark blooming into a full-fledged superstar already, Indiana is 3-1 since the season resumed, including victories over 18-11 Seattle (92-75 home) and 16-15 Phoenix (98-89 home). Their only loss came on the road against West-leading Minnesota (90-80).

While Clark is only shooting 33.3% from three, she is second on the Fever in scoring at 18.0 PPG (just behind Kelsey Mitchell at 18.2) and leads the entire league in assists (8.2 APG). Aliyah Boston, the 2023 first-overall pick, has become a beast on the glass, averaging 9.2 RPG, which puts the 6’5 forward sixth in the WNBA.

Last time out, the Fever used a huge first half to dispatch the Dream in Atlanta. Indiana opened a 14-point lead by the break before hanging on for an 84-79 road win in a pick’em game.

CON Sun vs IND Fever Player Props

The Sun vs Fever player props on Wednesday list Caitlin Clark with a game-high point total of 19.5 followed by teammate Kelsey Mitchell at 16.5. DeWanna Bonner has the highest total among Connecticut players at 15.5, which is just below her season average of 16.2 PPG.

Aliyah Boston (9.2 RPG) and Alyssa Thomas (9.1 RPG) both have rebound totals of 9.5, but Boston is favored to go over (-136) while Thomas is favored to stay under (-154).

Connecticut Sun vs Indiana Fever

Connecticut isn’t getting enough respect in the WNBA championship odds, where they sit tied for third with Minnesota at +525, well back of the top-two favorites New York (+143) and Las Vegas (+285). But they’re also running into an Indiana team that’s won and covered three straight home games against above-.500 teams.

Caesars Sportsbook still lists the Sun vs Fever point spread at Connecticut -4 and has Indiana priced at +150 on the moneyline, which is just a 40% implied win probability.

No disrespect to the well-balanced Sun, whom I expect to give the top dogs a run for their money in the postseason, but the better value tonight is on the Clark and the surging Fever as sizable home underdogs.

Sun vs Fever picks:

• Fever moneyline (+150) at Caesars Sportsbook
• Over 163.5 (-110)