WTA Guadalajara Open Odds & First Round Picks

By Stephanie Myles in Tennis
Published:

- No. 1 Iga Swiatek and No. 2 Ons Jabeur are passing on the Guadalajara Open to prepare for the WTA Finals
- For the rest, with so many still in the race, the WTA 1000 will be a sprint for the pot of gold.
- Scroll down for best bets, analysis and predictions
The absence of the top two players in the world, along with a few other withdrawals, means that the odds for winning the Guadalajara Open are sky-high.
WTA Guadalajara Open First-Round Odds
Matchup | Odds |
---|---|
Zhu Lin (CHN) vs. Alizé Cornet (FRA) | +245 / -320 |
Victoria Azarenka (BLR) vs. Zhang Shuai (CHN) | -225 / +180 |
Liudmila Samsonova (RUS) vs. Kaia Kanepi (EST) | -295 / +225 |
Bianca Andreescu (CAN) vs. Jil Teichmann (SUI) | -400 / +295 |
Marta Kostyuk (UKR) vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich (BLR) | -115 / -105 |
Bernarda Pera (USA) vs. [16] Petra Kvitova (CZE) | +180 / -240 |
Ekaterina Alexandrova (RUS) vs. Camila Osorio (COL) | -360 / -+255 |
[10] Belinda Bencic (SUI) vs. Leylah Annie Fernandez (CAN) | -155 / +120 |
Ajla Tomljanovic (AUS) vs. [WC] Fernanda Contreras Gomez (MEX) | -750 / +450 |
Magda Linette (POL) vs. Madison Keys (USA) | +225 / -330 |
Beatriz Haddad Maia (BRA) vs. Katerina Siniakova (CZE) | -130 / +100 |
Marie Bouzkova (CZE) vs. Tereza Martincova (CZE) | -275 /+205 |
Elena Rybakina (KAZ) vs. Karolina Pliskova (CZE) | -235 / +175 |
Shelby Rogers (USA) vs. Martina Trevisan (ITA) | -310 / +225 |
Anna Kalinskaya (RUS) vs. Barbora Krejcikova (CZE) | +260 / -370 |
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There isn’t a single player, even No. 1 seed Paula Badosa, who is at better than +1000.
So, basically, it’s a tournament full of long shots – many of whom are still in the running for the race to the eight singles spots at the WTA year-end finals in Fort Worth, Texas in early November.
Aryna Sabalenka is at the top of the list, at +1100. No. 1 seed Badosa is at +1600.
Americans Coco Gauff (+1200) and Jessica Pegula (+1400) are near the top of the list. But they will have to hustle to Guadalajara from their double-header Sunday in San Diego when they played both their doubles semifinal and final. And won the tournament.
https://youtu.be/9D0zhzs5Tb4
Heat, Humidity and Altitude in Guadalajara Major Challenges
The weather conditions in Guadalajara are significantly different from what was an unseasonably cool and rainy week in San Diego.
As well, they are changing tennis balls again – from the Australian Open Dunlop ATP balls, to the Wilson US Open high altitude balls. This is a significant change. And usually, when the players come to Guadalajara, they have trouble adjusting and keeping the ball in the court. If they don’t do it in a hurry, they risk being eliminated from the tournament in a hurry.
It doesn’t really feel like it when you’re walking around. But the altitude in Guadalajara is 5,138 feet. But when you’re trying to recover from the grueling point, you’ll definitely feel it.
Best Bet: Barbora Krejcikova to win the tournament (+1200)
Best Longshot: Bianca Andreescu (+2000)
Rybakina vs Pliskova Pick
One’s the most recent Wimbledon champion who shouldn’t be unseeded but for the fact that those points didn’t count. The other is a former No. 1.
So there they are, two top-shelf (and similar) players stuck playing each other in the first round.
Rybakina arrived in San Diego from Ostrava last week and promptly pulled out of the tournament due to an unspecified illness.

She was out looking cheery on the practice court the next day, though. So it couldn’t have been too bad. And she had an opportunity to both adjust to the time change from the Czech Republic, and get to Guadalajara nice and early to adjust to those unique conditions.
The two met once, more than 2 1/2 years ago, when Pliskova was ranked No. 3 and Rybakina was on a tear to start 2020.
The Kazakh won that one. And you’d expect her to win this one as well.
Prediction: Rybakina over 12.5 Games Won (+120)
Azarenka vs Zhang Pick
This match of 30-somethings (both are 33) comes as Azarenka has played little in recent months, and Zhang is in slightly better form.

But the head-to-head is at 3-0 for the Belarussian. And none of the matches have even been close.
This might be different, though.
Prediction: Zhang in Three Sets (+475)
Pera vs Kvitova Pick
Kvitova took a wild card into her home-country event in Ostrava two weeks ago. And there she met Bernarda Pera for the first time, in the first round.
It went three sets, with Kvitova prevailing. But the conditions in Guadalajara might well mean the ball flies on Kvitova, who has never played any of the WTA tournaments at altitude in her career. And the steady Pera (a fellow lefty) might well be there to make it tough on her.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Sets (+155)


Sports Writer
Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.