Thiem vs Zverev Odds & Betting Preview: US Open Men’s Singles Finals
By Hayley Graham in Tennis
Updated: March 8, 2021 at 12:20 pm ESTPublished:
- Dominic Thiem and Alexander Zverev will compete for the US Open title Sunday
- This is Zverev’s first Grand Slam finals appearance
- The odds, preview and best bet are listed below
A new Grand Slam winner will be crowned on Sunday, as second-seed Dominic Thiem and fifth-seed Alexander Zverev play in the US Open men’s singles finals. These two are not strangers to each other, as this will be the 10th time they have faced each other in their careers.
Thiem holds the edge going into the match with -375 odds, having beat his semifinal opponent in straight sets.
Thiem vs Zverev US Open Final Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total at DraftKings |
|---|---|---|---|
| [2] Dominic Thiem | -5.5 (-107) | -400 | U 36.5 (-106) |
| [5] Alexander Zverev | +5.5 (-114) | +325 | O 36.5 (-114) |
Odds taken Sept 12
Thiem’s Road to the Finals
The second seed was up against 2019 US Open finalist Daniil Medvedev in his semifinal match. Thiem was able to defeat him 6-2, 7-6(7), 7-6(5), earning himself a ticket to his first US Open final, becoming the first Austrian to do so. Medvedev entered the semifinals match having only been broken three times all tournament, in 68 service games and was widely considered the one to beat. But it was Thiem who dominated the match, winning in straight sets and ending Medvedev’s US Open run.
🇦🇹🇦🇹🇦🇹🇦🇹🇦🇹🇦🇹🇦🇹🇦🇹🇦🇹
Dominic Thiem making history for Austrian tennis. #USOpen pic.twitter.com/XaMILXTsfH
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) September 12, 2020
This is Thiem’s fourth Major final, but the first one where he hasn’t had to face one of tennis’s ‘Big 3,’ likely making this his best chance to win his first Grand Slam title.
Zverev’s Road to the Finals
On Saturday night, Zverev earned a spot in the US Open final, his first appearance in a Grand Slam final in his career. But in the middle of the match, it didn’t seem like this was going to happen. Going into the third set of the semifinals, Zverev trailed by two sets. He was not on his game.
He double-faulted, was hitting balls into the net on multiple occasions, and found himself in a deficit that he’s never faced before. But he somehow managed to come back from all the mistakes and issues he had earlier in the match, and beat his opponent Pablo Carreno Busta in a five set marathon: 3-6, 2-6, 6-3, 6-4, 6-3.
What’s The Best Bet?
Thiem and Zverev will be going head-to-head for the 10th time in their careers, and the second time this year. The two last saw each other at the Australian Open where Thiem won 3-6, 6-4, 7-6(3), 7-6(4). The two have played each other a total of three times at a Grand Slam event, and Thiem has won them all.
Daniel Thiem vs Zverev Stats
| 3 | ATP Ranking | 7 |
| 26 | Age | 23 |
| 7 | Head-to-Head Wins | 2 |
Thiem has also won the last three matches where these two have seen each other. The last time Zverev won was in 2016 on a hard court.
Thiem will look to control the match with his dominant forehand, and Zverev will be looking to keep Thiem on his toes with his huge serve. But what we saw in the previous round was some inconsistency from Zverev. He won’t be able to afford those in this finals match. Thiem has a much stronger return than Medvedev’s semifinal opponent, so his big first serve is not going to be able to save him every time this match.
Thiem will once again look to dominate the match with his offence from the baseline. Interestingly, he’s been standing quite a bit back from the baseline, which has given him more time to react, and wiggle round to hit his effective forehand.
The impression of this match is, although the odds aren’t that close, that it is going to be a battle. Expect it to go the distance if both players show up with their strengths. But it looks to be Thiem who will be awarded his first Grand Slam title.
Best Bet: [2] Thiem (-400)
Sports Writer
A graduate of Sport Media at Ryerson University, Hayley is the ultimate student of sports. Whether she is playing it, watching it, debating it, or writing it, it's safe to assume sport consumes the majority of her life. She has worked both internationally and with the NBA.
