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Opening Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds for 2024 Wimbledon Final

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in Tennis

Updated Jul 12, 2024 · 4:32 PM PDT

Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic congratulate each other after the 2023 Wimbledon final
Jul 16, 2023; London, United Kingdom; Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) and Novak Djokovic (SRB) at the net after the men’s singles final on day 14 at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
  • For the second straight year, Carlos Alcaraz will meet Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon final
  • Alcaraz won a thrilling five-setter last year and is slightly favored to repeat as Wimbledon champion
  • Below, see the opening Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz for the 2024 Wimbledon men’s singles final

The 2024 men’s singles final at SW19 will be a repeat of last year as Novak Djokovic faces Carlos Alcaraz in the title match on Centre Court on Sunday, July 14.

Alcaraz won a thrilling five-set match last year to win his first Wimbledon title. With Djokovic coming off knee surgery just five weeks ago, Alcaraz is slightly favored to make it two in a row at the All England Club.

Opening Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total Sets
Novak Djokovic TBD +125 Over 4.5 (+200)
Carlos Alcaraz TBD -143 Under 4.5 (-275)

Alcaraz is -143 to win his second Wimbledon title while Djokovic is priced at +125 to win his record-tying eighth, which would match Roger Federer.

The game spread and over/under are still TBD. The set total is priced at +200 for another five-set affair.

Odds as of July 12 at bet365.  See the available 

Alcaraz vs Djokovic Head-to-Head History

Year Tournament Surface Winner/Score
2023 ATP Finals Hard (Indoor) Djokovic (6-3, 6-2)
2023 Cincinnati Masters Hard Djokovic (5-7, 7-6, 7-6)
2023 Wimbledon Grass Alcaraz (1-6, 7-6, 6-1, 3-6, 6-4)
2023 French Open Clay Djokovic (6-3, 5-7, 6-1, 6-1)
2022 Madrid Masters Clay Alcaraz (6-7, 7-5, 7-6)

Though Alcaraz won the final at Wimbledon last year, Djokovic is 3-2 all-time against the young Spaniard, including winning each of the last two meetings. Both of those were on hard court, though. Alcaraz is 1-0 against Djokovic on grass, 1-1 on clay, and 0-2 on hard court.

Djokovic Cruises to Wimbledon Final Despite Knee Surgery

Just over a month ago, Djokovic was forced to withdraw from the French Open ahead of his quarterfinal clash with Casper Ruud. He underwent surgery on his meniscus yet has looked no worse for wear throughout Wimbledon. Djokovic has won nine straight sets against Lorenzo Musetti, Holger Rune, and Alexei Popyrin en route to the finals, and also benefited from a withdrawal by Alex de Minaur in the quarters, meaning his rehabbing knee was saved a little court time.

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Prior to his loss to Alcaraz in the 2023 final, Djokovic had won 34 straight matches at SW19, including the 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022 crowns. (The 2020 tournament was canceled due to COVID.)

Alcaraz Pushed in Wimbledon Title Defense

The reigning-champion’s route back to the finals has been considerably tougher than Novak’s. After winning his first two matches in straight sets, Alcaraz has needed at least four sets in his last four, losing the first set in three of those matches. Alcaraz was taken to a fifth set by Francis Tiafoe in the third round, needing to win a fourth-set tiebreak just to stay in the match.

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For the second straight year, he got the better of former world #1 Daniil Medvedev in the semis (6-7, 6-3, 6-4, 6-4).

Alcaraz and Djokovic are scheduled to start their 2024 Wimbledon final at 9:00 am ET on Sunday.

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