Iga Swiatek vs Veronika Kudermetova Odds & Prediction – WTA Madrid Open Semifinals
By Stephanie Myles in Tennis
Published:
- Iga Swiatek will play Veronika Kudermetova in the second Madrid Open semifinal Thursday
- Kudermetova, No. 12 in the world, has never taken a set from the No. 1
- Scroll down as we look for value in this match for our Swiatek vs Kudermetova picks, in which Swiatek is an overwhelming favorite
Veronika Kudermetova is the No. 13 player in the world. So the fact that she’s such a huge underdog in the Swiatek vs Kudermetova odds at the Madrid Open semifinals against Iga Swiatek Thursday (4 pm EDT) tells you how dominant the world No. 1 is expected to be.
Swiatek vs Kudermetova Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| [1] Iga Swiatek (POL) | -6.5 (-114) | -1200 | O 18.5 (-106) |
| [12] Veronika Kudermetova (RUS) | +6.5 (-114) | +780 | U 18.5 (-126) |
At -1200 odds, No. 1 seed Swiatek is a massive favorite in the Swiatek vs Kudermetova semifinal at the Madrid Open Thursday. Kudermetova is the big underdog at +780 odds. Swiatek vs Kudermetova odds as of May 3 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Use this FanDuel promo code to bet on the Madrid Open semifinals.
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Martic No Match for Swiatek
Swiatek was a -2500 favorite going into her quarterfinals against No. 27 seed Petra Martic. And in the end, it played out exactly that way.
Martic has a varied game with a slice backhand she uses fairly regularly. And so on clay and on grass, she’s a far more formidable opponent than on hard court.
But not Wednesday; the Croat got just three games.
Swiatek won all but one of the points on Martic’s second serve. And you could almost see it coming in her previous match against Ekaterina Alexandrova. There was no joy in winning visible on the Polish’s star’s face, only annoyance at her own level. With a day to reset, she came out with a vengeance.
Kudermetova Reversing So-So Season
The 26-year-old Russian started the season fairly well in the two opening Adelaide tournaments. But then – with the notable exception of a semifinal in Doha – she went 3-7 in the rest of her tournaments heading into Madrid.
Unseeded in Stuttgart, which had almost all the top players, she bowed out to No. 5 seed Coco Gauff in a third-set tiebreak in the first round.
But Kudermetova has been top 10. And she has shown she has the level to beat most players on the day. So it wasn’t a shock to see her get through Stuttgart semifinalist Anastasia Potapova in a battle (6-3 in the third set), and No. 8 seed Daria Kasatkina (in a third-set tiebreak) earlier this week.
Most impressive was her three-set win over Jessica Pegula in the quarterfinals Wednesday, despite dropping the second set 6-0. She had Pegula visibly frustrated. And her level was generally high.
Swiatek vs Kudermetova Head-to-Head
| 21 (May 31, 2001) | Age | 26 (April 24, 1997) |
| Warsaw, Poland | Birthplace | Kazan, Russia |
| 5-9 | Height | 5-8 |
| 13 | Career WTA Singles Titles | 1 |
| No. 1 (April 4, 2022) | Career-Best Ranking | No. 9 (Oct. 24, 2022) |
| No. 1 | Current Ranking | No. 12 |
| $16,200,983 | Career Prize Money | $5,382,130 |
| 24-4 | 2022 Won/Loss Record | 14-9 |
| 3 | Head-to-Head Wins | 0 |
Kudermetova Has No Answers for Swiatek
Kudermetova’s problem now is how to find a solution against a player who has mopped the court with her in their three previous meetings.
All of those have come on hard courts, although only one has come in the last year and a half. So Swiatek won those first two before she was even Swiatek.
On clay, Swiatek has two French Open women’s singles trophies in her cabinet. She has lost just seven matches on the dirt in 59 career attempts at the pro level.
That is daunting.
Or Kudermetova might have discovered the secret this week: beer.
The Russian moves quite well, although the matching wraps on her upper thighs during the Pegula match might give a little pause.
But she doesn’t necessarily have the weapons to counter the chess game Swiatek plays on clay – the superior defence that will almost always force Kudermetova to hit one more shot. And given her risk level, that gives her one more chance to miss.
Every point. Rinse. Repeat.
Swiatek vs Kudermetova Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Doha (SF) | Outdoor Hard | 6-0, 6-1 | Swiatek |
| 2021 | Indian Wells (R32) | Outdoor Hard | 6-1, 6-0 | Swiatek |
| 2020 | US Open (R128) | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 6-3 | Swiatek |
Swiatek vs Kudermetova Prediction
We’re giving Kudermetova very little chance in this one in our Swiatek vs Kudermetova prediction, although you’d think, with the confidence gained this week, she’ll do better than in their previous meetings.
Swiatek vs Kudermetova Prediction: Over 18.5 Games (-102)
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Sports Writer
Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
