2020 French Open Men’s Singles Odds & Predictions to Win Every Quarter

By Dave Friedman in Tennis
Updated: September 28, 2020 at 3:46 pm EDTPublished:

- The French Open begins Sunday in Paris
- Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal are heavy favorites to win their quarters and be in the semifinals
- Betting value is out there when you break down each quarter and examine the players carefully
Rescheduled from May, the French Open gets going on Monday after being postponed because of COVID-19. There are a lot of uncertain elements this year. Roland Garros is using new balls, has a roof on Philippe-Chatrier, and the number of fans allowed will be severely limited.
Rafael Nadal did not travel to America for the US Open, but will seek to earn his record-setting 13th French Open title. He has won three straight. Nadal is looking for a 20th career major championship, which would tie Roger Federer for most all-time.
By looking at each quarter as its own competition, there is value to be found by choosing where to side with favorites, and where to shoot for a price.
2020 French Open Odds to Win Quarter #1
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Novak Djokovic | -225 |
Matteo Berrettini | +750 |
Pablo Carreno Busta | +1400 |
Roberto Bautista Agut | +1600 |
Cristian Garin | +2000 |
Karen Khachanov | +2000 |
Hubert Hurkacz | +3300 |
Jan-Lennard Struff | +3300 |
Guido Pella | +4000 |
Richard Gasquet | +4000 |
All odds as of Sep. 25th at Bet365
Novak Djokovic Isn’t Unbeatable But He Is Tough
We’ll never know whether Novak Djokovic, a heavy favorite at the US Open, would have scooped up his 18th major because of a bizarre situation that ended in his disqualification.

Djokovic rebounded by winning the French Open warm-up tournament on clay in Rome for a fifth time. He certainly may be eliminated before the semis in Paris, but is clearly the best player in this part of the draw. That said, he was knocked out in the quarters in 2017 and 2018 at Roland Garros.
If not Djokovic, Roberto Bautista Agut is consistently solid. He always shows up and can pick up the pieces if there is an upset.
Cristian Garin has never made a major run at a major, but he has played very well on clay this year.
2020 French Open Odds to Win Quarter #2
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Stefanos Tsitsipas | +350 |
Daniil Medvedev | +450 |
Andrey Rublev | +600 |
Denis Shapovalov | +600 |
Filip Krajinovic | +1000 |
Kevin Anderson | +2200 |
Dusan Lajovic | +2500 |
Sam Querrey | +5500 |
Marton Fucsovics | +5000 |
Nikoloz Basilashvili | +5000 |
This Is Where a Longshot May Lurk
There is nothing in sports betting better than a vulnerable favorite. Understanding chalk to lean on, and others to exploit is a great way to consider your options. The second quarter appears obvious, let’s find a price.
Stefanos Tsitsipas lost a classic to Stan Wawrinka last year at Roland Garros in the fourth round. It was his deepest pursuit in a major.

The emotional loss also led to a tailspin. So what’s new with Tsitsipas? He just lost a heartbreaker to Borna Ćorić in the third round at the US Open. Is a letdown next?
There is no question Daniil Medvedev looks like he has a very bright future. He reached the semis in New York, and his top five ranking is justified. His next win at the French Open will be his first. Two wins would boost confidence, taking the quarter isn’t overly likely.
Andrey Rublev is in the same boat as Medvedev. He is young, talented, playing well, and has never won a French Open match.
Denis Shapovalov is now ranked number 10, coming off his best major, a quarterfinal appearance in New York, and reached the Rome semis on clay. He makes a lot of sense.
If you are going for a bigger price, Dusan Lajovic may be a horse for the course. He likes clay, is playing well, and may have found the softest quarter of his major career.
2020 French Open Odds to Win Quarter #3
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Dominic Thiem | -138 |
Diego Schwartzman | +700 |
Stan Wawrinka | +1000 |
Casper Ruud | +1200 |
Felix Auger-Aliassime | +1200 |
Borna Coric | +1400 |
Gael Monfils | +1400 |
Andy Murray | +1800 |
Alexander Bublik | +4000 |
Taylor Fritz | +4000 |
To Thiem, or Not to Thiem?
Dominic Thiem is not Novak Djokovic or Rafael Nadal but he is playing well. Thiem won the United States Open, his first major title, after knocking on the door in recent years.

Thiem has reached the Final in Paris two straight years and was in the semis the previous two tournaments. After playing a lot in New York, he opted to skip warm-up tournaments for the French Open. If he has the strength remaining, he’ll be very tough at a discounted price because his name doesn’t reverberate like the two all-time greats in the field.
Diego Schwartzman beat Nadal during what may be his best career effort in Rome. He’s a viable option if Thiem falters.
Stan Wawrinka and Andy Murray meet in the first round. If you think the quarter is there for the taking, one of the proven veterans is an interesting price.
2020 French Open Odds to Win Quarter #4
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Rafael Nadal | -450 |
Alexander Zverev | +650 |
David Goffin | +2000 |
Alex De Minaur | +2500 |
Fabio Fognini | +2800 |
John Isner | +2800 |
Jannik Sinner | +3300 |
Kei Nishikori | +3300 |
Benoit Paire | +6600 |
Federico Coria | +8000 |
Try to Beat the 800-Pound Gorilla?
Nadal has played in 15 consecutive French Opens, winning a dozen of them. He is obviously the favorite, but perhaps his loss in Rome gives us reason to believe a small investment elsewhere is reasonable?

The three times Nadal has faltered in Paris he failed to make the semifinals. At -450 his implied probability is just under 82-percent to reach the semis. While that seems reasonable, who could upend him?
Alexander Zverev dropped a five-set final to Thiem in the US Open. He made the semis at the Australian Open this year, and each of the last two years has been in the French quarters. Zverez has clay-court tournament victories on his resume.
Italian veteran Fabio Fognini does his best work on clay. He has been to the fourth round at Roland Garros in back-to-back years and reached the quarterfinals in 2011.

Sports Writer
Dave Friedman has covered professional and college sports for two decades. From ESPN to the Associated Press, Regional Sports Networks, Metro Networks, and many local outlets, he has written about and broadcast major and minor events throughout the country.