Real Madrid vs Barcelona Odds & Prediction – Spanish Super Cup Final

• It’s Real Madrid vs Barcelona in the Spanish Super Cup final on Sunday, January 15
• It all takes place in the King Fahd International Stadium in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
• Find our Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

Not for the first time, the Spanish Super Cup final is an El Clasico, with Real Madrid vs Barcelona taking place in the King Fahd International Stadium in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on Sunday, January 15 at 2:00 pm ET.

To qualify for the final, Real Madrid beat Valencia on penalties on Wednesday, with Barcelona also needing penalties to defeat Real Betis on Thursday in semifinal 2.

We preview Real Madrid vs Barcelona, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and picks below.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Odds

Odds as of Jan 14 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

The odds say it all, with both teams in plus money. As always in the El Clasico, it’s on a knife edge, with Barca favorites by the narrowest of margins at +129, with a win probability of 44%. Real are narrow outsiders at +160 with an implied probability of 38%. The draw after 90 minutes, at +230 has an implied probability of 30%.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Over/Under and Spread

Oddsmakers are expecting there to be goals in this game with under 2.5 goals listed in plus money at +105 and the over pitched at odds-on at -135.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Preview

Real needed penalties to overcome Valencia on Wednesday after producing a lukewarm performance in semifinal 1. On a difficult night, they went ahead through Karim Benzema’s 39th-minute spot kick but Valencia equalized just a minute into the second period through Samuel Lino.

Extra-time produced no more goals, so it was via a penalty shoot-out that Los Blancos made it to the final, with Benzema, Luka Modric, Toni Kroos, and Marco Asensio successfully converting while Valencia missed twice.

🔜💪 We'll face @FCBarcelona in the #SuperSupercopa final! pic.twitter.com/F5V1Hdvwpg

— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) January 12, 2023

Los Blancos Looking for Second El Clasico Win of the Season

It’s a busy month for Real, who are still competing in four major competitions. In the Copa Del Rey, they next face Villarreal in the round-of-16 on January 19, and then in February, they face Liverpool over two legs in the last 16 of the Champions League.

But, while the Supercopa de Espana is not at the top of their list of priorities, any game against Barca is massive, and they have already beaten their biggest rivals once this season – a 3-1 win at the Santiago Bernabeu back in October.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Head-to-Head Stats

Pens Needed for Xavi’s Men in Semi

Like Real, Barca also needed penalties to get to this final after their game with Real Betis ended 2-2 after extra time. The Catalans led twice in the game, firstly through Robert Lewandowski in the 40th minute and then through Ansu Fati three minutes into extra time, but twice Betis were able to respond.

In a tense penalty shoot-out, Xavi’s side eventually emerged 4-2 winners and so qualified for the final for a record 25th time – 13 of which they have emerged as winners.

It's crunch time.

Ansu Fati: pic.twitter.com/KluGaswMCf

— FC Barcelona (@FCBarcelona) January 13, 2023

Barca Unbeaten Since October

Barca, like Real, have more important competitions ahead but, also like Real, never want to come second-best to their biggest rivals. They too have a Copa Del Rey round-of-16 tie upcoming against Ceuta and, while they are no longer in this season’s Champions League, they have a massive clash with Manchester United to come in the Europa League.

Barca warmed up nicely for this Super Cup tournament with an important 1-0 win over Atletico Madrid that maintained their lead at the top of La Liga, and it’s worth noting they haven’t lost a game in any competition since the end of October.

Real Madrid vs BarcelonaTeam Lineups and Injuries

Real Madrid Projected Lineup: Courtois, Carvajal, Nacho, Rudiger, Mendy, Kroos, Valverde, Modric, Rodrygo, Benzema, Vinicius.

Injuries & absences: Tchouameni, Alaba, Militao, Vaquez, Odriozola.

Barcelona Projected Lineup: Ter Stegen, Kounde, Araujo, Christensen, Balde, F de Jong, Busquets, Pedri, Dembele, Lewandowski, Fati.

Injuries & absences: None.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

This will be tight as the odds suggest with little to choose between these two. So tight in fact that, for me, the value lies in the juicy +230 on offer for the tie after 90 minutes. If I had to pick a winner, I’d have to say Barca, given their winning mentality right now, but this will be close.

Picks: Real Madrid vs Barcelona to draw (+230)