Benfica vs Inter Milan Prediction, Odds, Lineups – Champions League Quarterfinals Leg 1

• It’s Benfica vs Inter Milan in a Champions League quarterfinal first-leg on Tuesday, April 11
• In-form Benfica are currently unbeaten in this season’s Champions League
• Find our prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s Benfica vs Inter Milan in a quarterfinal first leg of the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, April 11. It all kicks off in Lisbon’s Stadium of Light at 3:00 pm ET. The hosts start as plus-money favorites but are they the best bet for your Benfica vs Inter Milan prediction?

We preview our Benfica vs Inter Milan picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and Benfica vs Inter Milan predictions below.

Benfica vs Inter Milan Odds

The bookmakers have listed Benfica as plus-money favorites at +110 with an implied home win probability of 47.6%, while Inter are offered at +265 with a win probability of 27.4%. The draw is priced at +240 in the Benfica vs Inter Milan odds, which is implied at 29.4%.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on April 10.

Benfica vs Inter Milan Over/Under and Spread

With the benchmark set at 2.5 goals in the game, the bookies have pitched the under at -155 and the over at a more tempting +125, which reflects how close and potentially low-scoring they expect this first-leg tie to be.

Benfica vs Inter Milan Preview

It’s been a good season for Benfica but has the potential to end up being a great one. They lead the Primeira Liga by seven points with just seven games to go and they have reached this UCL quarterfinal without losing a match. In fact, only Napoli has scored more goals than them in this season’s tournament.

They won Group H with a formidable 4-2-0 record, made even more impressive by the fact it was a group that also included PSG and Juventus, and joint-topped the group with PSG with identical records.

Family photo! 🥰

#SLBFCP • #LigaPortugal pic.twitter.com/DvoDex1giL

— SL Benfica (@slbenfica_en) April 7, 2023

Only Two League Defeats for The Eagles

Lison’s Eagles made light work of their round-of-16 tie with Club Brugges – winning 2-0 in Belgium before demolishing their opponents in emphatic style back in the Stadium of Light, with goals from Rafa Silva, Ramos (2), Mario and Neres taking them to a 5-1 win on the night and 7-1 on aggregate.

The only downside for Benfica is that they come into this game off the back of a very rare defeat after losing 2-1 at home to Porto on Friday. It was only their second league defeat of the season.

Inter Knock Out Barca

After Inter missed out on the Serie A title in 2021-22 by just two points to their city rivals, AC Milan, they were hoping to go one better this season, in addition to going deep in the UCL. But while they are still very much in the mix in this competition, their chances of a Serie A title are long gone with Napoli 23 points clear of them.

In the UCL, they performed brilliantly to qualify from Group C, which also included Bayern Munich and Barcelona. A home win and an away draw against Bartca were enough to see them take second place at the expense of the Catalans with a 3-1-2 record.

Easter workout done ✅#ForzaInter pic.twitter.com/p7QUjpYCPV

— Inter ⭐⭐ (@Inter_en) April 9, 2023

Poor Recent Form for the Blues and Blacks

In the round-of-16, a 1-0  win against Porto courtesy of a late Romelu Lukaku goal in the first (home) leg was enough to get the job done, with the second leg in Portugal ending goalless. But since then the Blue and Blacks have hit a poor run of form and they come into this off the back of a run of no wins in six.

Last time out, they managed only a 1-1 draw on their away trip to lowly Salernitana – a result that left them down in fifth place – and so will need, from somewhere, to find the form they enjoyed in the first half of the season when they had those two great results against Barcelona.

Benfica vs Inter Milan Team Lineups and Injuries

Benfica Projected Lineup: Vlachodimos, Bah, Silva (A), Otamendi, Grimaldo, Luis, Chiquinho, Mario, Silva (R), Aursnes, Ramos .

Injuries & absences: Draxler, Ristic, Guedes.

Inter Milan Projected Lineup: Onana, Acerbi, De Vrij, Darmian, Gosens, Mkhitaryan, Asllani, Barella, Dumfries, Correa, Lukaku.

Injuries & absences: Dalbert, Skriniar, Calhanoglu.

Benfica vs Inter Milan Head-to-Head Stats

* Stats from UEFA Official site.

Benfica vs Inter Milan Prediction

Inter’s form is such that it’s hard to make a solid case for the away win but to balance that out, they are past masters at European knockout soccer. Benfica too are very experienced in European soccer but, unlike Inter, are currently riding the crest of a wave.

But while this will be closer than the form book suggests, for me there is value in the home win as long as it remains in plus money.

Benfica vs Inter Milan Pick: Benfica to win (+110)

Also read our Manchester City vs Bayern Munich picks for Tuesday’s other UCL quarterfinal here.