Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Odds, Prediction, Lineups – Bundesliga Round 33
- It’s Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig in round 33 of the German Bundesliga on Saturday, May 20
- With just two rounds of fixtures to go, Bayern leads BVB at the top of the table by just a point
- Find our prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks
It’s Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig in round 33 of the German Bundesliga on Saturday, May 20, with kick-off in the Allianz Arena at 12:30 pm ET.
With two rounds of games to go, Bayern leads the table by two points ahead of Borussia Dortmund, while RB Leipzig are a further seven points adrift in third place. A win here for the Bavarians would require BVB to win in Augsburg on Sunday to keep the title race alive.
We preview our Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | -215 |
| RB Leipzig | +450 |
| Draw | +370 |
The bookmakers have Bayern listed as odds-on favorites at -215 for the home win which offers an implied win probability of 68%, while Leipzig is +450 for the game with a probability of 18%. The draw is also generously priced at +370 in the Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig odds and is implied at 21%.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on May 19.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Over/Under and Spread
With the tipping point set at 2.5 goals in the game, the bookies have listed the under at +205 and the over at a less tempting -265. They, therefore, anticipate a game with plenty of goals.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Preview
Bayern’s decision to replace Julian Nagelsmann with Thomas Tuchel as head coach looks to be paying dividends with the Bavarians, after an untypically tricky season, now just two wins – possibly just one – away from winning a record-breaking 32nd Bundesliga title.
It’s not been all plain sailing for Tuchel, however, but a difficult run of games that saw his team exit the UEFA Champions League and the DFB Pokal and then lose away at Mainz now looks to be behind them as they close in on the title. In their last three, they have beaten Hertha Berlin (2-0) and Werder Bremen (2-1), and thrashed Schalke 6-0.
2️⃣ days until #FCBRBL 👊#MiaSanMia pic.twitter.com/lR76h20c1e
— FC Bayern Munich (@FCBayernEN) May 18, 2023
Home Comforts for Bayern
If Bayern can avoid defeat against Leipzig, it will be another season where they have gone unbeaten in the Allianz Arena. So far they have won 11, drawn five, and lost none on home soil in the Bundesliga – a phenomenal run that has been the backbone of their 2022-23 title charge.
When these two met in late January in the reverse fixture at the Red Bull Arena, it ended 1-1, with Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting giving Bayern a halftime lead only for it to be wiped out in the second half through Marcel Halstenberg.
Leipzig Close In on a Champions League Place
For Leipzig, the task in hand right now is to qualify for next season’s Champions League. While they have just been outside the title race for most of the season, they have consistently hovered around the top four and a win in either of their final two games would guarantee them a UCL place.
Equally, a defeat for Freiburg at Wolsgburg on Friday would also guarantee that UCL place for RB without them having to kick a ball! But Leipzig do not have to rely on favors from others, and their fine defensive record away from home – they have conceded just six goals in eight away games in 2023 – suggests they could even get the job done in Munich.
Getting ready for #FCBRBL! ⚽
ℹ️ @TimoWerner and Konrad Laimer are doing recovery work inside, while @daniolmo7 returns to parts of team training after a muscle issue. pic.twitter.com/mX6n5uqfx8
— RB Leipzig English (@RBLeipzig_EN) May 16, 2023
A DFB-Pokal Final Awaits for Leipzig
A place in the UCL is not the only thing left for Leipzig to fight for this season as they also have an upcoming DFB-Pokal final against Eintracht Frankfurt. So their season could yet end with some silverware but for this weekend, their focus will be all on that top-four place, which if achieved would mean they have competed in the UCL in six of the last seven seasons.
What may count against Leipzig ahead of tomorrow’s game is a terrible record in the Allianz Arena, where they have won just one in their last 16 encounters – losing nine and drawing six. On the plus side, their current form is very good with seven wins in their last eight in all competitions.
Bayern Munich vs RB LeipzigTeam Lineups and Injuries
Bayern Munich Projected Lineup: Sommer, Mazraoui, Pavard, De Ligt, Cancelo, Kimmich, Goretzka, Sane, Muller, Musiala, Gnabry.
Injuries & absences: Davies, Hernandez, Neuer, Stanisic.
RB Leipzig Projected Lineup: Blaswich, Simakan, Gvardiol, Orban, Henrichs, Laimer, Haidara, Szoboszlai, Forsberg, Werner, Nkunku.
Injuries & absences: Gulacsi.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats
| 20-8-4 | Bundesliga Record | 18-6-8 |
| 89 / 34 | Goals For / Against | 57 / 38 |
| 87.2 | Passing accuracy (%)* | 83.8 |
| 64.8 | Possession (%)* | 59.2 |
| 18.8 | Shots per game* | 14.8 |
| DDLWWW | Form Guide (all comps) | WLWWWW |
* Stats from WhoScored.com.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Prediction
With Leipzig in such a good run of form, this is unlikely to be the goal-fest the bookies are predicting. But with Bayern needing a win to close in on the title, their incentive to eke out a win is massive.
The odds on offer for the home win are unappealing but based on Leipzig making Bayern work hard for the win, the under 2.5 goals at better-than 2/1 looks like excellent value
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Pick: Under 2.5 goals (+205)
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Once just a sports fanatic, fan-turned-writer Gary Gowers has been featured on European television and radio networks to discuss several professional football clubs. His work can be found in an assortment of publications like The Metro, MyFootballWriter.com, and BBC Radio Norfolk.
