Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Odds, Lineups – Bundesliga Week 26

• It’s Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga Week 26 on Saturday, April 1
• BVB now lead the Bundesliga – a point ahead of Bayern – after going unbeaten in 2023
• Find our prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga Week 26 on Saturday, April 1. Kick-off in the Allianz Arena is at 3:00 pm ET. The home team starts as plus money favorites but are they the best bet for your Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?

In the second Der Klassiker of the season, second-placed Bayern entertains leaders BVB, who hold just a one-point advantage.  With Der FCB having recently parted company with Julian Nagelsmann, this will be Thomas Tuchel’s first game in charge of the German champions.

We preview our Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund predictions below.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

The bookmakers have Bayern listed as odds-on favorites at -225 with an implied probability of 69% for the home win, while BVB are listed at +425 to win with a win probability of just 19% – less than one in five. The draw is priced at +400 in the Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund odds, which is implied at 20%.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on March 31.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Over/Under and Spread

With the benchmark at 2.5 goals in the game, the bookies have pitched the under at a tempting +235 and the over at -300, so are expecting goals in this game.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Preview

It has been a turbulent few weeks for the German champions with Thomas Tuchel being appointed as head coach during the international break after the Bayern board called time on the tenure of Julian Nagelsmann. There would be no better way for the Tuchel era to begin than with a victory over their biggest rivals that would take them back to the top of the table.

Defeat away at Bayer Leverkusen in the final game before the break was the final straw for the Bayern hierarchy, who had watched the team perform below their usual high standards while their coach became embroiled in some off-field controversy.

A few more of the lads have returned from the international break 🛬👋

Great to have you back, guys! 🔴⚪#MiaSanMia pic.twitter.com/VRJpbH3tI1

— FC Bayern Munich (@FCBayernEN) March 29, 2023

Season Still Very Much Alive for Bayern

Defeat in Leverkusen came via two second-half Exequiel Palacicios penalties after Bayern had taken a first-half lead through Joshua Kimmich. With BVB winning 24 hours earlier and going to the top of the table in the process, it could prove a pivotal weekend in the Bundesliga title race.

However, the season is very much still alive for the Bavarians with a UEFA Champions League quarterfinal with Manchester City approaching, along with a DFB-Pokal quarterfinal against SC Freiburg. When Bayern played BVB in Dortmund in October in the first Der Klassiker of the season it ended 2-2.

BVB on a Title Charge

Prior to the World Cup/winter break, BVB’s season meandered along, with an 8-1-6 record from their 15 games, but upon its resumption in mid-January, they have exploded into life. Since then, Edin Terzic’s men have drawn just one Bundesliga game and won all others, including, most notably, wins over fourth-placed Freiburg, and fifth-placed RB Leipzig.

So impressive has their form been, they have scored 30 goals in their 10 league games in 2023 and taken themselves to the top of the table. What looked like a two-way battle between Bayern and Union Berlin, has now turned into one between Bayern and BVB – a throwback to the Bundesliga’s biggest rivalry of the 21st century

Admin cam 🎥 pic.twitter.com/4MHiBCAXI8

— Borussia Dortmund (@BlackYellow) March 25, 2023

Champions League Exit for Dortmund

Like Bayern, BVB have an upcoming DFB-Pokal quarterfinal, when they play RB Leipzig away next Wednesday, but no longer have an involvement in the Champions League after being knocked out by Chelsea over two legs in the round-of-16.

They warmed up perfectly for this massive game with an emphatic 6-1 win over FC Koln in the last game before the international break, which significantly included a brace from Sebastien Haller, who has made an impressive recovery from a testicular cancer diagnosis.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Team Lineups and Injuries

Bayern Munich Projected Lineup: Sommer, de Ligt, Upamecano, Pavard, Kimmich, Sane, Goretska, Davies, Cancelo, Mane, Muller.

Injuries & absences: Neuer, Hernandez, Choupo-Moting, Wanner, Musiala, Ibrahimovic (A).

Borussia Dortmund Projected Lineup: Meyer, Wolf, Sule, Schlotterbeck, Ryerson, Bellingham, Dahoud, Guerreiro, Malen, Haller, Reus.

Injuries & absences: Moukoko, Morey, Brandt, Bynoe-Gittens, Duranville.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head Stats

* Stats from WhoScored.com.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bayern will be hoping for some ‘new manager bounce’ upon Tuchel’s arrival and this is perfectly set up for him to take them back to the top of the table in his first game. It will be far from straightforward though against a BVB team that has forgotten how to lose.

While the home win is the obvious bet, there are plenty of reasons to believe that the visitors can at least claim a point. For me, there is value here in betting on the low-scoring draw.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Picks: The draw (+400) / Under 2.5 goals (+235)