NASCAR First Data 500 Race Odds & Picks

By David Golokhov in Racing
Updated: April 13, 2020 at 12:43 pm EDTPublished:

- The First Data 500 is set for Sunday, October 27th, at 3:00 PM EST
- The race will take place the Martinsville Speedway in Ridgeway, Virginia
- Five different drivers have won the last five races here.
The NASCAR playoffs are down to the final eight drivers as the series heads to Martinsville Speedway this weekend for the First Data 500. The race will take place on Sunday October, 27th at 3:00 PM EST.
Joey Logano hasn’t raced well recently, but he is the defending champ at this track and has a good history here. Can he cash in this weekend?
Odds to Win First Data 500
Driver | Odds |
---|---|
Kyle Busch | +275 |
Denny Hamlin | +450 |
Martin Truex Jr. | +600 |
Brad Keselowski | +700 |
Chase Elliott | +700 |
Joey Logano | +700 |
Kevin Harvick | +1200 |
Ryan Blaney | +1200 |
Clint Bowyer | +2500 |
Erik Jones | +4000 |
Jimmie Johnson | +4000 |
*Odds taken October 23rd
Bet on Busch This Weekend
Just when you thought that Busch was slowing down, he delivered a third-place finish at Kansas last week to prove that he isn’t going anywhere.
The driver of the No. 18 Toyota hasn’t looked as dominant as he did earlier in the season, but he’s still got it.

Busch has placed in the top six in three of his last five starts overall, including a near victory when he settled for second at Richmond. At Richmond, Busch has a win and five top ten’s in his last five starts – the best average finish in that span.
That’s why he’s worth a look here again.
Good Value With Hamlin
No driver is hotter than Hamlin heading in to the Round of 8. The veteran Joe Gibbs Racing ace is coming off a big win in the Hollywood Casino 400 that marked his third consecutive Top 5 finish.
With five top six results in his last seven starts, he’s someone you can trust to be in contention.

In terms of his history at the track, Hamlin is a two-time winner here. He thrives at short tracks as his 8.1 average finish on them since the start of 2017 is the best of any driver except for Busch.
Joey Logano For Top 10 Prop
Sticking with former First Data 500 winners, Logano is the defending champion of this race. While the Penske Racing driver really struggled over his last six starts, in some ways it feels as though Logano is due for a big performance this week.

This is one of Logano’s best tracks as he has an average finish of 5.67 here since the start of 2017. He has better finishes at only three other tracks.
Over his last 12 starts here, he has two wins, nine Top 10’s and his two misses are an 11th and a 14th. He’s worth a Top 10 prop this week.
Past Five Winners at First Data 500
Year | Winning Driver |
---|---|
2018 | Joey Logano |
2017 | Kyle Busch |
2016 | Jimmie Johnson |
2015 | Jeff Gordon |
2014 | Dale Earnhardt Jr. |
Pass on Chase Elliott
After the thrill of barely qualifying for a spot in the Round of 8, don’t bank on Elliott building on that momentum this week in Ridgeway. The driver of the No. 9 Chevrolet is coming off a runner-up finish at Kansas. However, he has finished outside of the Top 10 in three of his last eight starts.

Over that span, he has just three Top 5 finishes. At Richmond specifically, he has two finishes inside of the Top 10 in his career but in the other seven starts, he’s placed 10th or worse.

Sports Writer
For over 15 years, Dave has been working in mainstream media and sports betting. He hosted a station on Sirius Satellite Radio for four years, and is currently a senior writer for AskMen. He's interviewed hundreds of hundreds of high-profile sports stars like Shaquille O'Neal and Floyd Mayweather.