NASCAR 2020 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Odds and Picks

By David Golokhov in Racing
Updated: July 20, 2020 at 1:40 pm EDTPublished:

- The 2020 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 will take place on Sunday, July 19th, at Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth, Texas
- Denny Hamlin is the defending champ for this race but Kevin Harvick has won three of the last five races here (all in the fall)
- Check out the odds below for top drivers on the board as well as our best bets for the race
After the mid-week All-Star race, the drivers are making a turn for Texas Motor Speedway for the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500. The race will take place on Sunday, July 19th at 3:00 pm EST. Chase Elliott got the win on Wednesday but who is the best bet for Sunday’s race? Let’s take a closer look.
2020 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Odds
Driver | Odds |
---|---|
Kevin Harvick | +270 |
Denny Hamlin | +600 |
Kyle Busch | +600 |
Martin Truex Jr. | +750 |
Ryan Blaney | +900 |
Chase Elliott | +900 |
Joey Logano | +1000 |
Brad Keselowski | +1000 |
Aric Almirola | +2200 |
Kurt Busch | +2500 |
Jimmie Johnson | +2800 |
Erik Jones | +3300 |
Odds taken July 16
Harvick Loves Texas
Texas Motor Speedway is a track where you’ll want to be thinking about Kevin Harvick out of the group of favorites. It’s been a really long time since he’s performed poorly there and even when he has, it’s typically a one year, one-off.

Taking a look at his recent history, he has won three of the last five races at Texas (all fall races) with a runner-up and an eighth to boot. The last time he finished outside of the Top 10 was back in 2014. Including that miss, he’s placed in the Top 10 in 12 of his last 13 starts here with eight of his last 11 being in the top four spots. He’s a good bet here.
Stick With Chase Elliott
Elliott is coming off a win on Wednesday in Bristol with the All-Star race and I think that might give him a little bit of momentum heading into Texas. I’m not expecting him to win this race outright – he’s never done that before – but I’ll be looking at him in some head-to-head matchups and Top 10 props.

Elliott finished 32nd in the fall race at Texas last season and 13th in the spring. However, before that, his worst-ever finish on this track was 11th. His first six results here were fifth, fourth, ninth, eighth, 11th and sixth. He’s also led at least a lap in five of his eight starts here. I’m willing to take a flier on him that he places in the Top 10.
Past Five Winners at O’Reilly Auto Parts 500
Year | Driver |
---|---|
2019 | Denny Hamlin |
2018 | Kyle Busch |
2017 | Jimmie Johnson |
2016 | Kyle Busch |
2015 | Jimmie Johnson |
Erik Jones for a Top 10
Erik Jones doesn’t have a huge history at Texas – he’s only made seven starts there – but he has a fairly strong track record so far. While he has yet to win the race outright, he has placed in the Top 10 in five straight starts. The other two misses were a 12th and a 22nd, so it’s not as if he’s been way off the mark at any point.

The other thing I like about Jones is that while he hasn’t picked up wins here, he has led laps. He’s led for at least nine laps in three of the last four starts here, so should be in line for a good result on Sunday.

Sports Writer
For over 15 years, Dave has been working in mainstream media and sports betting. He hosted a station on Sirius Satellite Radio for four years, and is currently a senior writer for AskMen. He's interviewed hundreds of hundreds of high-profile sports stars like Shaquille O'Neal and Floyd Mayweather.