Formula 1 2022 Mexican Grand Prix Odds & Picks
By Daniel Coyle in Racing
Published:
- Max Verstappen is favored to claim a record fourth career win at this weekend’s Mexican Grand Prix
- The race represents a homecoming for Sergio Perez, who remains just two points back in the battle for second place in the F1 Drivers Standings
- Read on for the 2022 Mexican Grand Prix odds and predictions
Sergio Perez will be aiming to become the first Mexican driver ever to capture the checkered flag at the Mexican Grand Prix this Sunday. Perez hits the track as a +380 second-favorite in the Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix odds, trailing Red Bull Racing teammate Max Verstappen, who is coming off his 14th win of the season last week in Austin.
Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s running of the 2022 Mexican Grand Prix at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez in Mexico City, with race time set for 4:00pm ET.
2022 Mexican Grand Prix Odds
| Driver | Odds to Win | Odds to Finish Top Three | Odds to Finish Top Six | Odds to Finish Top Ten |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | -175 | -450 | -600 | -700 |
| Sergio Perez | +380 | -125 | -550 | -650 |
| Charles Leclerc | +550 | -200 | -550 | -650 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +1200 | +130 | -550 | -650 |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | +1500 | +130 | -550 | -650 |
| George Russell | +2800 | +180 | -550 | -650 |
| Lando Norris | +25000 | +1600 | +100 | -400 |
| Fernando Alonso | +25000 | +1800 | +100 | -360 |
| Esteban Ocon | +50000 | +3500 | +300 | -225 |
| Lance Stroll | +50000 | +6500 | +900 | +150 |
| Pierre Gasly | +50000 | +6500 | +1400 | +150 |
| Sebastian Vettel | +50000 | +5000 | +700 | -120 |
| Valtteri Bottas | +50000 | +13000 | +1400 | +160 |
| Daniel Ricciardo | +50000 | +5000 | +750 | +180 |
| Kevin Magnussen | +90000 | +15000 | +2200 | +200 |
| Zhou Guanyu | +90000 | +25000 | +3500 | +250 |
| Mick Schumacher | +90000 | +25000 | +3000 | +300 |
| Nicholas Latifi | +90000 | +30000 | +10000 | +1400 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +90000 | +20000 | +2800 | +300 |
| Alex Albon | +90000 | +20000 | +2800 | +300 |
Odds as of October 27, 2022, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code or check out this list of best sports betting sites.
Verstappen is pegged as a short -175 bet to win this race for a record fourth time. Three drivers are odds-on favorites to finish on the podium: Verstappen (-450), Charles Leclerc (-200), and Perez (-125).
Homecoming for Checo
We have talked about Sergio Perez at great length in this season’s race previews, and with good reason. The “Mexican Minister of Defense” has played a crucial role in Max Verstappen’s march to a second straight F1 Drivers title and Red Bull’s successful bid to claim this season’s F1 Constructors crown.
LAP 34/71
Checo becomes the first Mexican driver to lead the Mexican Grand Prix! 💪#MexicoGP 🇲🇽 #F1 pic.twitter.com/GG3HQEhM47
— Formula 1 (@F1) November 7, 2021
A two-time race winner over his nine trips to the podium this season, “Checo” remains in reach of second place in the F1 Drivers Standings, just two points back of Ferrari rival Charles Leclerc. And considering Checo’s consistent driving this season, which has produced top six finishes in all but one of the races he has completed this season, capped by a fourth-place performance in a damaged car last week, a 1-2 finish by the Red Bull duo is a good bet.
RED BULL COMPLETE DRIVERS' AND CONSTRUCTORS' CHAMPIONSHIP DOUBLE!! 🏆 pic.twitter.com/69ynVds4GT
— Sky Sports F1 (@SkySportsF1) October 23, 2022
The first Mexican driver to lead the Mexican Grand Prix, Checo turned in a career-best third-place finish at this event last season, and with Red Bull now facing no pressure after clinching the Constructors title last week, Perez is likely to be unleashed by the team this weekend in a bid to give the hometown fans something to cheer about. While overtaking a red-hot Verstappen will be a challenge, f1 betting fans should be getting on Red Bull as a solid +120 bet to produce a double finish in Mexico City for the second time in as many years.
Mexican Grand Prix Recent Winners
| Year | Driver | Margin of Victory |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing | 1.766 sec |
| 2020 | Cancelled due to COVID-19 pandemic | |
| 2019 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 1.766 sec |
| 2018 | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing | 17.316 sec |
| 2017 | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing | 19.678 sec |
| 2016 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 8.354 sec |
| 2015 | Nico Rosberg – Mercedes | 1.954 sec |
Sainz Snake Bitten
It is a different story for Ferrari’s Carlos Sainz Jr. as the scene shifts to Mexico City. A threat to challenge for second place in the Standings after powering to an impressive third-place finish on a wet track in Singapore, Sainz has been forced to retire early from each of the past two events due to collisions that have limited him to fewer than four completed laps over that stretch.
The start from Carlos Sainz’ perspective…
We have no words…he was a passenger and hit from behind by George Russell
Absolutely heartbroken 💔 pic.twitter.com/gdowK4e4ar
— Ferrari News 🐎 (@FanaticsFerrari) October 23, 2022
Overall, Sainz has been forced to retire from six of this season’s 19 races to date, leaving sports bettors wondering whether there is more value in the +120 odds of the talented Spaniard earning his ninth podium of the season, or the +330 odds of him failing to classify on Sunday. Considering Sainz steady run of bad luck, and far from stellar past results in Mexico City, where an average of more than three drivers have failed to classify over the past four editions of this race, a value bet on Sainz to not classify is worth considering.
The Picks: Red Bull double podium (+120); Carlos Sainz Jr. not classified (+330)
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Sports Writer
Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.
