Formula 1 2021 Hungarian Grand Prix Odds & Picks

By Daniel Coyle in Racing
Published:

- Lewis Hamilton trails in betting odds as he vies for eighth career win at Hungarian Grand Prix
- Hamilton sits second to points leader Max Verstappen, who looks to rebound from a scary collision with Hamilton at the British Grand Prix
- We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of this year’s running of the Hungarian Grand Prix on Sunday morning at Hungaroring
Lewis Hamilton will be aiming to take home the checkered flag in consecutive races for the first time since early May when he hits the track for Sunday’s running of the 2021 Hungarian Grand Prix as a +180 second favorite.
Hamilton returned to the top of the podium in controversial fashion last time out at the British Grand Prix but still faces a huge challenge to close the gap on Red Bull’s Max Verstappen. Verstappen remains perched atop the F1 Drivers Standings despite being failing to finish at Silverstone due to a controversial collision with Hamilton.
Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of the 2021 Hungarian Grand Prix at Hungaroring on Sunday morning at 9:00 am ET.
Odds to Win 2021 Hungarian Grand Prix
Driver | Odds to Win | Odds to Finish Top Three | Odds to Finish Top Six | Odds to Finish Top Ten |
---|---|---|---|---|
Max Verstappen | -133 | -350 | -700 | -700 |
Lewis Hamilton | +180 | -400 | -700 | -1000 |
Sergio Perez | +1400 | +115 | -500 | -650 |
Valtteri Bottas | +1400 | +110 | -500 | -550 |
Charles Leclerc | +2000 | +210 | -300 | -550 |
Carlos Sainz Jr. | +5000 | +650 | -154 | -400 |
Lando Norris | +7000 | +280 | -350 | -550 |
Pierre Gasly | +8000 | +2000 | +300 | -213 |
Daniel Ricciardo | +12500 | +1200 | -143 | -350 |
Fernando Alonso | +20000 | +3300 | +400 | -213 |
Sebastian Vettel | +25000 | +2800 | +500 | -188 |
George Russell | +30000 | +4000 | +1200 | +155 |
Esteban Ocon | +30000 | +7000 | +900 | +105 |
Lance Stroll | +40000 | +7000 | +1800 | -110 |
Yuki Tsunoda | +40000 | +12500 | +2500 | +210 |
Kimi Raikkonen | +100000 | +25000 | +12500 | +350 |
Antonio Giovinazzi | +100000 | +25000 | +12500 | +425 |
Nicholas Latifi | +150000 | +25000 | +20000 | +3500 |
Mick Schumacher | +200000 | +50000 | +25000 | +4000 |
Nikita Mazepin | +250000 | +50000 | +30000 | +5000 |
Odds as of July 29 at FOX Bet
Can Hamilton Reclaim Momentum?
Success on his home track at Silverstone could not have come a minute sooner for Lewis Hamilton. The defending world champion has found himself in unfamiliar territory this season. The winner in three of the first four races this season, the 36-year-old Englishman has struggled badly since, reaching the podium on just three occasions over his past six outings, including his lone victory two weeks ago at the British Grand Prix.
He equalled the record for most wins at a single circuit at Silverstone – but could he go one better at the #HungarianGP?
A victory this weekend would be @LewisHamilton's 9th in Budapest! #F1 pic.twitter.com/HuO5i7QQXr
— Lights Out ●●●●● (@LightsOutF1Blog) July 27, 2021
Despite his win at Silverstone, and Verstappen’s failure to finish, the Mercedes driver still finds himself trailing in the odds to claim an unprecedented eighth career F1 title, sporting average odds of +155. However, Hamilton is well-positioned to continue his turnaround in Hungary, where he has claimed victory in each of the past three years, and on an astonishing eight occasions over the course of his career.
Verstappen on the Rebound in Wake of Silverstone Crash
As for Verstappen, the current points leader will be aiming to pick up where he left off prior to crashing out at Silverstone. The 23-year-old had earned the win in each of his previous three outings and has finished no worse than second place in the eight races he has completed so far this season.
This 360º camera angle of the Hamilton/Verstappen crash last weekend is wild.
(h/t u/marypsm) pic.twitter.com/LtfPIaD6yw
— Joe Pompliano (@JoePompliano) July 21, 2021
While Verstappen’s feast-or-famine results this season have diminished the value in his short odds to end Hamilton’s dominance at Hungaroring, he remains a worthwhile -150 bet to claim the pole position for the sixth time this season and the fifth time in as many outings. Of course, Verstappen is far from a risky bet to win in Hungary. He finished second to Hamilton in each of the past two editions of this race and has finished no worse than fifth in five of his six career appearances.
Hungarian Grand Prix Recent Winners
Year | Driver | Margin of Victory |
---|---|---|
2020 Hungarian Grand Prix | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 8.702 sec |
2019 Hungarian Grand Prix | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 17.796 sec |
2018 Hungarian Grand Prix | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 17.123 sec |
2017 Hungarian Grand Prix | Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari | 0.908 sec |
2016 Hungarian Grand Prix | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 1.977 sec |
2015 Hungarian Grand Prix | Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari | 15.748 sec |
Leclerc, Norris Offer Value as Rivalry Intensifies
With little suspense at the top of the odds entering the weekend, it is worth shifting focus to the continued battle between Ferrari and McLaren. After being denied victory by Hamilton in the dying moments of the British Grand Prix, Charles Leclerc will be aiming to rebound in Hungary, where he is pegged as a +2000 bet. The Ferrari driver has enjoyed somewhat of a resurgence this season after struggling throughout 2020, finishing fourth or better on four occasions.
https://twitter.com/sparknzsport/status/1416990210022199300?s=20
Leclerc’s performance has enabled Ferrari to remain within striking distance of McLaren in the F1 Constructors Standings. The 23-year-old has also enjoyed previous success at Hungaroring, posting a fourth-place finish two years ago, and has also managed to qualify among the top six in each of the past two years.
While a +210 bet on the Monte Carlo native to reach the podium again is not without its risks, he is worth jumping on as a +125 wager to emerge as the race winner without the Big Four of Hamilton, Verstappen, Sergio Perez, and Valtteri Bottas.
1️⃣5️⃣ consecutive @F1 points finishes for @LandoNorris, more than any McLaren driver in history! 🙌📈 pic.twitter.com/VcBk2tfWhE
— McLaren (@McLarenF1) July 23, 2021
However, Leclerc will likely have to fend off yet another challenge from his chief rival this season, Lando Norris. The Englishman has enjoyed a breakthrough season in 2021 and remains the only driver to pick up points in each of the first 10 races of the season. That steady track record should help allay concerns generated by the 21-year-old’s past shaky performance at Hungaroring and should be considered a lock to pay out as a -350 bet to finish among the top six.
The Picks: Lewis Hamilton to win (+180); Lando Norris top six (-350)

Sports Writer
Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.