Warren Comes Out Swinging at Bloomberg; Nomination Odds Improve from +4967 to +2033 Overnight

• A strong performance in Wednesday’s debate led to Elizabeth Warren’s odds to win the Democratic nomination improving sizably
• Can Warren pull enough progressive support away from Bernie Sanders to be considered a serious threat?
• How did the debate impact the odds of other contenders? It’s all revealed below

Elizabeth Warren came out swinging at Wednesday’s Presidential debate. Mike Bloomberg and the other Democratic contenders took some powerful hits.

Did she do enough to get back into the race? Well, the fact of the matter remains that she’s still well behind in points. But she’s much more of a factor today than she’s been in quite some time.

Across the leading sportsbooks, Warren’s average betting line in the Democratic nomination odds improved from +4967 to +2033 in the span of a day. Books are listing Warren at odds of +2500 as of February 20th.

2020 Democratic Nomination Odds

Odds taken Feb. 20.

The biggest losers on Wednesday were Bloomberg and Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar. Bloomberg’s average odds slipped from +213 to +383. Klobuchar dropped from +2033 to +3433.

Warren Doesn’t Pull Punches

Warren set the tone for what would be an all-out brawl. Early on, she called Bloomberg a “billionaire who calls women fat broads and horse-faced lesbians.”

We’re not going to beat Donald Trump with a man who silences women with nondisclosure agreements.

We are not going to beat Donald Trump with a man who supported racist policies like stop-and-frisk.

We are not going to beat Donald Trump with another arrogant billionaire. pic.twitter.com/H7x5CXhTDK

— Elizabeth Warren (@ewarren) February 20, 2020

She hammered away at his record regarding women’s rights. Warren called out Bloomberg for non-disclosure agreements he’d made to settle sexual harassment and hostile workplace lawsuits.

The hashtag #WarrenForTheWin was trending on Twitter on Thursday.

Show Her The Money

Her strong debate performance breathed oxygen back into her flagging campaign. Thursday, Warren took another startling turn. She announced that she’ll now accept Super PAC money.

Warren was previously adamant that she wouldn’t take campaign funding from these powerful outside spending groups.

https://twitter.com/AnnieLinskey/status/1230568225273835520?s=20

While still denouncing Super PACs, Warren insisted that she’s left with no choice, since other Democratic candidates continue to take funding from these major sources.

Bloom Comes Off Bloomberg

Much like Joe Biden, Bloomberg came to the debate stage with a history, a well-known name, and not much else.

His first test going head-to-head with his Democratic opponents was underwhelming. Bloomberg looked ill-prepared.

He looked exactly like what his critics labeled him – someone who bought his way into the race.

The worrisome fact for Bloomberg supporters is that he knew this was coming. He was aware beforehand of what the nature of the attacks on his record would be. Yet he was woefully unprepared to parry them effectively.

Buttigieg, Klobuchar Scrap

The undercard of the Warren-Bloomberg heavyweight tilt was a slugfest between moderates Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg.

Klobuchar performed strongly in the New Hampshire primary, which gave Klobuchar’s campaign a shot in the arm. But she shot herself in the foot Wednesday.

On stage, the Minnesota Senator couldn’t remember the name of Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador.

Has Warren Done Enough?

Warren actually saw her odds to win the nomination improve. It’s the first time that’s happened since October.

She took over the lead in the race in late August. By Oct. 10th, Warren was the odds-on -110 chalk. But since that peak, she’d she her chances slip. Lately, the numbers were dropping in free fall.

The reality is that Warren remains #5 in the race. It’s a distant fifth at that.

It appears that Elizabeth Warren raised more money during the debate yesterday than any other candidate raised during any prior debate, including Bernie Sanders. That seems an important metric.

— Matt McDermott (@mattmfm) February 20, 2020

Her debate performance was important. Can Warren can convert it into strong showings at the ballot box? She must perform well in Nevada, South Carolina and on Super Tuesday.

There’s one thing that didn’t change Wednesday. It’s Warren’s biggest dilemma. Bernie Sanders remains the overwhelming choice among progressives.

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