Updated Live Election Odds Give Trump Better Than 50% Chance to Win
By Sascha Paruk in Politics News
Updated: November 5, 2020 at 8:46 am ESTPublished:
- The live 2020 election odds have swung considerably (in both directions) during Election Day
- After Trump’s odds nearly pulled even with Biden around 8:00 pm ET, they have only gotten redder as the night has gone on
- See the latest odds and probability to win the White House
A massive surge in the odds for incumbent Donald Trump around 8:00 pm ET (based largely off the results in Florida) has continued as the night has gone on. The incumbent is now the favorite after starting the day as a +186 underdog.
2020 US Presidential Election Live Odds
| Candidate | Live Odds | True Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | +125 | 42.9% |
| Donald Trump | -145 | 57.1% |
Odds as of 9:32 pm ET, Nov. 3rd.
Biden’s early leads in several states, which were based on advanced voting, are evaporating due to Election Day ballots going mostly to Trump.
Stay tuned to the SBD’s Election Odds Tracker for further updates.
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
