Updated Democratic Nomination Odds – Biden’s Odds Plummet After Positive COVID Test
- Joe Biden has tested positive for COVID and his odds to win the Democratic nomination are plummeting
- Vice-President Kamala Harris has, as a result, improved dramatically in the Democratic nomination odds for 2024
- See the updated Democratic nomination odds as of July 18, along with the latest odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election on Nov. 5
Incumbent President Joe Biden, already a divisive choice to run for re-election in 2024 at 81 years of age and in declining mental acuity, has seen his odds to win the 2024 Democratic Nomination sink dramatically after a positive COVID test on Thursday.
Biden had become the odds-on favorite (again) in the last week as he insisted he was staying in the race barring health issues. But health issues arose on Thursday when he revealed he tested positive for COVID.
2024 Democratic Nomination Odds
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | -200 |
| Joe Biden | +250 |
| Michelle Obama | +1100 |
| Gavin Newsom | +1400 |
| Gretchen Whitmer | +2500 |
| Hillary Clinton | +4000 |
| Robert Kennedy Jr | +8000 |
| Pete Buttigieg | +10000 |
Biden’s odds to win the Democratic nomination were close to -300 earlier in the week and now sit at +250. Harris, meanwhile, has shortened to -200 to lead the Democratic ticket on Nov. 5. Harris already made history as the first female and black Vice-President when she and Biden defeated incumbent Donald Trump and Mike Pence in 2020.
SPORTSBOOK
Odds as of July 18 at bet365.
Biden Also Massive Longshot in 2024 Presidential Election Odds
As Biden’s odds to be the Democratic nominee sunk, so too did his odds to win the next general election on Nov. 5. He had been trailing Trump by a wide margin before Thursday’s COVID news. Trump was -275 and Biden was at +450.
As of Thursday morning, Biden’s odds to win re-election had faded all the way to +1100.
Biden is vaccinated and reportedly feeling “good”.
Trump’s Odds Fade Slightly as Harris Improves
Thursday’s news was not a welcome sight for Republican nominee Donald Trump and running-mate JD Vance. The former president was sitting at -275 in the 2024 Presidential Election odds on Wednesday, but his odds have faded to -225 as of Thursday morning.
Biden was seen as one of the weakest and most-vulnerable incumbents in US history as he stumbled his way through the first debate and several public appearances thereafter. Harris is considered a much stronger challenger.
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Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
