Trump vs Harris Odds – Kamala Closing the Gap in 2024 Election Odds

• Kamala Harris’ odds to win the 2024 presidential election have improved to +150
• Donald Trump has faded from -285 to -188 over the past ten days
• See the latest 2024 presidential election odds for Harris, Trump, and everyone else remaining on the board

After incumbent Joe Biden dropped his re-election campaign and threw his support behind Vice President Kamala  Harris, it didn’t take long for the bulk of Democratic delegates to fall in line, rendering Harris the presumptive nominee ahead of the Democratic National Convention in Chicago on August 19-22.

With Harris shortening to -3300 in the Democratic nomination odds, her odds of winning the presidency have also dramatically improved in recent days.

Presidential Election Odds

Harris, who was a +800 longshot on July 14, is now neck-and-neck with former President Donald Trump (-188). No one else on the board is shorter than +2500 (Michelle Obama).

Odds as of July 25 at bet365. See the full list of election betting sites. Wagering on the 2024 presidential election is not available to US residents. 

Harris Already Has Backing of Majority of Democratic Delegates

Though the Democratic nomination is far from official, Harris already has the support of more than enough delegates to claim the nomination at August’s convention in Chicago.

Joe Biden had already secured 3,904 of the 3,951 delegates in the Democratic primary process before dropping out. When he left the race, those delegates were free move their support to a new candidate. As of Monday, Harris had already secured the support of 2,668, well over the 50% she needs to secure the nomination.

She worked the phones. Her team worked the delegates. When it was over, Kamala Harris had locked down the Democratic nomination in 48 hours. https://t.co/9JzkZii3Ys

— The New York Times (@nytimes) July 25, 2024

Harris’ odds to be the nominee changed drastically this week, as a result. She initially became the -200 favorite to win the nomination when it was announced last week that Biden had contracted COVID. When he officially dropped out of the race that Sunday, Harris improved to -400. And once Biden’s delegates started lining up behind the VEEP, her odds progressed to -900 and then -3300 when she was over the 50% threshold.

Harris has also been highly successful in her early fundraising efforts.

Trump Losing Ground as Harris Gains

The necessary corollary of Harris gaining ground in the election odds is Trump dropping down.

While most of the shift is due to Harris’ ascension, some of it can be chalked up to his Vice Presidential pick of JD Vance, who was the most Trump-ish of the main GOP VP contenders.

The junior senator from Ohio is in lockstep with the most extreme MAGA idealogues. Many political pundits expected Trump to pick a more centrist running mate in order to appease voters weary of “Project 2025“. But Trump doubled-down on his extremist tendencies, and may now be reliant on his most-arden base expanding in order to find victory in the 2024 electoral college.

Stay tuned to the 2024 presidential election odds tracker for the latest odds movement in the race.