September Democratic Debate Odds & Props: Will Warren Hit Her Talking Points?

• Online sportsbooks have released a series of prop wagers on the next Democratic Presidential debate
• Elizabeth Warren is the candidate favored to receive the most speaking time during the debate
• There are props dealing with Russia, Donald Trump, climate change and impeachment

For the first time, all of the leading contenders for the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination will find themselves on the same debate stage. Oddsmakers have decided it’s time to give them their props.

Online betting sites have issued a series of prop wagers relating to outcomes that will take place during the debate on Sept. 12 in Houston.

Who Will Get The Most Speaking Time During The Debate?

Odds taken on 09/11/19. 

During the July debate in Detroit, which was split over two days, Elizabeth Warren’s gums flapped the most on the first night. She spoke for 18:33, edging out Bernie Sanders, who came in at 17:45.

The second night saw Joe Biden way out front with 21:27 of speaking time. He was followed by Kamala Harris at 17:18.

The dynamic will be different this time around, with the top candidates all on stage together for the first time. It’s going to be the first time that Warren debates against both Biden and Harris, for instance.

The top candidates definitely dominated the speaking time allowed.

A lot of Delaney's time was spent being matched against Warren, but I think Ryan made good use of his time as well.

Williamson made the most of her 8:52 and she had better be in the third debate! #DemDebate pic.twitter.com/9CWA021na2

— The Darkest Timeline Numbersmuncher (@NumbersMuncher) July 31, 2019

Warren is emerging as a key front runner, and hasn’t been drawn into petty disputes that have afflicted some of the other candidates. But knowing that she’s growing stronger in her support, the others figure to be in attack mode. You can be sure they’ll all have a plan for that.

They’ll be trying to put some dents in Warren, or at the very least get her on the defensive.

Look for Sanders to lead the way in that department.

Pick: Bernie Sanders (+400)

Total Non-Facts Spoken By Candidates During The Debate?

The Associated Press easily found seven documented examples of false facts during the second round of the July debate.

When you put that many politicians in a room together, here’s a wise rule of thumb to follow – always bet the over when it comes to how many times that they won’t be telling the truth.

Pick: Over 6.5 (-120)

How Many Non-Facts Will Be Spoken By Joe Biden During The Debate?

Those 10 non-facts that AP was able to unearth during the last debate?

I'm torn on Joe Biden.

On the one hand, I find his daily gaffes hilarious and disqualifying.

On the other, I fear they will cause him not to win the Nomination, which would make #Trump2020 a slam dunk.

— Bill Mitchell (@mitchellvii) September 9, 2019

Two of them came from Biden.

Pick: Over 1.5 (-120)

How Many Times Will Climate Change Be Said During The Debate?

Fires in the Amazon. Pipelines. Fracking. Drilling in Alaska. Climate change is a hot-button issue with those on the left, and it will be a hot topic.

Joe Biden: "The greatest crisis of our time is climate change." pic.twitter.com/OOHuQgQ2Cf

— The Hill (@thehill) September 9, 2019

A Pew Research Center poll showed 57 percent of Americans consider climate change to be a major issue in the upcoming election.

You know that it’s going to be talked about on the debate stage on Thursday. And it will be talked about a lot.

Pick: Over 13.5 (-120).

How Many Times Will Dorian Be Said During The Debate?

Discussion of the recent hurricane will go hand-in-hand with the talk of climate change.

As well, there’s no doubt that that candidates will want to bring up how President Trump mishandled the previous storm damage in Puerto Rico, as well as how he turned away victims of Dorian from the Bahamas when they sought refuge in the United States.

The federal government failed our fellow US citizens in Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria. We cannot fail them again. #Dorian pic.twitter.com/Y4jCo6mwdY

— Elizabeth Warren (@SenWarren) August 28, 2019

You can be sure they will also mention how Trump went golfing while the storm was threatening the US coast. They also won’t be able to resist the opportunity to mock Trump’s obsession over his mistaken inclusion of Alabama as states that would definitely be hit by Dorian.

Pick: Over 2.5 (-120).

How Many Times Will Russia Be Said During The Debate?

Trump’s ties to Russia always prop this subject up as a prime debate topic. Adding fuel to the fire was the recent revelation that the CIA pulled a top operative working inside the Russian government. They feared that Trump might expose the operative.

One new constant of the US-Russia relationship under Trump is the constant trolling of the US president by Russian state media. https://t.co/fuQiEyar5K

— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) September 10, 2019

You don’t think the fact that a sitting US President was viewed as a national security threat by the CIA might become a topic of conversation during a debate among those seeking to unseat that President, now do you?

Pick: Over 3.5 (-120).

How Many Times Will Donald Trump Tweet During The Debate?

Talk about a gift. Trump tweets 3.5 times just for fun. He’ll have his full tweet rage on during the debate as the candidates hammer away at his record.

They do stories so big on Elizabeth “Pocahontas” Warren’s crowd sizes, adding many more people than are actually there, and yet my crowds, which are far bigger, get no coverage at all. Fake News!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 27, 2019

He might hit 3.5 tweets in the first 20 minutes.

Pick: Over 3.5 (-120).

Will Impeach Be Said By Any Candidate During The Debate?

Will Any Candidate Say Trump During Their Closing Statement?

Who Will Have The Higher National Poll Average On 9/19/19?