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Presidential Election Odds Pre and Post-Debate – Harris Gets a Bump

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in Politics News

Updated Sep 10, 2024 · 9:04 PM PDT

Kamala Harris on a big screen during the Sep. 2024 presidential debate
Sep 10, 2024; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Media and security watch the Presidential Debate in the spin room. Mandatory Credit: Megan Smith-USA TODAY Network via Imagn Images
  • Kamala Harris and Donald Trump participated in their first (and likely only) 2024 presidential debate on Tuesday night
  • Trump was slightly favored in the 2024 election odds before the debate but Harris’ odds improved as the night went on
  • Below, see the updated 2024 presidential election odds, both before and after Tuesday’s debate

The first and so far only scheduled debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump took place in Philadelphia on Tuesday night, moderated by David Muir and Linsey Davis on ABC.

Heading into Tuesday’s debate, Trump was slightly favored in the presidential election odds at bet365, sitting at -125 with VP Harris at even money.

After the debate, the two are now in a dead-heat, both sitting at -110 as of 10:43 pm ET on Tuesday night.

2024 Presidential Election Odds

Candidate Current Odds Pre-Debate Odds
Kamala Harris -110 +100
Donald Trump -110 -125

Trump had been as short as -278 in the 2024 presidential election odds back in mid-July when incumbent Joe Biden was still seeking re-election. Harris has made (mostly) steady gains in the election markets since becoming the presumptive nominee when Biden abandoned his re-election campaign, reaching as short as -125 odds, on average, on August 21.

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Odds as of September 10, 2024, at bet365. Note that American betting sites do not currently accept wagers on political markets.

Harris Wins Debate, Overcoming Low Bar

The beginning of the end of Biden’s re-election bid was the first presidential debate on June 27 when he appeared confused and incoherent at times. Expectations were certainly higher for the 59-year-old Vice President on Tuesday night, but with Biden’s performance still the backdrop, Harris had a much lower bar to clear than most recent Democratic nominees.

The official polls on who won the debate won’t be out for a day or two at least, but pundits are predicting a fairly resounding debate victory for Harris.

The most amicable part of the debate was the introductory handshake. The two candidates verbally sparred over every topic, finding little to no common ground, not that any was expected.

The general feeling on Elon Musk-owned X was that the ABC moderators – Linsey Davis and David Muir – were pro-Kamala Harris throughout the course of the debate.

Operator bet365 Reverses Course, Honors Jordan Mason Prop Bets at Original Odds
Read More

Vice-Presidential Debate Scheduled for October 1 on CBS

Harris and Trump do not have a second presidential debate on the books at the moment and time is running out to schedule one. However, on October 1, their running-mates Tim Walz and JD Vance will debate on CBS with Margaret Brennan and Norah O’Donnell moderating.

The odds at UK bookmaker William Hill strongly favor Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, Harris’ VP nominee, winning the debate. He is currently priced at -300 with Trump’s running-mate, Ohio Senator JD Vance, a +225 longshot at Will Hill.

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