Odds Trump Is Impeached and Removed From Office Sit at +445

• Three different sportsbooks are offering odds on President Trump being impeached and removed from office
• One book offers +600 and another +550 to have big payouts on “Yes”
• While others offer -265 which is by far the shortest on the “No”

The House of Representatives is preparing the Articles of Impeachment against US President Donald Trump for a vote and it appears a certainty that he will be impeached. However, it also looks to be virtually certain that Trump won’t be removed from office.

Three different sportsbooks have put out new Trump impeachment odds, with the added stipulation that he’s impeached and removed, and all three favor Trump staying in office.

That said, one site has a considerably better payout on the likely outcome, while the other two have huge payouts on Trump being evicted from the White House.

Odds Trump Is Impeached and Removed from Office

Odds taken on Dec. 6

On average, the “yes” draws odds of +445. A “no” play earns a line of -775, which amounts to an 88.6% probability that Trump is not removed.

Why are sportsbooks so sure? While Democrats control the House and only need a simple majority to impeach the president, Republicans control the Senate. In order to remove Trump from office, two-thirds of the Senate must vote to convict Trump of his impeachable crimes.

Based on the way the parties are split on this issue, it’s a longshot, but let’s take a closer look at the upcoming process, nonetheless.

How Trump Would Be Impeached

On Thursday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi instructed the House Judiciary Committee to draft articles of impeachment against Trump for pressuring Ukraine to investigate Hunter Biden, the son of Joe Biden, one of Trump’s political rivals.

"The House impeachment inquiry has rattled this White House and revealed an irrefutable trail of evidence that Trump conditioned military aid for a nation at war on a commitment to investigate the Bidens and a debunked conspiracy theory" – @NicolleDWallace pic.twitter.com/L6EzlOaJPz

— Deadline White House (@DeadlineWH) December 6, 2019

Biden is the current favorite to be the Democratic Presidential nominee for the 2020 election.

The vote is expected to be completed by late December. Passage is likely, since 233 of 431 House members are Democrats (54.1%).

How Trump Could Be Removed

Should the House vote to approve the articles of impeachment, Trump then goes on trial in front of the Senate. House members serve as prosecutors. The Senators are the jury. The chief justice of the Supreme Court presides over the trial.

The White House’s strategy on impeachment has never changed. It has always been purely about surviving the trial in the Senate, and that’s all about politics and tribal loyalty. The law and facts don’t matter in that context.

— Bradley P. Moss (@BradMossEsq) December 6, 2019

The Senate is comprised of 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats, and two independents. Even if the two independents side with the Democrats, it would require a minimum of 20 Republican Senators to cross the floor and vote against party lines to convict Trump.

That’s never going to occur.

There’s No Conviction In This Process

Even staunch Democrats like Robert Reich, a member of the Bill Clinton cabinet, admit there’s absolutely no chance that Trump will be removed.

Polls show that 88% of Republican voters are still backing Trump. There’s not likely to be many – if any – Republican Senators who are going to risk party support and their re-election chances in order to go against Trump.

Despite protests from Republicans for weeks that the White House wasn't being allowed to participate in the impeachment process, the White House now seems to indicate that they won't be participating in the impeachment probe. pic.twitter.com/hieVqowtYc

— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) December 6, 2019

On the other hand, other polls indicate that just 29% of Americans openly identify themselves as Republican. Their numbers are shrinking, and more than 50% of Americans are in favor of Trump’s impeachment.

By exposing Trump’s abuses of power, the House Democrats are defending the US Constitution. They’re also playing the long game. By pulling the shades back to reveal Trump’s misdeeds, they’re hoping to win the 2020 election.

It’s an investment in their future.

Anyone seeking an investment in their own future by playing this wager is leaving themselves with only one logical choice – play the no bet on the prop at -265.