Odds of Senate Voting to Remove President Trump Set at +2000

• Wednesday, the House of Representatives voted to impeach US President Donald Trump
• Sportsbooks have set the odds of Trump being convicted of impeachment by the Senate at +2000
• It would take a two-thirds majority of the Republican-controlled Senate to vote yes in order for Trump to be convicted

On Wednesday, the House of Representatives voted to impeach US President Donald Trump. So what are the chances that the Senate votes to convict Trump and remove him from office?

How about somewhere between slim and none?

That’s certainly the way sportsbooks are viewing the outcome of Trump’s trial. The sportsbook has set the odds that Trump will be impeached and removed from office at +2000.

That line is among a series of prop wagers that sportsbooks are offering on the upcoming trial in the Senate. Bettors can also play a total wager on the number of Republican Senators who will vote in favor of impeaching Trump.

There are also a number of plays regarding how certain Senators will vote following the trial.

Odds Senate Votes to Remove President Trump from Office

Odds taken on Dec. 19

While two US Presidents were previously impeached by the House, neither Andrew Johnson or Bill Clinton were convicted by the Senate.

Trump is the first Republican President to be impeached. He’s also the first President to be impeached during his first term in office.

During an impeachment trial, a team from the House is appointed by the Speaker to serve as the impeachment team. Basically, they are the prosecutors. The Senate serves as the jury. John Roberts, Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, presides over the trial.

This Time, Republicans Are in Charge

The Republicans control the Senate, with 53 of the 100 members. In order for Trump to be convicted and removed from office, it would require that a two-thirds majority of Senators cast their ballots for yes.

Already, Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell stated that he’ll side with the President. There’s even speculation that he might dismiss the Articles of Impeachment without any witnesses being heard.

Sen. Chuck Schumer: "Leader McConnell claimed the impeachment was motivated by partisan rage—this from the man who said proudly, I am not impartial, I have no intention to be impartial at all in the trial of Pres. Trump. What hypocrisy!” https://t.co/fmotvrvc8Q pic.twitter.com/8U1BU8Bivw

— ABC News (@ABC) December 19, 2019

Prominent Republican Senators like Lindsey Graham have also publicly stated that they know how they will cast their vote even before the case is presented in front of them.

Pick: No (-5000)

Odds for Total Number of Republicans Who Will Vote to Impeach President Trump

The House made a compelling case that Trump abused the power of his office to try and influence the outcome of the 2020 Presidential election. And that didn’t sway a single Republican voter.

I’ve made up my mind about the accusations.

I’ve seen the transcript.

I understand the basic tenets of what [Ambassador] Sondland is saying.

It’s hearsay upon hearsay.

I’ve never believed this was an impeachable offense.https://t.co/9nsAVsHcF6

— Lindsey Graham (@LindseyGrahamSC) December 19, 2019

The outcome of the vote on Article 1 of Impeachment was 230-197 in favor. Two Democrats voted no, as did all 195 Republicans. When Article 2 of Impeachment was put forth for a vote, the result was 229-198 in favor. Three Democrats voted no, as did all 195 Republicans.

If you think any Republican Senators are prepared to vote against the cult of Trump, you really haven’t been paying attention.

Pick: Under 1.5 (-300)

Odds for Each Senator to Vote Impeachment

You know that Peanuts cartoon where Lucy convinces Charlie Brown to run and kick the football while she holds it? Every time, she pulls the ball away at the last second and he takes a horrible tumble. Yet he never learns his lesson.

That’s what Republican Senators do to you. They dangle the sense that they’ve finally grown a conscience about Trump’s misdeeds.

But when it comes time to vote, they completely lose the courage of their convictions.

The critical question on impeachment right now is not whether Senate Republicans will vote to convict. It is whether Romney, Collins, Murkowski, etc. will be in the tank for Trump and just allow this to just be a sham trial.

They have the power to make this a real trial.

— Max Bergmann (@maxbergmann) December 13, 2019

“No” is the play for all three of these props.