Live Odds to Win Swing States in Presidential Election – Biden Massive Favorite in Michigan, Pennsylvania

By Robert Duff in Politics News
Updated: March 5, 2021 at 9:29 am ESTPublished:

- Several swing states are called just that because they hold the potential to swing the US Presidential election
- Republican Donald Trump is favored to win Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Ohio
- See the live odds below
Call them swing states or battleground states, when the outcome in each of these key fights is confirmed, it figures to swing the US Presidential election to either Joe Biden or Donald Trump.
Odds To Win Key Swing States in 2020 US Presidential Election
State | Biden Odds | Trump Odds |
---|---|---|
Arizona | -110 | -110 |
Florida | +162 | -200 |
Georgia | +185 | -230 |
Michigan | -340 | +265 |
North Carolina | +115 | -140 |
Ohio | +285 | -365 |
Pennsylvania | -202 | +165 |
Wisconsin | -365 | +290 |
Odds as of Nov. 3rd.
Since a US President is elected via Electoral College votes and not the popular vote, winning as many states as possible is the key to a seat in the Oval Office of the White House.
Arizona Up For Grabs
Arizona hasn’t gone Democrat in 24 years, since Bill Clinton won the state. That’s the only time it’s gone blue since 1952.
#Arizona’s largest county, Maricopa, announced early votes have exceeded the votes cast in the entire 2016 election. #2020Election https://t.co/emvDvbXYGO
— Kyung Lah (@KyungLahCNN) November 1, 2020
However, there seems to be a sense that this could be their election. A CBS News poll showed Biden ahead of Trump 51-46. Trump carried the state by almost 3.5 points in 2016.
Florida Swinging To Trump?
In the polls, Biden is shown with a 51-48 edge on Trump. The Sunshine State could light a path to the White House for whichever candidate captures Florida’s 29 Electoral College votes.
Contributing to @nytimes election coverage today and seeing lots of first-time voters in Central Florida. One turned 18 today, cast her ballot, and shed tears as she left the precinct. Powerful moment.
— Eric Adelson (@eric_adelson) November 3, 2020
Trump carried Florida by just 113,000 votes four years ago.
Georgia On Their Minds
Trump won the Peach State by five points in 2016. This time out, the polls show him trailing Biden 50-47.
Stacey Abrams and Beto O'Rourke didn't stop organizing and registering voters in Georgia and Texas after the 2018 elections. Now those states are in play in a presidential election for the first time in a generation. Such a great example of what's needed to change things.
— Ben Rhodes (@brhodes) November 1, 2020
Georgia voters set records for early turnout, casting more than 2 million ballots.
Michigan Expected To Flip
Trump narrowly captured Michigan from Democrat Hillary Clinton by just 10,074 votes in 2016.
President Trump just said if he loses the election, he’ll never come back to Michigan.
— Yamiche Alcindor (@Yamiche) November 3, 2020
This year, Biden shows a six-point lead over Trump in the polls. Trump’s ongoing battles with Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer haven’t played well with Michiganders.
North Carolina
Trump toppled Clinton by four points in the Tar Heel State four years ago. Currently, he’s trailing Biden 50-48 in the polls.
State Republicans and the Trump campaign were dealt a blow when a US Court of Appeals ruled that mail-in ballots postmarked by 5 p.m. on Election Day should be accepted until November 12. Republicans sought to have voting halted at midnight Nov. 3.
Ohio Too Close To Call
Biden and Trump are in a virtual dead heat in the Buckeye State. Ohio Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is boldly predicting Biden to win the state.
I asked @JoeBiden to come to Cleveland today, because I know we can win in Ohio. If we all do our part, we can elect champions for the Dignity of Work like Joe up and down the ballot tomorrow. https://t.co/1JRJF2apht
— Sherrod Brown (@SherrodBrown) November 2, 2020
The candidate who takes Ohio has also captured the last 14 US Presidential elections.
Will Pennsylvania Polka Back To Dems?
Biden was born in Scranton, home to Dunder Mifflin, and his Pennsylvania roots appear to be paying off.
NEW: Early concern inside Trumpworld about Election Day turnout activities in PA: A person with direct knowledge of the campaign's operations tells me, “The team in Pennsylvania was not as prepared as it should be in a state that could decide the presidency.”
— Peter Alexander (@PeterAlexander) November 3, 2020
He’s holding on to a seven-point lead in the polls (53-46).
Wisconsin Sour On Trump?
Polling shows Biden with a five-point advantage in America’s Dairyland. Digging deeper into the data, it shows him with such demographics as men, White non-college voters and seniors.
It’s 70° on Election Day in Wisconsin!! It’s because we’re so fired up 🔥
Seriously, I don’t remember an election with weather this pleasant. Hoping this will be the harbinger of a great night.
— Mandela Barnes (@TheOtherMandela) November 3, 2020
All of those groups went solidly for Trump in 2016 as he carried the state.

Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.