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Trump’s Vice-President Odds – Vance Now Heavily Favored; RFK Jr in the Running?

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in Politics News

Updated Jul 15, 2024 · 12:17 PM PDT

North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum and Florida Senator Marco Rubio at an event
North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum, right, runs into Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) while making media rounds in the Spin Room at Georgia Tech's McCamish Pavilion after the CNN Presidential Debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump held at CNN's studios in Atlanta. CNN Anchors Jake Tapper and Dana Bash are moderators of the debate.
  • The recently-shot Donald Trump is expected to pick his running mate for the 2024 Presidential Election imminently
  • The Republican Vice-Presidential odds heavily favor either Doug Burgum or JD Vance getting the nod
  • See the latest odds to be Trump’s VP pick before he makes his announcement on Monday afternoon

Just days after being shot in the head by a would-be assassin, former President Donald Trump is expected to announce his running mate for the 2024 Presidential Election on November 5th.

The latest odds show a close two-horse race between North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum and Ohio Senator JD Vance, with Marco Rubio, Glenn Youngkin, Tim Scott, and Ben Carson also in the conversation.

Donald Trump’s Vice-President Odds

Candidate Odds
Doug Burgum +187
JD Vance +200
Marco Rubio +550
Ben Carson +800
Tim Scott +1400
Glenn Youngkin +2000
Sarah Huckabee Sanders +2800

At last count, Burgum was the +187 favorite at bet365, with Vance just behind him at +200. After the top-two favorites, there was a sizable gap to Marco Rubio at +550 and Ben Carson at +800.

Trump is reported to have met with Burgum, Vance, and Rubio at Mar-a-Lago in the last 48 hours.

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Trump is expected to announce his running mate at the Republican National Convention on Monday afternoon, with Donald Trump Jr formally introducing the VP pick to the stage in Milwaukee.

Would Vance Be Redundant?

While Vance is a perfect pairing for Trump in many ways, many political strategists have opined that he’s unnecessary. The Ohio Senator bleeds MAGA and would be massively popular with Trump’s base, but he’s not going to pull in any moderates.

Burgum and Rubio would both be better suited to assuaging fears of an extreme MAGA ticket.

Trump may not particularly care, though. In the latest Presidential Election odds – in the wake of Saturday’s assassination attempt – Trump had shortened to -275 to win a second, non-consecutive term in the White House. Biden’s odds have faded to +450 as calls remain for him to step down as the Democratic nominee due to decline health and mental acuity.

Sportsbooks in non-North American jurisdictions were showing Vance shorten in the early hours of Monday morning.

Live Updates:

  • 3:09 pm ET: Reports indicate JD Vance has received Trump’s VP nomination.
  • 2:40 pm ET: Sites that still have VP odds up list Vance as a heavy favorite, but in a surprising turn of events, former Democratic primary challenger-turned-independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr is listed among the top-three favorites.
  • 2:38 pm ET: Marco Rubio and Doug Burgum have reportedly been told they are not Trump’s VP pick.
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