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Senators vs Maple Leafs Game 2 Predictions, Lines & Odds (Apr. 22)
By Michael Harrison in NHL Hockey
Published:
- The Toronto Maple Leafs are heavy home favorites against the Ottawa Senators in Game 2 on Tuesday
- Toronto handily crushed Ottawa 6-2 in Game 1 after the Senators won all three regular-season meetings
- Read my Senators vs Maple Leafs Game 2 prediction with odds, best bets, and projected lineups below
The Maple Leafs quest to end their Stanley Cup drought, which has been going on since 1967, got off to a good start with a 6-2 thumping of the Senators in Game 1 Sunday. In the Stanley Cup odds, the Leafs are among the favorites to lift Lord Stanley, with Toronto at +850 and Ottawa +8000. The Leafs host the Sens at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday evening. The Game 2 odds have the home side as -166 moneyline favorites.
Ottawa (45-30-7, 97 points) was fourth in the Atlantic Division. Toronto (52-26-4, 108 points) won their first-ever Atlantic Division crown, and they were eleven points better than their counterparts. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET, with coverage on ESPN2 in the United States and CBC along with Sportsnet in Canada.
Senators vs Maple Leafs Game 2 Prediction
- Pick: Over 5.5 goals (-120 at Sports Interaction)
Ottawa won all three regular-season meetings, but the ‘Battle of Ontario’ postseason affair saw these two teams score eight total goals, the most they’ve ever had against one another in a playoff duel. Toronto had eleven more points, is stronger in both goals per game and goals allowed, and they have better special teams.
Since February 1st, the Leafs were dynamite, going 22-7-2, racking up the second-most points in the NHL during that span. In that same time frame, the Sens 18-10-3, tenth best in hockey.
Between the pipes, the Leafs projected Game 2 starter Anthony Stolarz (2.14 GAA, .926 save %) had a better year than Senators netminder Linus Ullmark (2.72 GAA, .910 sv%). In Game 1, Stolarz stopped 31 of 33 shots, while Ullmark surrendered six goals on 24 attempts.
Senators vs Maple Leafs Regular Season Head-to-Head Stats
In Game 1, Toronto asserted its playoff experience, scoring six goals on just 24 shots, capitalizing on their rivals’ lack of discipline. Ottawa allowed the Leafs to have six-man advantages, and Toronto capitalized with three goals. That’s already more than they had in their first-round series defeat to Boston in seven games last year, where they went 1-for-21.
The ‘Core Four’ of Toronto, which has seen countless playoff failures (one series win in the eight-year Mitch Marner/ Auston Matthews era), all registered at least two points, paced by Marner’s three, and Matthews/William Nylander/John Tavares each had two.
If Ottawa is able to stay out of the sin bin, their underlying numbers in the opening salvo weren’t bad in 5-on-5 situations, something they must do a better job of not taking too many penalties.
It was their first postseason battle since 2004, which was the last of Toronto’s four series victories in four attempts versus their provincial rivals. Goaltending must be stronger for the pesky Sens, with Linus Ullmark allowing four or more goals in six of his ten career playoff starts.
In ten of the last 14 duels between the fierce foes, six or more goals have been scored, which is why I’m leaning to the over goal total hitting in this contest.
Senators vs Maple Leafs Game 2 Odds
In the Senators vs Maple Leafs Game 2 odds, Toronto is a heavy -165 moneyline favorite, giving them a 62.41% implied win probability to take the first two contests of the Battle of Ontario.
A $165 bet would profit $100 if they’re victorious. Conversely, a $100 wager on +140 Senators would return $140. Our SBD formula has Toronto holding serve 3.38-3.22, meaning the Senators would cover the spread, and the over 5.5 goal total would hit.
Odds as of April 22, 2025, at Sports Interaction. Check out the top NHL betting apps for Sens vs Leafs.
Senators vs Maple Leafs Game 2 Projected Lineups
Senators Projected Lineup
Maple Leafs Projected Lineup
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Michael Harrison
Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.
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