Lightning Given 4-1 Odds to Come Back From 3-0 Series Deficit & Advance

By Robert Duff in NHL Hockey
Updated: March 27, 2020 at 1:35 pm EDTPublished:

- The Presidents’ Trophy-winning Tampa Bay Lightning are down 3-0 to the Columbus Blue Jackets in their opening-round Stanley Cup series
- Just four teams have rallied from a 3-0 deficit to win a playoff series
- No Presidents’ Trophy winner has ever been swept in the first round of the NHL playoffs
Have the Lightning struck out? Luckily, Tampa Bay is not a baseball team.
In baseball, it’s three strikes and your out but in the Stanley Cup playoffs, a team must lose four games in a series before they are sent packing.
This isn’t fun for you. It’s not fun for us.
But we’ve got one more chance to do this on Tuesday.
We’ll see you there.
— x – Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) April 15, 2019
Like a haggard contestant on Who Wants To Be A Millionaire, the Lightning are down to their last lifeline. Trailing 3-0 to the Columbus Blue Jackets, Tampa Bay is poised to earn a place in Stanley Cup infamy. No Presidents’ Trophy winner has ever been swept in the first round of the NHL playoffs.
Yet sportsbooks are willing to maintain belief in Tampa Bay and continue to throw the Lightning that lifeline. The sportsbook lists the Bolts at +475 to win the series from Columbus.
Blue Jackets vs Lightning Playoff Series Odds
Team | Odds to Win Series |
---|---|
Columbus Blue Jackets | -600 |
Tampa Bay Lightning | +475 |
*Odds taken on 04/15/19
The Pittsburgh Penguins won two of the last three Stanley Cups. The Pens are also down 3-0 to the New York Islanders. Sportsbooks put them at +975 to win their series.
"Our group is not going to just lay over and quit. We have to find a way to win a game. Whether it's a great game or an ugly win, they all count the same."#TBLvsCBJ | Steven Stamkos: pic.twitter.com/B8nmvd9bKL
— x – Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) April 15, 2019
Tampa Bay is also given a better chance to win than Carolina. The Hurricanes are +500 to rally from a 2-0 deficit against the defending Stanley Cup champion Washington Capitals.
History Will Be Made
The Lightning seek to join the 1942 Toronto Maple Leafs, 1975 Islanders, 2010 Philadelphia Flyers, and 2014 Los Angeles Kings as the only NHL teams to rally from 3-0 down to win an NHL playoff series.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sxty6nZtGTs
Interestingly, two of those teams, the Leafs and Kings, came all the way back to win the Stanley Cup. The Flyers lost in the Cup final. The Islanders were eliminated in the semifinals.
Blue Jackets Poised
Columbus will also be part of history if the Blue Jackets topple Tampa Bay. They’ve never won a playoff series. Last spring, they opened by winning the first two on the road from the Washington Capitals. The Caps roared back to win in six and won the Cup.
The @BlueJacketsNHL sit one win shy of becoming the fourth team in NHL history to complete a four-game sweep to post their first-ever series victory. #StanleyCup
More #NHLStats: https://t.co/x5ipkdKtPi pic.twitter.com/rvwDRMVIi9
— NHL Public Relations (@PR_NHL) April 15, 2019
In 2012, the Kings were the first team to win the first three games of an opening-round playoff series from a Presidents’ Trophy winner against the Vancouver Canucks.
The @BlueJacketsNHL joined the 2012 Kings as the second team in NHL history to take a 3-0 series lead against a Presidents’ Trophy winner in the opening round. #NHLStats #StanleyCup pic.twitter.com/BTunPQpCeT
— NHL Public Relations (@PR_NHL) April 15, 2019
LA won that set in five games. The Kings captured the franchise’s first Stanley Cup that spring.
Lightning in Tough
Do the math and it just doesn’t add up for Tampa Bay. Through the 2018 playoffs, 188 teams had fallen behind 3-0 in a playoff series. Four came back to win. That’s 2.1%, or a 45-1 chance of it happening. Only 13% of teams facing this scenario manage to force a Game 7 (9-of-188).

The Lightning are going down in the annals among the greatest teams not to win the Cup. And they are doing so in epic fail fashion.
Pick: Columbus Blue Jackets (-600)

Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.