Game 1 Stars vs Golden Knights Odds, Lines & Predictions (May 19)

• The Golden Knights are -125 home favorites in Game 1 of their Western Conference Finals series against the Stars Friday (May 19th) at 8:30pm ET
• Dallas won all three meetings versus Vegas during the regular season
• Keep reading for the complete Stars vs Golden Knights odds, plus best bets

The Dallas Stars survived a scare in their second-round series, as the Seattle Kraken took them to the brink in seven hard-fought battles. The Stars were able to emerge victorious to punch their second Conference Final in the last four years. The last time they were in this round, they defeated the Knights in five games, before bowing out in the Stanley Cup Final.

The Golden Knights dispatched of two Canadian squads en route to the final four. They fairly easily dispatched of Winnipeg in the first round, then outlasted a strong Oilers team in six games in round two.

Vegas begins this series as -135 favorites to make their second Stanley Cup Final in six seasons of existence. Dallas are the underdogs at +115. Read on for Stars vs Golden Knights analysis.

Stars vs Golden Knights Game 1 Odds

Vegas is the second choice in the Stanley Cup odds at +260, while Dallas is the third selection at +310. The Golden Knights are the -125 favorites in this contest that features a total of 5.5 goals.

Puck drop is set for 8:30pm ET at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada with ESPN broadcasting the game in the States and Rogers Sportsnet and CBC covering it in Canada.

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Odds as of May 17th at Caesars Sportsbook. Claim the Caesars promo code for Game 1.

Dallas Stars Betting Analysis

The Dallas Stars are led by Finnish star Roope Hintz, who racked up 19 points in the first two rounds, the most of any remaining player in the postseason. They were also paced by 38-year-old veteran Joe Pavelski, who sniped eight times in round two, the most ever by a player that old in a single series. Surprisingly, they haven’t had Jason Robertson firing on all cylinders, who was sixth in scoring in the regular season with 109 points. He’s found the back of the net just twice in 13 postseason affairs.

Roope Hintz and gorgeous, gorgeous goals to open the scoring in the final game of a series.

Name a better duo. pic.twitter.com/zCd89jzLY4

— z – Dallas Stars (@DallasStars) May 16, 2023

Jake Oettinger is a dynamite young goaltender for Dallas, though he’s just been pedestrian thus far with a .903 save percentage. Should he find his game that saw him post an eye-popping .954 save percentage in the first round last year, he could flip this series on its head. Dallas has lost their last three Game 1’s in the postseason. They’re first on the PP of remaining teams (31.7%), and second on the PK (83.3%).

The Stars are 6-0 in their last six when their opponent scores five goals or more in their previous game. They’re 7-1 in their last eight after scoring two goals or less in their previous game.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Analysis

Vegas has been an all-or-nothing offense so far, with 38 goals in their eight victories (4.75), and just one goal in each of their three losses. They’re paced by Jack Eichel, who leads the team with 14 points, ahead of Mark Stone’s twelve. This remarkably is Vegas’ fourth Conference Finals appearance in six seasons. In their first year in existence, they made the Cup Final, but in 2020 and 2021, they lost in this round.

Vegas lost starting goaltender Laurent Brossoit early in their second-round series against the Oilers, but Adin Hill has more than capably stepped in. He’s posted a 2.19 GAA and .934 save percentage, numbers that realistically will regress to the mean. If Dallas’ offense can get humming, they could force Vegas’ hand into relying on Jonathan Quick.

🎥 Smith on playing the Stars: Special teams is going to be important and we have to make sure we're making it hard on them. pic.twitter.com/KpNNR1P9Qr

— x-Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) May 17, 2023

The Knights have got to get far stronger on special teams if they want to continue their deep playoff run. Through two rounds, they’re operating at a 17.5% clip on the PP and a ghastly 60.0% eyesore on the penalty kill.

The Golden Knights are 1-4 in their last five Conference Finals games. They’ve won their last four when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game.

Vegas vs Dallas Recent Results

Dallas won all three meetings in the regular season and four straight dating back to last year. Jake Oettinger started each time, going 3-0-0 with a sparkling .967 save percentage. They met in the 2020 Western Conference Final with the Stars taking it in five affairs.

Stars vs Golden Knights Pick & Prediction

Bettors believe that Vegas will draw first blood, with a whopping 84% of moneyline bets placed on them thus far. Our model has this Stars vs Golden Knights game going Dallas’ way, however, 3.41-3.17.

With the Stars winning four in a row and eight of their last eleven against Vegas, why not wager on them, given that they’re the underdog?

Pick: Dallas Stars Moneyline (+105)