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Avalanche vs Bruins Prediction, Odds & Trends for Saturday Afternoon Hockey

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Updated: January 25, 2025 at 5:10 am EST

Published:


Massachusetts, USA; Boston Bruins defenseman Charlie McAvoy defends Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 21, 2022; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Bruins defenseman Charlie McAvoy (73) defends Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon (29) during the second period at the TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Colorado Avalanche visit the Boston Bruins on Saturday afternoon in a cross-conference NHL matchup
  • I’ve got your Avalanche vs Bruins prediction and best bets for Saturday, January 25, 2025
  • Check out the Avalanche vs Bruins odds, picks, and betting preview for this matinee showdown

The Colorado Avalanche (28-19-2) travel east to face the Boston Bruins (24-20-6) on Saturday, January 25, 2025 at TD Garden. The puck drops at 1:00 PM EST in this afternoon affair, with the game broadcast on NHL Network, NESN and ALT.

Colorado enters as -134 road favorites in the Avalanche vs Bruins odds, with the total set at 5.5 goals shaded to the over. Despite trading away star winger Mikko Rantanen, can the Avs get back on track against the slumping B’s?

Keep reading for my Avalanche vs Bruins prediction and betting pick.

Avalanche vs Bruins Prediction

I’m siding with the Avalanche on the moneyline in this interconference clash. At first glance, Colorado’s blockbuster trade of Mikko Rantanen may look like a major blow, but I believe they still have enough firepower to handle the Bruins.

Even without Rantanen’s 25 goals and 64 points, the Avs still boast elite talents like Nathan MacKinnon (75 points in 49 games) and Cale Makar. MacKinnon, in particular, should relish the opportunity to take on an even bigger role, and I expect him to shoulder the offensive load.

The advanced stats also paint a positive picture for Colorado. Since January 1st, the Avs have controlled the run of play at 5v5 with a 54.79% share of shot attempts (Corsi) and 51.88% of scoring chances. They’ve also received solid goaltending from Blackwood (.925 SV%) to go along with their puck possession edge.

In contrast, Boston has struggled mightily in those same metrics over that span. The Bruins have been underwater in both Corsi (45.56%) and scoring chances (45.54%), relying heavily on Pastrnak (56 points) to generate offense.

Special teams could also play a major role in this one. The Avalanche power play (20.4%) has a distinct advantage over Boston’s 30th-ranked unit, clicking at just 13.4%. With playmakers like MacKinnon and Makar, look for Colorado to expose that weak penalty kill.

Another strong signal toward the Avs is the line move. Colorado opened around -120 but has been steamed all the way up to -150 at Pinnacle, a sharp offshore book. That type of move indicates the professional bettors are confident laying the road chalk.

Add it all up, and I have to back the more talented Avalanche squad here. Despite the noise around the Rantenen trade, I still believe they’re the right side in this matchup. Lay the reasonable moneyline price with the Avs as short road favorites.

Avalanche vs Bruins Pick:

  • Avalanche Moneyline (-134 at FanDuel)
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Avalanche vs Bruins Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
COL Avalanche -1.5 (+184) -134 Over 5.5 (-124)
BOS Bruins +1.5 (-230) +112 Under 5.5 (+102)

The Avalanche are -134 moneyline favorites, meaning you’d need to risk $134 to win $100 on a Colorado victory. Boston comes back at +112 – a $100 bet would return $112 if the Bruins spring the upset.

If you like Colorado to win decisively, the -1.5 puck line (+184) offers some upside. However, considering the Bruins’ strong home record (15-7-3), I’d be cautious about laying that many goals. Buying some insurance with Boston +1.5 (-230) isn’t the worst idea.

This total of 5.5 feels about right considering the talent on the ice. Both teams boast some elite offensive weapons but have struggled to convert at times. The over is juiced to -124, so if you’re banking on a track meet, you’ll have to pay a little extra vig. Personally, I’d lean toward a 4-3 or 3-2 type game that barely clears the total.

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Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of January 25, 2025. Check out the top NHL betting apps for Avs vs Bruins.

While the Avalanche have been road warriors, the Bruins are always tough to beat on home ice. Here are some notable NHL betting trends and nuggets to consider for this Avalanche vs Bruins prediction:

  • Colorado are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference
  • The Avalanche are just 1-5 in their last 6 meetings with Boston
  • Boston is 15-7-3 at TD Garden this season
  • The Bruins are 4-8 in their last 12 overall
  • The over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston

It’s hard to quantify the impact of Colorado trading a player of Rantanen’s caliber on the day before the game. In the short term, it could go one of two ways – the Avs rally around the adversity or come out flat. Knowing their leadership core, though, my money is on the former.

At the end of the day, I trust Colorado’s overall talent and metrics more than Boston’s right now. The Bruins are just 4-4-2 in their last 10 and have been getting consistently outplayed at 5v5. Unless Pastrnak (56 points) goes off or Swayman stands on his head, I don’t see them keeping up with MacKinnon and company.

My Avalanche vs Bruins prediction is Colorado -134 on the moneyline. I expect the Avs to control play and do just enough to grind out a critical road win. While I don’t love the price, the Avalanche are simply the stronger side in my opinion. Bet it now at FanDuel using the links above.

 

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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