Updated Super Bowl 61 Odds: Week 2 Movement Shakes Up the Board

The Super Bowl 61 futures experienced significant reshuffling after Week 2, with several teams seeing dramatic price corrections from their post-Week 1 positions. The Los Angeles Rams hold steady as the outright favorite at +650, unchanged ahead of their MNF tilt with the New York Giants. The Buffalo Bills (+750) and San Francisco 49ers (+1100) both shortened sharply after dominant 2-0 starts, while the Kansas City Chiefs (+1200) saw the biggest move among contenders, going from +1600 to +1200. Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens (+1000) drifted from +850 after a Week 2 loss dropped them to 1-1.

Before diving into underlying data and specific team profiles, here is the fully updated championship board with week-over-week movement from BetMGM.

Updated Super Bowl 61 Odds

The top tier remains the Rams (+650), Bills (+750), and Ravens (+1000). A loaded second tier runs from the 49ers (+1100) through the Eagles (+1500), with five teams sitting at +1500 or shorter.

The NFC is still the favored conference at -120 in the odds to win the Super Bowl, while the AFC sits at even-money (+100). Those prices are identical to last week.

Biggest Risers in Super Bowl Odds

Minnesota Vikings (+5000 → +3000)

The Vikings delivered the most dramatic price adjustment among mid-tier contenders, shortening considerably from +5000 down to +3000 after a perfect 2-0 start with a 100.0% ATS cover rate. Minnesota boasts a +23 point differential (48 scored, 25 allowed) and sits first in the NFC with a pair of division wins.

The defense has been elite, allowing just 12.5 points per game with a stingy 27.3% opponent drive success rate and 4.0 sacks per contest. At +3000, the market is rapidly correcting what now looks like a stale post-Week 1 price.

Kansas City Chiefs (+1600 → +1200)

The Chiefs tightened from +1600 to +1200 after starting 2-0 behind the league’s most prolific offense. Kansas City leads the NFL in net yards at 457.5 per game, scoring 32.0 points per contest with a 60.0% red-zone efficiency.

Defensively, they allow just 20.0 points and 252.5 yards per game while generating 1.5 takeaways per contest. Their +24 point differential ranks among the best in the AFC, solidifying their standing near the top of the board.

San Francisco 49ers (+1400 → +1100)

San Francisco shortened from +1400 down to +1100 and now shares the fourth-shortest price on the board. The 49ers are 2-0 with a 100.0% ATS cover rate and boast the league’s most dominant point differential at +42 (62 scored, just 20 allowed).

The offense averages 31.0 points and 380.5 net yards per game with an elite 87.5% red-zone touchdown rate, while the defense surrenders a mere 10.0 points and 287.0 yards per contest with just a 22.2% opponent drive success rate. This has been the most complete team in the league through two weeks.

Buffalo Bills (+900 → +750)

The Bills saw their odds tighten from +900 to +750 after opening 2-0. Buffalo’s offense has been explosive, averaging 38.5 points and 427.5 net yards per game with a 75.0% red-zone touchdown rate. Their +15 point differential is tempered by a defense that has conceded 31.0 points per game, but the market is clearly buying the overwhelming offensive firepower.

Biggest Fallers in Super Bowl Odds

Washington Commanders (+8000 → +15000)

Washington saw their championship price nearly double, shifting from +8000 out to +15000 after falling to 0-2 and suffering a devastating blow when starting quarterback Jayden Daniels exited their Week 2 contest with an injury that will sideline him. Daniels’ looming absence completely lowers the ceiling of an offense that was already struggling to mask a porous defense.

Washington has surrendered 30.5 points and 325.0 yards per game with a 55.0% opponent drive success rate and zero takeaways. With Daniels out of the lineup and a -19 point differential already on the ledger, Washington faces an uphill climb to remain competitive in the NFC playoff picture.

Atlanta Falcons (+12500 → +20000)

The Falcons drifted substantially from +12500 out to +20000, sitting at 0-2 with a 0.0% ATS cover rate and an offense that has ground to a complete halt. Atlanta has scored just 16 total points across two games while allowing 54, producing a disastrous -38 point differential.

Their offense averages a league-worst 8.0 points per game, burdened by five interceptions and a 0.0% red-zone touchdown conversion rate. Banged-up personnel along the offensive line and in the skill positions have rendered the offense incapable of sustaining drives, making their long-term postseason outlook nearly terminal.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+5000 → +8000)

Pittsburgh’s odds drifted from +5000 out to +8000 after dropping to 1-1 in a toothless Week 2 defeat where offensive limitations were magnified by mounting physical attrition. The Steelers’ offense has been anemic, averaging just 11.5 points and 249.5 net yards per game with a meager 16.0% drive success rate and 3.81 yards per play.

With injuries thinning their pass-catching rotation and offensive line continuity, Pittsburgh cannot generate explosive plays to complement an overburdened defense, leading to a -10 point differential.

Los Angeles Chargers (+2500 → +5000)

Once viewed as a dependable contender, the Chargers saw their odds double from +2500 out to +5000 after plummeting to 0-2 amid severe injury fallout across their starting lineup. Los Angeles holds a 0.0% ATS cover rate and a -24 point differential (28 scored, 52 allowed).

The offense has cratered behind an injured offensive line that has already surrendered six sacks, resulting in an offense averaging just 14.0 points and 289.0 net yards per game with a 17.4% drive success rate and five total giveaways. With multiple core starters sidelined or compromised, their margin for error in the AFC has vanished.

Chicago Bears (+2200 → +4000)

The Bears drifted from +2200 out to +4000 despite carrying a 1-1 record, driven almost entirely by the alarming injury to starting quarterback Caleb Williams, who was forced out of Week 2 and is slated to miss time. Williams’ absence strips Chicago of its offensive engine just as defensive flaws are coming to light, with the unit surrendering 362.0 total yards per game and 8.69 yards per pass attempt.

While their +16 point differential looks stable on paper, handing the offense over to backup stewardship while facing defensive coverage breakdowns justifies why the market has rapidly pushed Chicago far outside the contender tier.