Texans vs Chiefs Player Props to Target (Dec. 21)

By Michael Harrison in NFL Football
Published:

- The Texans battle the Chiefs in NFL Week 16 Saturday, December 21st, from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- Kansas City can clinch the AFC’s #1 seed with a win and a Bills loss on Sunday against the Patriots
- Take a look below for our top Texans vs Chiefs player prop bets
Through 15 weeks of the NFL campaign, the Kansas City Chiefs have been Houdini artists, escaping with plenty of nail biting victories to go 13-and-1. They’re hosting the Houston Texans, who wrapped up the AFC South last weekend. As the Texans meet the Chiefs on Saturday, December 21st at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri, it’s the home squad that’s a 3.5 point favorite in the Week 16 NFL odds. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 pm ET.
Texans vs Chiefs Player Props
Quarterbacks | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
---|---|---|---|
C.J. Stroud (HOU) | 20.5 (Ov-130/Un+100) | 233.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 1.5 (Ov+155/Un-205) |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) | 20.5 (Ov-135/Un+105) | 225.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 1.5 (Ov+100/Un-130) |
Running Backs | Attempts | Rushing Yards | Longest Rush |
Joe Mixon (HOU) | 17.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) | 60.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | 13.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Isiah Pacheco (KC) | 13.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | 54.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 13.5 (Ov-125/Un-105) |
Kareem Hunt (KC) | OTB | 26.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | OTB |
Wide Receivers & Tight Ends | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
Nico Collins (HOU) | 6.5 (Ov+100/Un-130) | 84.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 26.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Tank Dell (HOU) | 3.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | 40.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 18.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Dalton Schultz (HOU) | 3.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) | 34.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 16.5 (Ov-105/Un-125) |
Robert Woods (HOU) | OTB | 13.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 9.5 (Ov-125/Un-105) |
Travis Kelce (KC) | 4.5 (Ov-155/Un+120) | 50.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) | 18.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
DeAndre Hopkins (KC) | 3.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | 39.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 17.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Xavier Worthy (KC) | 3.5 (Ov-105/Un-125) | 39.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 19.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) |
Noah Gray (KC) | 2.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 22.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 13.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) |
C.J. Stroud’s passing yardage line is set at 233.5, while Patrick Mahomes (ankle) is on track to start, is 225.5. As for the running backs, the Texans Joe Mixon is set at 60.5 yards and the Chiefs’ Isiah Pacheco is at 54.5. Nico Collins has the highest receiving-yardage total in the NFL player props at 84.5 for Houston and Travis Kelce 50.5 for Kansas City.

Texans vs Chiefs Prop #1: Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards
For the campaign, no team allows more yards per game to tight ends than the Kansas City Chiefs (74.6). The Texans will look to exploit that with Dalton Schultz, whose line is 34.5 for this affair.
Note to NFL defenses: never leave Dalton Schultz this wide open pic.twitter.com/PzhJ0dGQYt
— uSTADIUM (@uSTADIUM) December 1, 2024
He’s been able to reach that milestone in two of his last five duels, with twice him getting into 60+ yards against Detroit and Jacksonville, and another time gaining 33 yards. Given the Chiefs’ struggles to defend tight ends, it’s an area the Texans can exploit to get Schultz his yardage total.
- Texans vs Chiefs Prop Pick: Dalton Schultz over 34.5 receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Texans vs Chiefs Prop #2: Isiah Pacheco Rushing Attempts
With Patrick Mahomes coming in with a mild high ankle sprain, it would stand to reason that the Chiefs would want to alleviate as much pressure on him as they can. Enter running back Isiah Pacheco, who will compete in his fourth contest since missing nine outings with a fractured fibula.
After carrying the ball a modest seven times in his return to action, the last two games has seen him taking 14 and 13 handoffs. The Chiefs like running the ball, as they’re eleventh in the NFL with 27.9 rush attempts per game. They also rushed it 35 times last weekend against Cleveland.
- Texans vs Chiefs Prop Pick: Isiah Pacheco over 13.5 rushing attempts (-120); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Texans vs Chiefs Touchdown Scorer Props
Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Anytime TD |
---|---|---|
Joe Mixon (HOU) | +500 | -120 |
Isiah Pacheco (KC) | +600 | +115 |
Travis Kelce (KC) | +900 | +165 |
Nico Collins (HOU) | +1000 | +165 |
Kareem Hunt (KC) | +1100 | +245 |
DeAndre Hopkins (KC) | +1200 | +235 |
Xavier Worthy (KC) | +1200 | +245 |
Tank Dell (HOU) | +1500 | +290 |
Dalton Schultz (HOU) | +1800 | +330 |
Noah Gray (KC) | +1800 | +350 |
The Texans’ Joe Mixon has the shortest odds to find the end zone first at +500 and has the smallest odds to record a TD at any time at -120.
Texans vs Chiefs Prop #3: Nico Collins Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Nico Collins has played the last four games after missing five with a hamstring injury. In his last three outings, Collins has posted three TD’s, including two last weekend against Miami.
➖#Chiefs DC Steve Spagnuolo asked what’s the challenge with a matchup nightmare like #Texans WR Nico Collins
📅 Week 16 • Texans at Chiefs
🗣️ “Well he’s big and he’s fast. It’s like you say about all these good wide receivers that those 50-50 balls, he usually comes down… pic.twitter.com/waQVoVt4PP
— sidelinesarah (@sidelinesarah) December 19, 2024
For the campaign, he’s found pay dirt six times in ten duels. That’s double the amount of Stefon Diggs, the next closest teammate in receiving TD’s. His odds to record a touchdown at any time is +165, which is longer than the top-two choices on the board (Joe Mixon, Isiah Pacheco), so selecting Collins brings some value.
- Texans vs Chiefs Prop Pick: Nico Collins anytime touchdown scorer (+165); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.