Super Bowl MVP Odds Favor Mahomes and Allen; Hurts and Purdy Also in Top 4
By Michael Harrison in NFL Football
Published:
- The NFL playoffs begin this weekend as 14 teams vie for the coveted Lombardi Trophy in Super Bowl LVII
- Patrick Mahomes is the +400 favorite to win the Super Bowl MVP award over Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts
- 49ers rookie QB Brock Purdy is a top-four favorite; does he present solid value to wager on?
Heading into the postseason, the Kansas City Chiefs are favored with the shortest Super Bowl odds at +330. They’re holding the first-round bye in the AFC, and subsequently, quarterback Patrick Mahomes has the shortest odds to win Super Bowl LVII MVP for the second time in his career.
The top-six players that could win Super Bowl MVP after battling in the regular season NFL MVP odds are quarterbacks. Mahomes is the odds-on favorite to win the regular season award. Which players have the easier path to the Super Bowl and who has good value to place a wager on?
Super Bowl MVP Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | +400 |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +550 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | +650 |
| Brock Purdy (SF) | +900 |
| Joe Burrow (CIN) | +1000 |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | +1500 |
| Christian McCaffrey (SF) | +1800 |
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | +2500 |
| Travis Kelce (KC) | +2800 |
| Devin Singletary (BUF) | +2800 |
| Tom Brady (TB) | +3000 |
| Stefon Diggs (BUF) | +3000 |
| Deebo Samuel (SF) | +3000 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | +4000 |
| Kirk Cousins (MIN) | +4000 |
| AJ Brown (PHI) | +4000 |
| Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) | +5000 |
| Trevor Lawrence (JAX) | +5000 |
| Daniel Jones (NYG) | +6000 |
| Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) | +6500 |
Odds as of January 10. Lock in the latest DraftKings Sportsbook promo code here. Right now DraftKings is offering up to a 100% profit boost with Stepped Up SGPs for NFL Wild Card Weekend!
As the favorite to win the Super Bowl, the Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes is the front runner to win SB MVP yet again. He’ll face stiff competition in the AFC, in the form of Josh Allen and the Bills, along with Joe Burrow and the reigning AFC Champion Bengals.
The third and fourth choices are Jalen Hurts and Brock Purdy. The Eagles have the first round bye, which will be huge for Hurts’ to rest his ailing shoulder. Purdy’s 49ers have won ten straight (including all five starts of his). While he’s looked fantastic, should San Fran win it all, he’ll face immense competition within his own squad to win the award. Those include Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and potentially a handful of defensive stalwarts, making him not a phenomenal bet at +900.
Mahomes and Allen Top Two Favorites
It should come as no surprise that the top two choices to win Super Bowl MVP are Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, as the Chiefs and Bills have been jockeying for position as the AFC’s top team all season. Largely due to the horrific Damar Hamlin collapse and cancellation of Buffalo’s Week 17 game against Cincinnati, KC was able to claim the top seed and the first round bye.
Mahomes led the NFL with 5,250 passing yards and 41 TD passes (six more than Allen and Joe Burrow), and the Chiefs have been to four straight AFC Championship games, including two Super Bowls. Should the higher-seeded teams hold serve in the Wild Card round, KC would get the Jaguars, while Buffalo would have a rematch with the Bengals, which is certainly the perceived much tougher contest.
In just 3 more starts in his career than Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes has:
387 more completions
5,918 more pass yards
54 more pass TDs
28 more total TDs
11 fewer INTs
341 more 1st downs
21 more games w/300 passing yards
14 more games w/100+ QB rating
16 more games w/3+ TD passes pic.twitter.com/Asi8qozQqT— 🗣🎙‼️ (@LanceTHESPOKEN) January 9, 2023
The Bills are rolling into the playoffs having won seven straight, and it’ll be that much tougher wading their way through a tough AFC, even with the championship game being at a neutral site if they face Andy Reid and co. One area of concern with Allen, as brilliant as he’s been, are the turnovers. He led the NFL with 19 of them, compared to 15 for Burrow and 12 for Mahomes. That could rear its ugly head in the postseason.
Value Super Bowl MVP Pick
For much of the campaign the Philadelphia Eagles were the top team in football, until they lost two of their last three with Jalen Hurts sidelined in those two defeats. They’ll be able to avoid facing the vaunted 49ers until at the very latest, the NFC Championship affair. For much of the year, Hurts was the NFL MVP front-runner, until he missed time. His road to the big dance is far less frightening compared to the gauntlet that is the AFC.
Jalen Hurts is second youngest QB in NFL history to win 14+ games in a season behind Dan Marino in 1984
Jalen was 5-0 this season vs playoff teams 🔥🔥
Eagles
14-1 with Jalen
0-2 without Jalen pic.twitter.com/WfsOQI1cc9— John Clark (@JClarkNBCS) January 9, 2023
Hurts will use this week to rest his ailing shoulder, as the bye week comes at the perfect time. Then he’ll be able to go back to tormenting defenses, and should Philly make their run, he has a prime opportunity to win Super Bowl MVP.
The Pick: Jalen Hurts (+650)
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.
