Super Bowl 55 Game Props – Odds on Winning Margin, First Scoring Play, Total Touchdowns and More

By Chris Amberley in NFL Football
Updated: February 8, 2021 at 8:56 am ESTPublished:

- The Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers clash in Super Bowl 55 on Sunday, February 7th (6:30 pm EST)
- There’s a game prop for everything from winning margin to first scoring play and everything else in between
- Read below to find out where we think the betting value lies
The Super Bowl is by far the best day on the sports betting calendar, and this year’s game promises to be a doozy. The reigning champion Kansas City Chiefs take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday (Feb. 7, 6:30 pm EST) in a battle of the new guard led by Patrick Mahomes, versus the old guard captained by the GOAT Tom Brady.
The Chiefs are currently a field goal favorite over the hometown Bucs, but you’d be doing yourself a disservice if that’s the only betting avenue you chose to explore. You can literally bet on everything during the Super Bowl, and often the most beatable lines show up in the game props.
With that in mind, we’ve compiled all of the Touchdown | Score | Gameplay | Kicking | Race to X | Halftime / Full-Time | Winning Margin props for Super Bowl 55 below, and provided our best bets for each category. (See here for our Super Bowl player props.)
Touchdown Props
Prop | Over Odds | Under Odds |
---|---|---|
Total TD | 6.5 (-121) | 6.5 (-113) |
Total Yards of Longest TD | 45.5 (-114) | 45.5 (-114) |
Total Yards of Shortest TD | 1.5 (+160) | 1.5 (-215) |
Total Yardage of all TD | 121.5 (+110) | 121.5 (-140) |
Total TD Passes | 4.5 (-150) | 4.5 (+110) |
Prop | Yes Odds | No Odds |
Any Player to Score 3+ TD | +500 | -950 |
Either Team to Score Opening Drive TD | -145 | +115 |
Both Teams to Score Opening Drive TD | +600 | -1100 |
Either Team to Score on First Offensive Play | +3400 | -8000 |
Special Team or Defensive Touchdown Scored | +225 | -300 |
All odds taken Feb. 2nd from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM.
There’s no better place than touchdown props to start. While you can find each team’s individual props here, this article will focus on the total amount for the entire game.
Big Plays Are Bound to Happen
Last time they met, the Chiefs and Buccaneers produced a plethora of fireworks. They combined for 960 yards of offense and five touchdowns of at least 20 yards.
Patrick Mahomes-Tyreek Hill (75-yard TD)
Hill reached a top speed of 14.40 MPH within 1-second of the snap, 5th-fastest on a go route this season. Hill is responsible for 3 of the top 5 fastest speeds off the line of scrimmage on go routes this season.#KCvsTB | #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/ZCCnSzhbyG
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) November 29, 2020
Of course everyone remembers the 75-yard and 44-yard scores by Tyreek Hill, but the Bucs had multiple 30+ yard touchdowns of their own.
KC’s defense meanwhile, surrendered 54 completions of 20+ yards this season and nine completions of at least 40 yards, something that Tom Brady and company will definitely look to expose. Brady led the league in air yards per attempt during the regular season, which plays right into the hands of Tampa Bay’s big play receivers.
The legendary Gene Deckerhoff with the call on Scotty Miller's touchdown#GoBucs pic.twitter.com/KzpHHNHx3D
— Nick Sitro ✌️ (@nicksitro) January 25, 2021
With a game total of 56, oddsmakers expect plenty of touchdowns and both teams have ample amount of explosive playmakers to generate at least one or two long touchdowns to help us hit the over.
Pick: Total Yardage of all TD Over 121.5 (+110)
Score Props
Prop | TD | FG |
---|---|---|
First Scoring Play | -240 | +170 |
Prop | Odd | Even |
Total Points | -136 | +104 |
Prop | Over Odds | Under Odds |
Highest Scoring Quarter Combined Points | 20.5 (-165) | 20.5 (+130) |
Lowest Scoring Quarter Combined Points | 3.5 (-210) | 3.5 (+160) |
Prop | Yes Odds | No Odds |
Either Team to Score Three Straight Times | -250 | +175 |
Either Team to Score in Final 2 Minutes of 1st Half | -333 | +220 |
Will the Team to Score First Win the Game? | -200 | +140 |
Either Team to Record a Safety | +800 | -1667 |
Either Team to be Shutout | +5000 | N/A |
Either Team to Have Successful 2-Point Conversion | +230 | -305 |
Game To Go Into Overtime | +1150 | -2300 |
Both Teams to Lead in 1st Half | +115 | -145 |
Both Teams to Lead in 2nd Half | +140 | -180 |
Both Teams to Lead in 4th Quarter | +300 | -430 |
Prop | Chiefs Odds | Buccaneers Odds |
Team to Score First | -138 | +100 |
Team to Score Last | -125 | -110 |
The trendy play when winning the coin toss these days is to defer the ball until the second half. That’s what Kansas City has been doing all season and will likely do on Sunday as well, but what about if the Bucs win the toss?
Buccaneers Strike First
Tampa Bay is one of the few teams that likes to set the tone offensively and could wind up getting the ball first no matter who wins the right to choose. They marched 66 yards on their opening drive in the NFC Championship game for a touchdown, and engineered a 70-yard scoring drive to start their Wild Card game against Washington.
.@TomBrady + @MikeEvans13_ = 6️⃣
📺: https://t.co/RwWO3cpuWt pic.twitter.com/6wlb2533RA
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) January 24, 2021
The Chiefs meanwhile, gave up a field goal on the opening possession of the AFC Championship game, and fell behind in all three of their playoff games last season, including the Super Bowl, before rallying back to win.
Pick: Buccaneers to Score First (+100)
Gameplay Props
Prop | Over Odds | Under Odds |
---|---|---|
Total Yards | 799.5 (-115) | 799.5 (-115) |
Total Pass Attempts | 80.5 (-120) | 80.5 (-120) |
Total Pass Completions | 52.5 (-125) | 52.5 (-110) |
Total Pass Yards | 635.5 (-138) | 635.5 (+100) |
Total Rush Attempts | 50.5 (-120) | 50.5 (-120) |
Total Rush Yards | 190.5 (-138) | 190.5 (+100) |
Total First Downs | 48.5 (+100) | 48.5 (-138) |
Total Yards of Longest Drive | 84.5 (+105) | 84.5 (-130) |
Total Sacks | 4.5 (+110) | 4.5 (-137) |
Total Interceptions | 1.5 (+134) | 1.5 (-167) |
Total Turnovers | 2.5 (+122) | 2.5 (-155) |
Total Penalties Accepted | 10.5 (-138) | 10.5 (+100) |
One of the biggest stories leading into Sunday’s big game is Kansas City’s decimated offensive line. Andy Reid’s bunch is expected to be without its starting right tackle, left tackle and left guard which spells trouble against Tampa Bay’s ferocious defense.
No Shortage of Sacks
The Bucs ranked fourth in sacks and third in QB hits this season and will need to get to Mahomes to have any chance of slowing him down. Just one of the Chiefs projected opening week offensive line starters will suit up for this game, and now one of their centers is being forced to stay away from the team until Saturday thanks to a COVID scare.
Chiefs’ C Daniel Kilgore was mid haircut when the barber was notified that he was Covid positive. Kilgore and the barber both were wearing masks. Kilgore has to stay home this week, but has tested negative and can return Saturday, fly with the team and play Sunday, per source. https://t.co/oWfjJX1qIr
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) February 3, 2021
On the other side of the ball, Chris Jones and Frank Clark should have no problems against the Bucs 16th ranked pass blocking unit, setting up the potential for big sack numbers on both sides.
Pick: Over 4.5 Sacks (+110)
Kicking Props
Prop | Over Odds | Under Odds |
---|---|---|
Total Made FG | 3.5 (+112) | 3.5 (-152) |
Total Yards of Longest Made FG | 47.5 (+100) | 47.5 (-130) |
Total Yards of Shortest Made FG | 27.5 (-106) | 27.5 (-118) |
Total Yardage of All Made FG | 125.5 (-106) | 125.5 (-118) |
Total Punts | 6.5 (+115) | 6.5 (-143) |
Total Yards of Longest Punt | 56.5 (-118) | 56.5 (-106) |
Prop | Yes Odds | No Odds |
Either Team to Miss a FG | +120 | -150 |
Either Team to Miss an Extra Point | +195 | -250 |
Either Team Not to Punt | +640 | -1115 |
Punt Downed Inside the 5-Yard Line | +330 | -455 |
Sunday’s weather forecast in Tampa Bay calls for 40% chance of showers and 14 km/h winds with gusts up to 21 km/h. That’s enough to deter me from betting long field goal props, but that’s not the only reason.
Fade Long Field Goals
Reid and Bruce Arians are two of the most aggressive coaches in the NFL, and both teams have been very successful on 4th downs this season. KC and Tampa Bay are each converting over 62% of the time on 4th down, and in a projected shootout, neither coach is going to want to settle for field goals.
Kicker Ryan Succop says it looks like there could be high winds and some rain on Super Bowl Sunday. "That's just something we'll do our best to be prepared for."
— Scott Smith (@ScottSBucs) February 2, 2021
Harrison Butker has only attempted five field goals longer than 47 yards this season, while Ryan Succop has made only three that have travelled further than that number. I’m betting we don’t see them drill a long field goal on Sunday.
Pick: Total Yards of Longest Made FG Under 47.5 (-130)
First to X Points Props
Prop | Chiefs Odds | Buccaneers Odds | Tie Odds (Neither Team Reaches) |
---|---|---|---|
First to 20 Points | -165 | +120 | +2400 |
First to 25 Points | -129 | +150 | +500 |
First to 30 points | +120 | +220 | +180 |
The Chiefs have scored at least 30 points in every playoff game Patrick Mahomes has started and finished in his career, and there’s little reason to believe they won’t hit 30 points on Sunday.
Chiefs Reach 30 Points First
If you give Reid and Mahomes two weeks to prepare, offensive line issues or not, they’re going to produce points.
Andy Reid on the Chiefs' patchwork offensive line: "We're not the prettiest bunch on the offensive line. But I've got scrappy guys and they'll figure out how to do it well.''
— Adam Teicher (@adamteicher) February 3, 2021
The Chiefs are averaging 36.6 points per game in outings following byes in the Mahomes era, including playoffs, and the only reason that number isn’t higher is because the 2018 MVP left the Divisional Round game early last month due to a concussion.
Sure, the offensive line might give up a few sacks, but Mahomes is still going to light up the scoreboard.
Pick: Chiefs First to 30 Points (+120)
Halftime / Full-Time Result Odds
Result | Odds |
---|---|
Chiefs / Chiefs | +104 |
Chiefs / Buccaneers | +750 |
Chiefs / Tie | +2200 |
Tie / Chiefs | +1900 |
Tie / Tie | +6600 |
Buccaneers / Buccaneers | +245 |
Buccaneers / Chiefs | +525 |
Buccaneers/ Tie | +2400 |
Tie / Buccaneers | +2500 |
The Chiefs are notorious slow starters in the playoffs. It happened three times last postseason, and again in the AFC Championship game versus Buffalo two weeks ago.
KC Starts Slow Finishes Strong
But just like in their 2019 Super Bowl run, they stormed back against the Bills outscoring them 31-6 over the second and third quarters before ultimately settling for a 38-24 victory.
Whatever it takes to be on top of the mountain once again. #RunItBack pic.twitter.com/ZbY9HmIMo2
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) February 3, 2021
We already detailed why we think the Bucs could jump out to an early lead, and they certainly have the talent on both sides of the ball to hold on until halftime. Can they stay ahead of the defending champs for the entire game? I wouldn’t bet on it.
Pick: Buccaneers-Chiefs Halftime / Full-Time Result (+525)
Winning Margin Odds
Result | Odds |
---|---|
Chiefs to Win by 1-6 | +250 |
Chiefs to Win by 7-12 | +410 |
Chiefs to Win by 13-18 | +650 |
Chiefs to Win by 19-24 | +1200 |
Chiefs to Win by 25-30 | +2400 |
Chiefs to Win by 31-36 | +4000 |
Chiefs to Win by 37-42 | +7500 |
Chiefs to Win by 43 or More | +13000 |
Buccaneers to Win by 1-6 | +330 |
Buccaneers to Win by 7-12 | +700 |
Buccaneers to Win by 13-18 | +1300 |
Buccaneers to Win by 19-24 | +2400 |
Buccaneers to Win by 25-30 | +5000 |
Buccaneers to Win by 31-36 | +8000 |
Buccaneers to Win by 37-42 | +15000 |
Buccaneers to Win by 43 or More | +22500 |
Oddsmakers are expecting a close game, but that’s not exactly the Chiefs M.O in the postseason. They’ve won four of their past five playoff games by double-digits, and that number would likely be five-of-five if not for Mahomes’ injury against Cleveland.
In fact, KC has an average margin of victory of 13.2 points in Mahomes’ six career postseason wins, while Tampa Bay has a pair of double-digit losses on their resume this season with Brady under center.
Pick: Chiefs to Win by 13-18 (+650)
See our other Super Bowl prop articles below:

Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.