SNF Week 6: Cowboys vs Packers Odds, Picks and Predictions
By Eric Rosales in NFL News
Published:
- The Green Bay Packers are slight 1-point favorites vs the Dallas Cowboys on SNF
- Dallas’ defense has allowed an NFL-high 6.4 yards per play
- See below for the Cowboys vs Packers odds, picks and predictions for SNF
The Green Bay Packers (3-2) host the Dallas Cowboys (2-3) for a pivotal NFC showdown. Kickoff takes place on October 18 at 8:20pm ET at Lambeau Field, with NBC and Peacock broadcasting the game.
Green Bay, who enters as a favorite in the NFL odds, rides a two-game winning streak and aims to secure another home victory to keep pace in the competitive NFC North. Conversely, Dallas seeks to bounce back from an ugly home loss to previously-winless Tampa Bay.
The underdog visitors need an outright road win to avoid falling further behind the Giants (3-1-1) in the NFC East race.
Cowboys vs Packers Odds
Odds as of October 17. Click here for a bet365 Sportsbook promo code to bet on NFL games this season.
DAL Cowboys vs GB Packers Picks & Predictions
Moneyline Pick: Dallas Cowboys (+104 / 49¢ at Kalshi)
The gap in offensive efficiency dictates my handicap. The visitors operate at an elite level, moving the chains with a robust 49.2% third-down conversion rate while pacing the NFL with 27.6 points per game and 138 total points through five weeks. Once inside the 20-yard line, they are downright lethal, cashing in on 83.33% of red zone trips behind Dak Prescott’s 1,381 passing yards and nine touchdowns.
Conversely, the Packers stall out routinely. Converting just 27.6% of third-down attempts, the offense settles for field goals or empty trips far too often, averaging just 20.8 points per game under Matt LaFleur. While the hosts hold a +3 turnover differential compared to a -3 mark for the visitors, the raw offensive firepower on the road side remains potent enough to overcome those mistakes, especially against a Green Bay secondary that surrendered 27 unanswered points to Atlanta earlier this season.
Purchasing a Yes contract for 49¢ on Kalshi yields a superior plus-money payout (equal to +104) compared to the lines available at traditional sportsbooks.
Game-Total Pick: Under 53.5 Points (-104 / 51¢ at Novig) – LOCK IN SBD’S EXCLUSIVE NOVIG PROMO CODE NOW!
Oddsmakers project a shootout with the total hovering in the low 50s, but underlying team metrics suggest fading that narrative. Combined, these squads average just 48.4 points per game, nearly six full points below this inflated market ceiling.
Green Bay’s inability to extend drives limits their time of possession and total offensive plays, leading to a 3-2 record toward the under for the Packers where their matchups average only 43.2 combined points. Meanwhile, a negative turnover differential creates risks of stalled drives and empty possessions for Dallas, and Mike Zimmer’s defense will look to dictate game script and milk possessions.
Securing a No contract on the Over 53.5 points at Kalshi provides a crucial half-point advantage over the standard 53-point lines found elsewhere. Expect a competitive field position battle that falls short of this lofty total.
Prop Pick: George Pickens 70+ Receiving Yards (+104 / 49¢ at Kalshi)
When digging into the NFL props markets, George Pickens will benefit from Dallas’ pass-heavy offense, particularly with Prescott’s passing yards line set at 270.5.
Pickens has emerged as an unstoppable intermediate and deep weapon in Brian Schottenheimer’s scheme, clearing 70 receiving yards in three consecutive outings with 82 yards against Baltimore, 75 yards against Houston, and a monster nine-catch, 130-yard masterpiece against Tampa Bay in Week 5. Pickens has now eclipsed 70 yards in 11 of his last 15 regular-season appearances dating back to last year, including a dominant eight-reception, 134-yard, two-touchdown destruction of this exact Green Bay secondary.
With Prescott throwing for 276.2 yards per game and Pickens commanding a massive target share downfield, plus money on seventy yards is one of the premier player props on the Sunday board.
Cowboys vs Packers Team Stats
When analyzing how these rosters stack up, the numbers highlight two pass-reliant offenses facing distinctly different defensive units. Dallas plays in high-scoring affairs, averaging 27.60 points per game while surrendering 27.20. Green Bay dictates tighter contests, scoring 20.80 points per game and allowing just 22.40.
Neither team establishes the run efficiently, as the Packers average a sluggish 3.05 yards per carry and the Cowboys manage just 3.81. This pass-heavy approach creates a true battle of pocket presence and passing efficiency at Lambeau Field.
Offensively, Dak Prescott directs an aerial attack producing 276.20 passing yards per game at 7.19 yards per attempt. This unit faces a stiff test against a Packers defense yielding only 181.00 passing yards per game and forcing 1.80 turnovers per contest.
On the other side of the ball, Jordan Love guides an offense averaging 281.60 passing yards per game with a strong 7.61 yards per attempt. This aligns perfectly against a vulnerable Dallas defense surrendering 395.40 total net yards and 27.20 points per game. The Cowboys struggle immensely to create negative plays, allowing opponents to score on 46.00% of their drives while forcing a microscopic 0.40 turnovers per contest.
Sports Writer & Editor
Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
