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Rams vs Eagles Predictions & Best Bets for Jan. 19

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in NFL Football

Published:


Nov 24, 2024; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) throws againt the Philadelphia Eagles during the first half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images
  • The LA Rams travel to Philadelphia to face the top-seeded Eagles in the NFC Divisional Round on Sunday, Jan. 19
  • The Eagles have covered the spread in their last 4 home games and have gone 8-1 straight up at home this season
  • Explore all the Rams vs Eagles predictions, picks and odds for this marquee playoff matchup

The Los Angeles Rams (11-7, 10-8 ATS) hit the road to battle the Philadelphia Eagles (15-3, 12-6 ATS) in a heavyweight NFC Divisional Round clash on Sunday, January 19. The action kicks off from Lincoln Financial Field at 12:00 PM ET on NBC/Peacock.

These two teams met just seven weeks ago in LA, with the Eagles cruising to a 37-20 victory behind a record-setting 255 rushing yards and two scores from Saquon Barkley. Philadelphia has won and covered seven of the last eight meetings, but the Rams are riding a 6-1 surge into this postseason showdown.

Let’s dive into our LA vs Philly predictions, as we preview the matchup and offer our best bets.

Rams vs Eagles Predictions

  • ATS Pick: Eagles -6
  • Over/Under Pick: Under 42.5
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For my Rams vs Eagles predictions, I’m backing Philly to cover the -6 spread and the total to come under 42.5 points. There are three key reasons why I’m on these two plays in my NFL best bets.

Eagles Dominant at Home; Stafford Struggles Outdoors

Philly has been utterly dominant at Lincoln Financial Field this season, going 8-1 straight-up and covering the number in their last four games at the Linc. Their only blemish came way back in Week 2 on a fluke last-minute loss to Atlanta. Overall, the Eagles are 13-2 ATS as home favorites of seven points or less since 2022.

In contrast, the Rams are making the difficult transition from their controlled SoFi Stadium environment to the unfriendly Philadelphia weather. Matthew Stafford has historically struggled mightily in outdoor games with precipitation.

The veteran QB is just 1-8 in nine starts in cold weather games, posting a 54.6% completion rate with a 14/11 TD/INT ratio and a paltry 76.0 passer rating. That one victory? Against the 49ers just three weeks ago when LA had nothing to play for.

It’s hard to imagine Stafford bucking this trend facing this Philly defense. Philadelphia’s secondary has been elite, ranking first in the NFL in PFF coverage grade (92.9). Not to mention, their pass rush grades are second in the league at 86.5.

Stafford infamously lost 27-13 in Philly in 2013 when the field was covered in snow, and he hasn’t fared much better in the cold in recent years. With temperatures expected to be in the teens and some snow in the forecast, the California kid could be in for a long day.

Rams at Rest Disadvantage After Monday Night Scramble

Los Angeles is also dealing with abnormal preparation after having their Wild Card game moved to Monday due to wildfires. Instead of a normal week of rest and a standard travel schedule, the Rams had to fly to Arizona, defeat the Vikings, and then head straight to Philadelphia on a short week.

Teams playing on Monday night in the Wild Card round are just 1-3 SU and ATS the following week since 2004. The Rams’ body clocks will be out of whack and they’ll have minimal time to study film, let alone hold any meaningful practices. Advantage, Eagles.

Sharps Hammering the Under

Meanwhile, the total has plummeted from 45.5 to 42.5, indicating some under money hitting the market. With the Rams’ dome-oriented offense heading outdoors into less-than-ideal weather conditions, points could be at a premium in this defensive slugfest. Historically, it’s been very challenging for teams to travel east and put up points in the playoffs.

Not only does the under look appealing based on the weather forecast and the Rams’ travel situation, but it also fits the Eagles’ recent trends. The total has gone under in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games overall and in eight of their last 12 as a favorite.

I’m trusting Fangio’s defense to keep this total down. Since Week 10, Philadelphia ranks first in EPA per play allowed, second in success rate allowed, first in dropback EPA allowed, and second in rush EPA allowed. This is an elite unit that is stifling opponents, especially at the Linc.

Rams vs Eagles Divisional Round Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Los Angeles Rams +6 (-110) +240 Over 42.5 (-110)
Philadelphia Eagles -6 (-110) -290 Under 42.5 (-110)

NFL odds as of January 18 at Caesars Sportsbook. Discover the best NFL betting sites for Rams vs Eagles.

The Eagles are 6-point home favorites with a -290 moneyline price at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Rams are +240 moneyline underdogs. The total is sitting at a weather-deflated 42.5 points.

The Eagles were 3-point road favorites when these teams met on Thanksgiving weekend. Now, Philadelphia is laying nearly a touchdown at home with some notable rest and travel advantages over this same Rams squad.

According to the latest NFL public betting trends, Philadelphia is attracting 62% of the spread bets and 71% of the money, while the under is garnering 54% of the total wagers and 67% of the handle.

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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