NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Packers vs Bills Sunday Night Football Week 8
By Chris Amberley in NFL Football
Updated: March 16, 2023 at 1:48 pm EDTPublished:
- The Packers vs Bills public betting splits show 54% of the ATS wagers backing Buffalo as 10.5-point favorites on Sunday Night Football in Week 8
- Under 47 is garnering 57% of all the money wagered on the total
- Keep reading for a complete breakdown of the Packers vs Bills public betting splits before tonight’s SNF matchup
Before the season started, most NFL fans would have circled the Packers versus Bills Week 8 Sunday Night Football matchup as a potential game of the year candidate.
Buffalo has held up its end of the bargain racing out to a 5-1 start, but unfortunately Green Bay has been a massive let down. The Packers sit at 3-4 after dropping three straight games and, for the first time in Aaron Rodgers’ career, are double-digit underdogs in the NFL public betting trends.
Packers vs Bills Betting Splits
| Game | Spread | ATS Handle % | ATS Bet % | Total | O/U Handle % | O/U Bet % | Moneyline | ML Handle % | ML Bet % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | +10.5 | 51% | 46% | O 47 | 43% | 65% | +360 | 17% | 11% |
| Buffalo Bills | -10.5 | 49% | 54% | U 47 | 57% | 35% | -450 | 83% | 89% |
Splits from DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo to bet on SNF.
The Bills are currently 10.5-point favorites after opening up as 11-point chalk. As far as the total goes, sharp money is backing the under, which has dropped the total from 48 to 47.
Packers vs Bills ATS Betting Splits
The ATS betting splits are relatively even, with Buffalo drawing slightly more tickets. At this rate, the spread is likely to remain at 10.5 when the game kicks off, but that isn’t stopping one of our experts from backing Josh Allen and company in the Packers vs Bills picks.
It’s GameDay! #Bills 🆚 #Packers
Primetime on @SNFonNBC #BillsMafia #GoBills pic.twitter.com/aeVyqJhvCO
— Built in Buffalo (@BuiltInBuffalo_) October 30, 2022
Green Bay enters play with a dismal record against the spread. They’re 2-5 ATS this season, with a league worst minus 7.9 cover margin. The Packers had been 9-0 straight up and ATS following a loss under Matt LaFleur prior to Week 6, but they’ve failed to cover in that exact scenario in back-to-back weeks.
Buffalo meanwhile, is 4-1-1 against the spread this season, with a league best plus 9.92 cover margin. Josh Allen is playing at an MVP level, and is a focal point of the Packers vs Bills players props. They rank number one on defense per DVOA, and second behind only the Chiefs on offense.
Green Bay vs Buffalo Total Betting Splits
Given the inefficiency of Green Bay’s offense, it’s not surprising that sharp bettors are hitting the under. 57% of the money wagered on the total so far is on under 47, and that money is coming from just 35% of the over/under bets.
The Packers rank 23rd in points per game and 21st in total offense. They’ve scored more than 22 points in just two games this season, and they needed overtime to get there in one of those contests. Rodgers, the two-time reigning NFL MVP, has yet to exceed 255 yards passing in any outing this season, and ranks 26th in QBR.
Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson are all having the worst seasons of their career.
Meanwhile Josh Allen… #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/FixDa7GHYR
— Buffalo Sports Talk (@BUFSportsTalk) October 29, 2022
Also working against them offensively is the loss of Allen Lazard. Green Bay’s number one wideout will miss this game per the Packers vs Bills injury report.
Buffalo meanwhile, ranks number one in both scoring defense and total yards against. They’re fresh off holding the Chiefs to only 20 points, and have yielded under 21 points in 10 straight regular season games dating back to last year.
Of course, the Bills offense is elite but the Packers in theory are one of the few teams equipped to hold them in check. Green Bay ranks 11th per DVOA in pass defense, and fourth in pressure rate.
GB vs BUF Moneyline Betting Splits
Given this is the last game of Sunday’s slate, it’s not surprising that such a high percentage of the moneyline tickets and handle are backing Buffalo. A gigantic amount of those wagers are almost certainly tied up in parlays, as few bettors are likely to fire on Buffalo at -450 odds on a single ticket.
Will the Bills put Aaron Rodgers and the Packers' season to rest tonight?@CharissaT | @MichaelVick | @CharlesWoodson | @SeanPayton pic.twitter.com/0Mu6cVQ1YR
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) October 30, 2022
89% of the moneyline bets and 83% of the handle are on the Bills, as those bettors clearly aren’t scared by Rodgers’ prime time dominance. Rodgers has won each of his past 13 prime time games, although most of those contests were as a favorite.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
