Projected Stats for Cody Kessler and Jaguars Offense in Week 13
- We’re eyeing the best bets for Cody Kessler’s start on Sunday
- Can he jumpstart the dismal Jaguars offense?
- Kessler is shorthanded with Fournette’s suspension upheld
It’s only taken a seven-game losing streak, a contract extension (that was ludicrous at the time of signing, and unreal now) hanging over them like a noose, and an offense so weak that calling it pop-gun would be wildly generous for the Jaguars to finally pull the plug on the Blake Bortles experiment.
https://twitter.com/BortlesFacts/status/1067153638064295936
Enter Cody Kessler. It’s not exactly a name that rolls off the tongue eliciting confidence. In eight career starts, he’s an opposite-of-sparkling-0-for-8.
Thankfully, Vegas is comfortable in highlighting tragedy.
Let’s find the best bets you can lay as Kessler leads the Jags in a home date with the surging Indianapolis Colts.
Cody Kessler / Jaguars Week 13 Props
Jaguars Total Net Yards Odds
Prop | Odds |
---|---|
Over 345.5 yards | -120 |
Under 345.5 yards | -120 |
Jacksonville is right around that number as a regular season average (346.5), good for 22nd in the NFL. During this current skid, they’ve topped that mark once in the last six games, failing to crack 260 in three of those contests.
![YouTube video](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/70xk7DWgLK8/hqdefault.jpg)
The one game that they did in that span? A loss to these same Colts, where they went for 415 yards. Indianapolis, as a defense, surrenders just over 360 yards a game. Kessler’s had a week to command what appears to be a very vanilla offense. If he can make some throws that always seem to be there, this seems (gulp) attainable.
The pick: Over
Cody Kessler Total Completions Odds
Prop | Odds |
---|---|
Over 21.5 completions | -120 |
Under 21.5 completions | -120 |
We’re talking a small sample size and much of the data (and all of the starter data) is from 2016. If you don’t think that’s too far back, consider that year Sam Bradford was still a starter – for the Vikings.
Colts will face Cody Kessler at QB on Sunday. Kessler has the best quarterback rating of any winless QB with at least 3 starts. (I don't know if that means anything either.) pic.twitter.com/q4YJN62MMS
— Nat Newell (@NatJNewell) November 26, 2018
Kessler has completed 21 passes in a game four times in his career, including his only appearance this season in relief against the Texans. In his career, he’s had six games under 19 completions and four in single digits.
But Leonard Fournette’s upheld suspension for fighting and Carlos Hyde looking washed up means they are going to have to chuck it.
The pick: Over
Cody Kessler Total Interceptions Odds
Prop | Odds |
---|---|
Over 0.5 interceptions | -165 |
Under 0.5 interceptions | +125 |
When a team is faltering as bad as Jacksonville is, minus their best player Fournette, putting the ball up with your backup who hasn’t started since 2016 is already a recipe for destruction. But hey, can it get any worse?
Blake Bortles has been benched for Cody Kessler 😯 pic.twitter.com/cZEHEd1rDQ
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 26, 2018
Throw in the fact that the Colts are in a logjam for 6th in interceptions (11), and I don’t care if Kessler only has four career picks. Dial another one up on Sunday.
The Pick: Over
Cody Kessler Total Passing Yards Odds
Prop | Odds |
---|---|
Over 235.5 yards | -120 |
Under 235.5 yards | -120 |
Kessler has only surpassed this total twice in his career. The last time was September 25, 2016. His receivers have also been underwhelming this year. The trio of Dede Westbrook, Donte Moncrief, and Keelan Cole have a total of three 100-yard receiving games. I can see a bevy of checkdowns for minimal gains in Kessler’s future.
The Pick: Under
https://twitter.com/MySportsUpdate/status/1066790053949657090
Jacksonville Jaguars Total Points Scored Odds
Prop | Odds |
---|---|
Over 21.5 points | -120 |
Under 21.5 points | -120 |
Did you know the Jags have only scored over 21 points three times this year? And two of them were from Weeks 2 and 4, when they were 3-1? The only team they’ve topped 21 points against during this slide was … the Colts.
Does a new QB break that trend? Consider that Kessler has only pushed any offense he’s led to better than 21 points three times.
The Pick: Under
![YouTube video](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/0qy4M3Gb54Y/hqdefault.jpg)
Cody Kessler Total TD Passes Odds
Prop | Odds |
---|---|
Over 1.5 TD passes | +130 |
Under 1.5 TD passes | -170 |
Maybe I should take it easy on the kid. I mean, this sample size of starts should be caveated that it was with the Browns in his rookie year, right? Regardless, Kessler has only tossed for two majors once in his 12 career appearances.
Bortles has only done it twice in 11 games. We’re going to find out soon if it was the QB, or the offense. (Or, if it’s this QB).
I say he gets one more in garbage time.
The pick: Over