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Jaguars vs Bills & Commanders vs Bengals Public Betting Splits for Monday Night Football

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL Football

Published:


Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence throws a pass against the Buffalo Bills
Oct 8, 2023; London United Kingdom, Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) throws the ball against the Buffalo Bills in the second half of an NFL International Series game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
  • A Monday Night Football doubleheader closes out Week 3
  • The public is hammering home teams in the betting splits for Jaguars vs Bills and Commanders vs Bengals
  • See all the Monday Night Football public-betting splits for Week 3

The first of three MNF doubleheaders this season is on tap to close out Week 3 in the NFL. In the early kickoff, the winless Jacksonville Jaguars visit the unbeaten Buffalo Bills at Orchard Park at 7:30 pm ET. In the later game, rookie Jayden Daniels leads the 1-1 Washington Commanders against fellow LSU product Joe Burrow and the 0-2 Cincinnati Bengals at Paycom Stadium at 8:15 pm ET.

The NFL public betting splits for Monday Night Football show the public absolutely hammering both home teams to cover as big favorites.

Jump to: JAX vs BUF Splits | WSH vs CIN Splits

Jaguars vs Bills Public Betting Splits

Team Spread ATS Handle% ATS Bet% Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet% Total Points O/U Handle% O/U Bet%
Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5 36% 45% +205 8% 5% O 46.0 55% 68%
Buffalo Bills -5.5 64% 55% -275 92% 95% U 46.0 45% 32%

The Jaguars vs Bills betting splits as of 4:45 pm ET show that 92% of moneyline handle is on Buffalo as a -275 home favorite, leaving just 8% of handle on the winless Jaguars, who are just 1-7 straight-up in their last eight games dating back to last season.

Trevor Lawrence and company started the 2023 campaign 8-3, but ultimately missed out on the playoffs at 9-8. The early returns on 2024 have been equally disappointing. The Jags blew a 17-7 halftime lead in a Week 1 loss to Miami (20-17) and were outlasted by Cleveland in an 18-13 Week 2 setback.

Buffalo, meanwhile, overcame a sluggish start during a 34-28 Week 1 win over Arizona (coming back from 17-3 down) before crushing Miami yet again 31-10 in Week 2.

The public also likes the Bills against the spread

Bettors looking for picks for Jacksonville vs Buffalo can find them here:

Commanders vs Bengals Public Betting Splits

Team Spread ATS Handle% ATS Bet% Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet% Total Points O/U Handle% O/U Bet%
Washington Commanders +7.5 29% 36% +275 8% 7% O 47.0 45% 35%
Cincinnati Bengals -7.5 71% 64% -375 92% 93% U 47.0 55% 65%

The Commanders vs Bengals betting splits show an eerily similar dynamic to Jags/Bills. The public is absolutely smashing the Bengals moneyline with 92% of handle (and 93% of wagers) on Cincinnati to win straight-up.

Cincinnati is already in a de facto must-win situation at 0-2. Another loss would leave them last in the AFC North, three full games behind the still-perfect Pittsburgh Steelers. It would also drop them to 0-2 at home – in arguably their two easiest home games – in a season when they play nine games on the road.

The Jayden Daniels era in Washington has been up-and-down through two weeks. The fleet-footed QB has completed 75% of his passes (40/53) and has yet to throw an interception while racking up 134 yards on the ground during the Commanders’ 1-1 start. But Daniels is still searching for his first touchdown pass and has taken seven sacks through two games.

The public also likes the Bengals to cover as 7.5-point chalk, putting 71% of ATS handle and 64% of ATS tickets on Cincinnati. They are more divided on the total with 55% of handle on the under roughly three hours before kickoff and 45% on the over (47.0).

Find a host of Commanders vs Bengals expert picks here:

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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