Free Week 3 NFL Parlay Picks – 2 Sets of NFL Parlay Predictions for Sunday

• There are plenty of options for NFL parlay legs in Week 3 with 15 games still to be played across Sunday and Monday
• I have played two NFL parlays again for Week 3, one longshot with longer than 132-1 odds and one higher-probability parlay
• See my NFL parlay picks below

It’s time for another week of NFL parlay picks! Last week was a tough one, missing on both parlays thanks to the Rams dreadful performance (plus Cooper Kupp getting hurt), but my confidence hasn’t wavered at all. I’m sticking with one longshot NFL parlay (+13242 odds this week) and one higher-probability NFL parlay.

Though there are plenty of options for parlay legs with 15 games still to be played in Week 3, I only have five legs in my longshot NFL parlay and three in the higher-probability parlay. You can jump to either one of them quickly with the links below:

Longshot NFL Parlay | Higher-Probability NFL Parlay

I will have some brief analysis on each leg under the tables if you care to hear my reasoning.

Week 3 Longshot NFL Parlay

The sportsbook with the best payout for my longshot Week 3 NFL parlay is bet365. If bet365 is not available in your region, you can get this parlay with Shaheed at 70+ receiving yards for +10859 odds at FanDuel, which is the next-best payout. If bet365 is in your region, but you’re not yet betting with them, check out our bet365 bonus code before signing up.

BET365
SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed or a First Bet Safety Net up to $1,000!

Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New Customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: SBD365

CODE: SBD365

SIGNUP PROMO

BET $5
GET $150

OR GET UP TO $1,000 BACK

CLAIM OFFER

If you bet $1 on this parlay, you would win $132.42 if all five legs cash. A $5 bet would stand to win $657.14. Let me quickly break down why I like each of the five legs in my NFL parlay.

Geno Smith just lit up the Patriots for 327 yards in Week 2, and I think much more of the New England defense than I do Miami’s. Don’t put much weight into the Dolphins ranking fifth against the pass. That’s just because they have the fewest passes attempted against them. They rank 22nd in net yards per pass attempt. With Kenneth Walker likely sitting this game out, I don’t think Seattle will hand the ball off a ton. Walker’s replacement, Zach Charbonnet, is more of a threat as a receiver than running between the tackles, in my opinion. I think my only concern in Smith totaling 250+ passing yards is the game potentially being over by halftime. I don’t have much faith in Skylar Thompson to get the ball where it needs to go, which also lends to my Seahawks -9.5 alt spread.

Rashid Shaheed has opened the season with 73 and 96 receiving yards, respectively. I don’t know what his receiving line is doing sitting at 49.5 in a game against an Eagles secondary that has allowed 7.2 new yards per pass attempt (28th). I think there are too many other weapons on the Saints offense for Philadelphia to really key in on removing Shaheed and the deep ball. Shaheed for 75+ receiving yards feels like stealing when you consider he already has 59 and 70-yard catches.

I discussed the Chris Godwin anytime TD in my NFL TD scorer picks for Week 3, but in short, I like the fact that he likely dodges Pat Surtain and is seeing plenty of targets from Baker Mayfield this season.

My Packers -2.5 alt spread was inspired by my SBD formula in our NFL moneyline picks for Week 3. My formula has Green Bay winning by nearly nine points, so I have gone one step further than just taking them to win. I thought Matt LaFleur put together a great game plan for last week’s win over the Colts, and I think he’ll have another good one to protect Malik Willis on Sunday.

Week 3 Higher-Probability NFL Parlay

This three-leg NFL parlay is also best played at bet365 for +110 odds. Again, if your region doesn’t have access to this sportsbook, then you can play it at DraftKings for +103 odds and you also get Jordan Mason for 70+ rushing yards.

BET365
SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed or a First Bet Safety Net up to $1,000!

Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New Customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: SBD365

CODE: SBD365

SIGNUP PROMO

BET $5
GET $150

OR GET UP TO $1,000 BACK

CLAIM OFFER

I typically don’t like to double-dip by including the same team/player in both parlays, but I love the Seahawks this week. I also don’t think this is a situation where it’s plausible that only one of the alt spread or Seattle team total over 16.5 could hit. I just think the Seahawks offense rolls the same way we saw Buffalo embarrass this Miami defense last week.

With Christian McCaffrey missing the first two weeks (and many more to come), Jordan Mason has rushed for 247 yards this season. He has eclipsed 100 yards on the ground in both games and now gets a Rams defense that’s allowing 5.5 yards per carry, the third-worst mark in the NFL. It’s likely both George Kittle and Deebo Samuel sit out this week’s game, and I think the result is more work for Mason. I don’t see how Mason goes for any less than 100, but I’ll happily take him at 75+.

Derek Carr has thrown for 200 and 243 yards, respectively, in his first two games this season. What’s wild is that he’s only attempted 39 passes so far, because the Saints have blown out their first two opponents. Carr is averaging a league-high 11.4 yards per attempt, and now gets an Eagles defense who ranks fifth-worst in the league in net yards allowed per pass attempt. Even if the Eagles are successful in slowing the game down with their running game, which I’m not sure they’ll be able to accomplish against a defense only allowing 3.1 YPC, I still think Carr easily gets to 200+ passing yards.