NFL Draft Odds: Jaxson Dart Now Favored to Be Top-10 Pick

• Giants emerge as favorites to draft Jaxson Dart after massive odds shift
• Dart may not get past Saints at No. 9 overall with New Orleans heavily interested
• Ole Miss QB has seen one of the biggest rises of any prospect during draft process

Jaxson Dart wasn’t supposed to be a first-round pick. The Ole Miss quarterback spent most of the college football season flying under the radar, with many scouts labeling him as a fringe top-50 prospect who benefited from Lane Kiffin’s QB-friendly offense.

But with just hours until the 2025 NFL Draft kicks off in Green Bay, Dart has emerged as the betting favorite to be the second quarterback off the board. In a surprising turn of events, the 6-foot-2 gunslinger’s draft stock has exploded recently, and he’s suddenly become one of the most sought-after players in the class.

Giants, Saints Heavily Targeting Dart

The New York Giants, sitting at No. 3 overall, have become the odds-on favorite to snag Dart. Big Blue isn’t expected to take a QB that high, but GM Joe Schoen has reportedly fallen hard for Dart’s skill set.

SNY’s Connor Hughes reports that the Giants are exploring trade options to move back into the first round and select Dart. Head coach Brian Daboll is said to prefer the Ole Miss product to other top QB prospects like Colorado’s Shedeur Sanders.

Team to Draft Jaxson Dart

But the Giants aren’t the only team heavily interested in Dart. The New Orleans Saints, picking at No. 9 overall, have also been strongly linked to the SEC’s leading passer from a year ago.

CBS Sports’ Aditi Kinkhabwala reports Dart likely won’t get past the Saints at 9. New head coach Kellen Moore is “excited” about potentially grabbing Dart and sees him as a perfect fit for his system.

With veteran QB Derek Carr’s health status up in the air due to a mysterious shoulder injury, the Saints could look to find their quarterback of the future in this draft. Dart has all the physical traits to develop into a star at the next level.

Dart Skyrockets Up NFL Draft Betting Odds

The betting market has seen a massive shift in the odds for Dart’s draft position over the last few weeks. Once viewed as a Day 2 pick at best, the Ole Miss standout is now firmly in the Round 1 picture.

Jaxson Dart NFL Draft Props

The public is buying into the Dart hype, with 32.6% of bets on the over for his draft position prop of 24.5. That indicates bettors believe he’ll be selected in the top 24 picks. Additionally, Dart has received 34.2% of the betting handle to be drafted by the Saints, suggesting some big wagers on a potential New Orleans-Dart marriage

Odds to Be Top 10 Pick

At +320 odds, Dart now has the ninth-best chance to crack the top 10 on Thursday night. That’s wild considering he was at +2500 just a month ago in the NFL Draft props.

The books have Dart as the +500 favorite to go at No. 9, lining up with all the Saints buzz. If New Orleans passes, don’t expect him to fall out of the first round, with the QB-hungry Steelers (21) lurking.

Perhaps the most notable odds shift involves Dart’s positioning among the quarterbacks in this class. Once considered QB4 at best behind Shedeur Sanders, Jalen Milroe, and Cam Ward (the presumptive No. 1 pick), Dart is now the +150 favorite to be the second signal-caller drafted.

What’s Behind Dart’s Rise in Draft Odds?

Dart’s rocket up draft boards has been one of the craziest stories of the pre-draft process. Scouts are loving his live arm, how quickly he reads defenses, and his quick release.

Last season, Dart led the FBS with 10.8 yards per attempt while throwing for 4,279 yards, 29 TDs, and just 6 picks. His decision-making and pocket presence—once considered weak spots—now look much improved.

Dart reportedly aced his interviews and private workouts with teams, showcasing high football IQ and impressing coaches with his leadership qualities. In a QB class that lacks a surefire franchise guy, Dart has as much upside as anyone.

We’ll find out soon enough if Dart convinced the Saints, Giants, or another QB-hungry team that he’s worth a top-10 pick. The betting market has clearly bought the hype.

After his odds went through the roof over the last few weeks, it would be a massive surprise if Dart makes it out of the top 15 on Thursday night. The first round of the 2025 NFL Draft begins at 8:00 p.m. ET, and you won’t want to miss it.

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