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NFL Draft Odds 2026 – Arch Manning Opens as Favorite to Be #1 Pick

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Published:


Arch Manning throws pass
Jan 1, 2025; Atlanta, GA, USA; Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) warms up before the Peach Bowl at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
  • With the 2025 NFL Draft in the books, we forecast the top pick of the 2026 NFL Draft
  • Texas pivot Arch Manning is the early favorite to be the #1 pick
  • Read below for the NFL 2026 Draft No. 1 pick odds

This year’s bumper crop of NFL freshmen have barely completed their opening media sessions with their new franchises and we’re always into the crystal ball for 2026.

One of football’s blue-blood families has tabs on that top spot, as Texas QB Arch Manning — grandson of Archie and nephew of Peyton and Eli — is the early betting favorite with +200 odds.

A lot can change over the course of the summer, let alone the upcoming season, so let’s take a look at some of the early contenders aiming to have Roger Goodell call their name on first in Pittsburgh in 2026.

2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Odds

PlayerOdds
Arch Manning+200
Drew Allar+225
Garrett Nussmeier+450
Cade Klubnik+1800
T.J. Parker+2500
Keldric Faulk+2500
Caleb Downs+2500
LaNorris Sellers+3000
Carson Beck+3000
Jayden Maiava+3500
Dante Moore+3500
Spencer Fano+4000
Miller Moss+4000
Harold Perkins Jr.+4000
Tyreak Sapp+5000
Rueben Bain Jr.+5000
Matayo Uiagalelei+5000
Kadyn Proctor+5000
John Mateer+5000
Earnest Greene III+6000
Suntarine Perkins+7500
Jalon Kilgore+7500
Jackson Arnold+7500
Austin Barber+7500
Amare Farrell+7500
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK


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Top Picks Worth Considering

When there’s a Manning on the board, you take note, and it’s usually at the top of the charts. Archie started it all off, with son Peyton the best of the bunch, though Eli has just as many titles.

Arch will finally take the reins as starting pivot for the Longhorns in 2025, and he’ll finally be putting together that all important tape. Last year, he went 61-for-90 for 939 yards, with nine TD passes against two interceptions, while also rushing for 108 yards.

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There’ll be plenty of time to catch the hype, as Texas should be in the title mix, ranking second in the 2025 college football championship odds, with Manning opening as co-favorite in the Heisman Trophy odds.

Sticking with the pivots, Drew Allar is coming off a big year for Penn State, setting carer highs in completion percentage (66.5%) and 3,327 passing yards.

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Another solid campaign, and perhaps cracking the 30-TD pass plateau might be the juice he needs to supplant Arch. At 6-foot-5 and 238 pounds, he’s already got the pro build part down.

We’ll wrap this trio of pivots with LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier, who shined in his first year as a starter with the Tigers. The junior threw for 4,052 yards with 29 touchdowns, though a concerning 12 interceptions.

Longshots Who Could Rise

Clemson’s TJ Parker (+2500) is a name to watch as he enters his junior season.

The 6-foot-3 defensive end doubled his sack production from his freshman campaign, racking up 11 sacks for the Tigers in 2024, while also adding six forced fumbles and a pair of fumble recoveries.

Parker had the talent to go Day 1 in this year’s draft. He should be terrorizing opposition backfields again in 2025.

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Staying on the defensive line, Miami’s Rueben Bain Jr (+5000) is down the draft boards because he only played five games last year because of a calf injury.

Still, he finished the year with 3.5 sacks and 23 total tackles. In his lone healthy campaign in 2023, he showed his promise as a freshman, picking up 7.5 sacks and three forced fumbles.

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We’ll finish the longshots with hulking offensive tackle Kadyn Proctor (+5000). The Alabama junior is 6-foot-7 and 369 pounds, and it’s no surprise he’s a road grader, able to consistently move defenders off the line of scrimmage in the run game.

He’s also stout against the pass, able to handle bull rushes, but has the footwork and agility to pull and make blocks in space.

Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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