Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Predictions, Picks & Best Odds for TNF (Sep. 26)

• The struggling Dallas Cowboys look to get back on track against the New York Giants in an NFC East clash on TNF
• Dallas hasn’t lost three straight regular-season games since 2020
• Below, see the Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants predictions, picks, and where to find the best odds

Winners of 12 games each of the last three seasons, the Dallas Cowboys (1-2, 1-0 away, 1-2 ATS) find themselves in unfamiliar territory early in 2024: a game under .500 and riding a two-game losing streak.

The Cowboys have only lost back to back games twice over the last three years, and haven’t lost three in a row since 2020. That track record is part of why the Cowboys are sizable favorites over the New York Giants (1-2, 0-1 home, 1-2 ATS) on Thursday Night Football in Week 4.

Dallas opened as a 5.5-point road favorite in Week 4 NFL odds and the Cowboys vs Giants point spread has been bet up as high as -6 at some books.

Go to: Cowboys vs Giants Predictions  |  Best Available Cowboys vs Giants Odds

Cowboys vs Giants Predictions

• Giants +4.5 (+108) at DraftKings
• Daniel Jones over 199.5 passing yards (-120) at ESPN Bet

ESPN BET

Offer

T&Cs

Bet $10 & Get $100 + 30 Days of ESPN+

Must manually enter promo code DIME to claim offer.

Must be 21+, offer available in MI, NJ, PA, WV only.

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: DIME

CODE: DIME

SIGNUP OFFER

USE PROMO CODE
DIME

BET $10, GET $100
+ 30 DAYS OF ESPN+

GET OFFER NOW

The Cowboys have won six straight against the G-Men, taking their pair of meetings last year by an absurd combined score of 89-17. But the first three weeks of this season have demonstrated that Dallas is a much-changed team compared to last year, especially on defense.

Dallas was shredded for 56 first-half points in their back-to-back home losses to New Orleans (44-19) and Baltimore (28-25), the latter of which was not nearly as close as the final score suggests. With the outcome still in the doubt in the first half, the Ravens rampaged for three 70-plus-yard TD drives. Lamar Jackson only needed five pass attempts in second half as the Baltimore ground game ran roughshod over the Dallas front seven while nursing the lead.

Fantasy football owners don't like that Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely combined for 1 catch for 4 yards on 2 targets.

But I'm gonna guess Ravens coaches loved their perimeter blocking versus the Cowboys. pic.twitter.com/F414aPgPgu

— Ryan Mink (@ryanmink) September 23, 2024

There were some positives from the Dallas offense in the second half and Dak Prescott finished with 379 passing yards and two touchdowns, but he only completed 54.9% of his passes. He was also under 60% in Dallas’ Week 1 win over Cleveland (33-17). After letting RB1 Tony Pollard walk in the offseason, and bringing in aging Zeke Elliott, the Cowboys have little to no run game. Their 73.7 YPG average on the ground is the third-lowest in the NFL through three weeks.

Some of that can be attributed to the fact they’ve been playing from behind. But the bigger contributing factor is that neither Elliott (62 yards on 19 carries, 3.3 YPC) nor Rico Dowdle (88 yards on 23 carries, 3.8 YPC) is a legitimate RB1 in this league.

Don’t get me wrong; this pick isn’t a huge vote of confidence in the Giants. New York was awful in Week 1 (28-6 home loss to the Vikings) and was outplayed in a 21-18 loss at Washington in Week 2 (outgained 425 to 304). But that loss at Washington may to look better and better as the year goes on and, last Sunday, the Giants were full value for a 21-15 win at Cleveland.

New York won the yardage battle by a wide margin (340 to 217), controlled time of possession (33:56 to 26:04), and generated an astounding eight sacks of Deshaun Watson. Most-importantly, embattled QB Daniel Jones had his best game since Week 2 of last season, completing 70% of his passes for 236 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions against an elite Cleveland defense.

This might be my favorite play by Daniel Jones of his career

Stands tall in the pocket with Myles Garrett ready to tear his head off and delivers a strike to Malik Nabers for 6

DJ was AWESOME in the first half yesterday

FIRE ME UP 8 pic.twitter.com/DIcXyAiCa1

— Marshall Green (@MarshallGreen_) September 23, 2024

Jones has found instant chemistry with 2024 sixth-overall pick Malik Nabers. The LSU product leads the Giants with 271 yards and three touchdowns in his first three games as a pro. Nabers only trails Washington QB Jayden Daniels in the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds.

While Jones has never had much success against Dallas, he’s going to find the road much easier to hoe this year. The Week 4 NFL player props list him as low as 199.5 passing yards O/U, and I like him to go over that number against a porous Dallas secondary.

Best Cowboys vs Giants Odds for Thursday Night Football

As of Wednesday afternoon, bettors can still find a little variation in the Cowboys vs Giants odds at different sportsbooks. As mentioned, the point spread ranges from 5.5 to 6.0 with BetMGM currently offering the best odds on the favored Cowboys to cover the lower number and ESPN Bet with the best price on the Giants to cover +6.

The best odds on a Giants straight-up victory can be found at Caesars, DraftKings, ESPN Bet, where NYG is +210. The longest price on Dallas to win straight-up is -250, which again can be found at a few different books, including ESPN Bet, FanDuel, and bet365.

There is a half-point discrepancy in the game total as well. Bettors can get over 45.0 at -110 odds at BetMGM and Caesars, while under 45.5 is available at -110 at FanDuel.