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Cowboys vs Browns Odds, Predictions & Best Bets (Sep. 8)

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NFL Football

Updated Sep 7, 2024 · 9:02 PM PDT

Aug 10, 2024; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson (4) before the game against the Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Dallas Cowboys are favored over the Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 1
  • The Cowboys vs Browns odds favor Cleveland by 2.5 points at home
  • Read below for Dallas vs Cleveland odds, predictions and best bets

The Dallas Cowboys and Cleveland Browns kick off their 2024 campaigns with a Week 1 matchup at Huntington Bank Field on Sunday, September 8. Both teams are eyeing deep playoff runs after falling short last season.

The Cowboys vs Bowns odds price Cleveland as slight 2.5-point home favorites, with the over/under set at a modest 40.5 points. Who comes out on top in Tom Brady’s official broadcasting debut for Fox?

Let’s explore the Cowboys vs Browns odds and provide our Week 1 NFL betting prediction.

Dallas Cowboys vs Cleveland Browns Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Dallas Cowboys +2.5 (-105) +115 Over 40.5 (-120)
Cleveland Browns -2.5 (-115) -135 Under 40.5 (Even)

In the Dallas vs Cleveland odds, the Browns have -136 moneyline odds to win outright, implying a 57.6% win probability. Meanwhile, the underdog Cowboys are +116, which equates to a 46.3% chance of pulling the upset.

The Cowboys vs Cleveland Browns Week 1 game will kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET, with FOX carrying the broadcast.

Check out our Cowboys vs Browns Props if you’re looking for more betting options for this game.

 

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Odds as of Sept. 7, at ESPN Sportsbook. Sign up with the ESPN promo code “DIME” to wager on Browns vs Cowboys.

Browns Favored in Week 1 NFL Odds

The Browns are currently 2.5-point home favorites over the Cowboys in this Week 1 clash. This suggests oddsmakers believe Cleveland is the slightly better team and will win by a field goal. However, the slim spread also indicates this projects as a close, competitive game that could go either way.

The Cowboys boast one of the NFL’s most explosive offenses, led by quarterback Dak Prescott and wide receiver CeeDee Lamb. The Browns, meanwhile, counter with a stifling defense that features DROY favorite Myles Garrett. QB Deshaun Watson, meanwhile, is back to full health.

However, a key factor in this NFL betting line is the fact Dallas averaged just 23.3 points per game on the road last season compared to 34.3 points per contest at home. They face a Browns defense that gave up just 13.9 points per game at home.

The total (over/under) for the game is set at just 41 points. This suggests oddsmakers envision a lower-scoring defensive battle, which makes sense given Cleveland allowed the fewest yards per game (270.2) in the NFL last season.

It’s worth noting the Cowboys have dominated this head-to-head matchup of late, winning the last four meetings by a combined 53 points. However, Dallas struggled as a road underdog in 2023, going 0-2 against the spread when getting 2.5+ points away from home.

NFL Against the Spread Picks for Week 1 (2024)
Read More

Nick Chubb Injury Update

A key injury of note for this game is to Browns’ star running back Nick Chubb. The veteran RB will start the 2024 NFL season on the Browns’ Physically Unable to Perform (PUP) list, meaning he will miss at least the first four games.

Chubb suffered a devastating left knee injury in Week 2 of the 2023 season, tearing his ACL, MCL, and meniscus, which required multiple surgeries in September and November.

Chubb is still expected to play at some point during the 2024 season, but the Browns will ease him back into action whenever he’s cleared to return from the PUP list. In the meantime, Jerome Ford, Pierre Strong Jr., and D’Onta Foreman will handle the backfield duties for Cleveland.

Cowboys vs Browns Prediction

I’m backing the Browns to cover the 2,5 points against Dallas at home in Week 1. The line movement from Dallas -1 to Cleveland -2.5 signals sharp action on the Browns, with Cleveland taking the majority of the money despite the public heavily backing the Cowboys.

The road team has covered in four straight meetings in this rivalry. Furthermore, in Week 1, divisional dogs are 30-14 ATS (68%), with a 31% ROI since 2016. Cleveland’s elite defense should be able to contain a Dallas offense that hasn’t looked dominant away from AT&T Stadium.

Lay the short spread with the Browns at home in what feels like a 20-17 or 23-20 type of game. The Browns are a scorching 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite. Back Cleveland -2.5 as they grind out a close win to start the season.

DAL-CLE Pick:

  • Browns -2.5 (-115)

 

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