Commanders vs Eagles Longshot Player Props to Target in NFC Title Game

• Sunday is fast approaching, so it is time to start getting bets down for the NFL Conference Championship Game
• One way to spice things up a bit is with longshot player prop bets
• See my favorite NFL longshot player props for the NFC Championship (Commanders vs Eagles)

It’s time to start dreaming people. We’ve only got a few games left in the NFL season so our chances to hit longshot football bets are dwindling by the day. Still, that’s no reason to get upset, as it’s more of a reason to get busy. We’re wasting time counting how many games are left because we could be using that brainpower to find bangers. You know I’m right.

Lucky for us, the NFC Championship Game is ripe with opportunity. If we take a contrarian look at this thing, we’ll give ourselves a chance to take down something +300 or higher. All it takes is a little vision. If we combine that vision with basic logic, we have the perfect recipe for success. In fact, the second I threw the vision/logic strategy at the Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles game, two bangers popped right out. What a world.

Conference Championships NFL Player Props and Odds

Jayden Daniels Could Easily Go Off

Sometimes, we need a generation guy to pull off a generational performance. That’s just how generational guys and generational performances work. We don’t make the rules.

Lucky for us, we have a generational guy playing quarterback for the Washington Commanders Sunday. His name is Jayden Daniels.

Is Jayden Daniels rookie campaign the best we've EVER seen? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/aFRDo5QXtv

— ESPN BET (@ESPNBET) January 24, 2025

Here’s the thing with longshots, we can’t look at the actual bet first. We have to look at the price. The great Andy Molitor told me once, “I’d take you in a race against Usain Bolt if the price was right.” That’s what made it click. Price rules everything around us. Give me the right price, and I’ll bet anything.

So, how does that relate to Jayden Daniels? Easy. Because we wouldn’t really be interested in a Jayden Daniels 3+ Passing TDs if it was -110. We just wouldn’t be. Not even the biggest Commanders fan on the planet would do that. But, when we consider the price is +470, things get interesting. Deep diving starts to happen.

During my deep dive, I found out that +470 is something I would bet. For starters, in the last six full games Daniels has played, he’s thrown at least three touchdowns in three of them. One of those games was a five-touchdown performance against the Eagles. On top of that, the Commanders are six-point underdogs in this thing, so they’ll be expected to be playing from behind,d which means throwing. At the end of the day, this should not be +470.

• The Pick: Jayden Daniels 3+ Passing TDs (+470) – FanDuel

Saquon Barkley Is The Offense

There were two sides of the fence when Saquon Barkley left the New York Giants for the Philadelphia Eagles last summer. There were two camps. One side said it was a bad move, while the other said it was a good move. There literally was no in-between. Typical sports stuff.

After just one season, I think it’s pretty clear which side was right.

Saquon Barkley has rushed for 120 yards 10 times this season.

He rushed for 120 yards just 10x in 6 years with the Giants. pic.twitter.com/T6hErHjrca

— Underdog (@UnderdogFantasy) January 22, 2025

Early on, Barkley was a focal part of the Eagles’ offense which was obviously expected given who he is as a player. I mean, if we had a team and he was our running back, we would probably give him the ball 20+ times a game. That’s just common sense.

The Eagles figured out Barkley was good, so they did the thing where they gave him the ball all the time. Standard procedure. But now we have to ask the question, how many times are they willing to give him the ball in one game? I say that because 30+ rush attempts is priced at +319 at DraftKings right now. That feels like a good deal.

The haters are going to say that he only hit this number once, but whatever. For starters, that proves that it can happen. But here’s the thing: he also had a 29-carry game against this same Washington Commanders team the week before he went 30+. The Eagles also had 10 rush attempts go to other players in that same game. The theory here is, they could easily sell out and turn this game into the Saquon show in an attempt to get to the Super Bowl. In that environment, 30+ attempts at +319 is a good deal. Feels right.

• The Pick: Saquon Barkley 30+ Rushing Attempts (+319) – DraftKings