Chargers vs Patriots Odds, Predictions & Player Props to Target (Dec. 28)

• The Los Angeles Chargers travel to battle the New England Patriots in Week 17
• The New England Patriots are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. top 10 scoring defenses
• Explore all the Chargers vs Patriots odds, player props, predictions, and picks for Dec. 28

The Los Angeles Chargers (9-6, 10-4-1 ATS) look to secure a playoff spot against the New England Patriots (3-12, 6-8-1 ATS) in Week 17 NFL action. This AFC matchup kicks off the NFL’s Saturday triple-header on December 28 at 1pm ET, with the game broadcast on NFL Network.

The Chargers are riding high after a crucial 34-27 win over the Denver Broncos last week. Meanwhile, the Patriots fell on the road by a score of 24-21 to the Buffalo Bills.

Look for all our Chargers vs Patriots predictions, player props and the odds below.

Chargers vs Patriots Prediction

• Pick: Chargers -4.5 (-110)
  

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These teams are heading in drastically different directions. Jerod Mayo’s Patriots are simply looking to build momentum for a brighter future, while Jim Harbaugh’s Los Angeles Chargers aim to make some noise in the NFL playoffs. The gap between the coaching of Mayo and Harbaugh is reason enough to back the Chargers. However, Justin Herbert and company will be a motivated bunch as they look to clinch a playoff spot.

The Chargers have gone a spectacular 6-1 SU against teams with losing records this season. On top of that, Los Angeles are a fantastic 9-2 ATS as favorites. Harbaugh’s squad is also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against AFC opponents.

Chargers HC Jim Harbaugh on playing in cold Foxborough weather: “These guys are young, they’re healthy, and their heart pumps warm blood. It pumps it from the arteries to the veins to the tributaries to the capillaries. Throughout their whole body. You just play ball.”

“Now I… pic.twitter.com/kY2ZWirwhe

— Alex Insdorf (@alexinsdorf99) December 26, 2024

Herbert has averaged 30.8 passing attempts this season, while tossing for 242.3 yards on 7.9 yards per attempt. The former Oregon star has thrown 18 touchdowns and just interceptions on the year.

Additionally, the Chargers defense has been sublime. Jesse Minter’s unit ranks seventh in EPA per play and second in points (18.3) allowed per game. Outside of a few sensational plays from rookie quarterback Drake Maye, there’s little reason to believe the Patriots can keep up with the Chargers offense. Bet on Los Angeles to cover the spread.

Chargers vs Patriots Player-Prop Picks

Don’t expect to see Chargers wide receiver Quentin Johnston have many targets in this Chargers vs Patriots contest. Johnston will likely be shadowed by Patriots corner Christian Gonzalez who is quickly earning a reputation as a top man-cover corner. The former TCU star has covered this number in only two of his last five games. Fade Johnston’s 36.5 receiving yardage prop against the Patriots.

Justin Herbert has failed to surpass 14.5 rushing yards in three of his past four games. In a game that the Chargers project to win, with a banged-up ankle, don’t expect to see number 10 on the move too much. Los Angeles has far bigger games coming up, and they’ll want Herbert as healthy as possible heading into the playoffs.

We are so blessed to get to root for Justin Herbert the next decade+ pic.twitter.com/H9j7qXSvgi

— ♠️ (@FeelLikeSpade) December 24, 2024

Rhamondre Stevenson has surpassed this line in five of his last six games. He should find plenty of room to roam against a Chargers defense surrendering over 125 yards to opposing running backs over the last five weeks. While they’ve been fantastic against the pass, Los Angeles defense surrenders 4.7 yards per carry. Back Stevenson to rumble to over 42.5 rushing yards.

Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Odds

Odds as of December 27 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Discover the best NFL betting apps for Chargers vs Patriots.

The latest NFL point spreads have the Chargers as 4.5-point favorites and -225 on the moneyline, with the Patriots as +134 moneyline underdogs. The Chargers vs Patriots total is sitting at 42.5.

According to our NFL public betting splits, 77% of the spread wagers are on the Chargers to cover, while 26% of the money is on the Patriots.