Buccaneers vs Falcons Public-Betting Splits & Injury Reports for Thursday Night Football
By Sascha Paruk in NFL Football
Published:
- The public loves the Atlanta moneyline in the Buccaneers vs Falcons betting splits
- Tampa Bay will be without
- Below, see the Buccaneers vs Falcons public-betting splits and injury reports for Thursday Night Football
A high-stakes NFC South matchup kickstarts NFL Week 5 as the division-leading Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1, 3-1 ATS) visit the Atlanta Falcons (2-2, 1-3 ATS) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
The Buccaneers vs Falcons odds are extremely tight, with Atlanta laying just 1.5 points at home. The moneyline odds show the Falcons at -125 with the Bucs coming back as slight +100 road underdogs. The game total is still sitting at 43.5, exactly where it opened on Sunday night.
Despite the narrow odds, the public has heavy leans in the Buccaneers vs Falcons public betting splits.
Jump to: Buccaneers vs Falcons Public Betting Splits | Buccaneers vs Falcons Injury Reports
Buccaneers vs Falcons Public Betting Splits
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | +1.5 | 72% | 77% | +100 | 22% | 57% | O 43.5 | 78% | 61% |
| Atlanta | -1.5 | 28% | 23% | -125 | 78% | 43% | U 43.5 | 22% | 39% |
About six hours before kickoff, the Bucs vs Falcons ATS splits show the public hammering Tampa Bay catching 1.5 points. So far, 72% of ATS handle and 77% of ATS wagers are on the Buccaneers to cover as road underdogs.
However, the moneyline splits portray a different story; 78% of moneyline handle is on the Falcons to win as -125 home favorites, though that comes on just 43% of the moneyline tickets, which means there is one or more large bet on the Falcons to win.
The total is still listed at 43.5 at most sportsbooks but it’s clear that the public really likes the over. The NFL public betting percentages have 78% of O/U handle on over 43.5 on 61% of the wagers. Moreover, the total has ticked up to 44.0 at DraftKings.
Atlanta is 1-3 O/U this season, averaging 40.0 PPG, while Tampa Bay is 2-2 and averaging 43.75 PPG.
Buccaneers vs Falcons Injury Reports for TNF
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Injury | Game Status |
|---|---|---|
| Antoine Winfield Jr (S) | Foot | Out |
| Calijah Kancey (DT) | Calf | Out |
| Luke Goedeke (OT) | Concussion | Out |
| Jalen McMillan (WR) | Hamstring | Out |
| Trey Palmer (WR) | Concussion | Out |
| Atlanta Falcons | Injury | Game Status |
| Troy Andersen (ILB) | Knee | Out |
| Jase McClellan (RB) | Illness | Questionable |
There’s no question that the Bucs are in worse shape on the injury front. On offense, starting right tackle Luke Goedke is out along with rookie slot receiver Jalen McMillan.
Two starters are also missing from the Tampa defense: DT Calijah Kancey and free safety Antoine Winfield Jr.
On the Atlanta sideline, starting running back Bijan Robinson was limited in practice early in the week due to a hamstring issue, but he got in a full practice on Wednesday and doesn’t carry an injury designation heading into TNF.
Robinson is Chris Amberley’s favorite pick to score a TD in the Buccaneers vs Falcons player props.
Bijan Robinson TD wiped out on a pretty, pretty, pretty weak holding penalty pic.twitter.com/1Cm8Ishs41
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) September 30, 2024
The only starter missing for the Falcons will be inside linebacker Troy Anderson, who’s out with a knee injury. That is a significant loss, though. Anderson leads Atlanta with 44 tackles on the season, 11 more than any other player on the team.
Anderson will be replaced by some combination of rookie fifth-round pick JD Bertrand out of Notre Dame, and veteran James Smith-Williams, who spent his first four seasons with Washington before Atlanta signed him this offseason.
Looking for more picks on the TB/ATL game tonight? Check out Ian Jones’ +675 Buccaneers vs Falcons same-game parlay.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
